The application of trends to climate data began in the 1970s with the prediction
of a coming ice age as temperatures declined from 1940.
The fact of the matter is, while the world is focused on anthropogenic global warming, warming induced by humans, what could potentially be a more serious and real matter is that
of the coming ice age as the cycle suggests.
Not exact matches
Ice ages came and went
as he went on and on, listing great Tory achievements in the endless European fight and reminiscing about the fields
of Waterloo.
For example, about 15,000 years ago, we
came out
of the last
Ice Age as amazingly skilled hunters; we had to be to survive its rigors.
Cuffey developed a technique to combine these temperature measurements, which are smoothed
as a result
of heat diffusion in the
ice, with isotopic measurements
of old
ice to
come up with an estimated temperature
of 11.3 degrees, plus or minus 1.8 degrees Celsius, warming since the depths
of the
ice age.
The amount
of carbon dioxide has risen and fallen a bit, coinciding with the spread and retreat
of glaciers
as ice ages have
come and gone.
Several studies have shown that around 10,000 years ago,
as the planet
came out
of the last
ice age, vast portions
of volcanic summit cones collapsed, leading to enormous landslides.
«However, it
came as a complete surprise to all
of us that this thermophilic snake actually «overwintered» in Central Europe during the Pleistocene
Ice Age,» explains Professor Dr. Uwe Fritz, director
of the Senckenberg Natural History Collections in Dresden.
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Though an additional key, which people that are dead and determined to label this
as shear man made global warming need to remember we are
coming out
of a mini
ice age (1400 - 1800ish).
On another subject, now that we know from Al Gore's researches, that our SUVs, which keep raising the CO2 levels at Mauna Loa, are the direct cause
of the Mediaeval Warm Period (remember that was just 800 years before the present rising CO2 event); we can predict with near certainty, that when everybody who signed on to the Kyoto accords, meets their obligations, resulting in a
coming dearth
of atmospheric CO2, that is going to directly cause an event which will become known
as the little
ice age which happened in the 1600 to 1840 time range.
As Professor Barry Brook, Adelaide University said a couple
of months after your proclamation about the up -
coming ice -
age QUOTE: There are a lot
of uncertainties in science, and it is indeed likely that the current consensus on some points
of climate science is wrong, or at least sufficiently uncertain that we don't know anything much useful about processes or drivers» (http://bravenewclimate.com/2009/04/23/ian-plimer-heaven-and-earth/).
I would declare the null set to be that the perceived changes can be easily accounted for
as natural climate variation (
coming out
of an
ice age) and that there is no «perfect» climate state.
The initial «Earth Day» kicked off with a warning about the
coming ice age: «1970: First Earth Day Promoted Ice Age Fears — Excerpt: At the first Earth Day celebration, in 1970, environmentalist Nigel Calder warned, «The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for manki
ice age: «1970: First Earth Day Promoted Ice Age Fears — Excerpt: At the first Earth Day celebration, in 1970, environmentalist Nigel Calder warned, «The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for manki
age: «1970: First Earth Day Promoted
Ice Age Fears — Excerpt: At the first Earth Day celebration, in 1970, environmentalist Nigel Calder warned, «The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for manki
Ice Age Fears — Excerpt: At the first Earth Day celebration, in 1970, environmentalist Nigel Calder warned, «The threat of a new ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for manki
Age Fears — Excerpt: At the first Earth Day celebration, in 1970, environmentalist Nigel Calder warned, «The threat
of a new
ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for manki
ice age must now stand alongside nuclear war as a likely source of wholesale death and misery for manki
age must now stand alongside nuclear war
as a likely source
of wholesale death and misery for mankind.
Likewise headlines such
as ««U.S. Scientist Sees New
Ice Age Coming,» «Washington Post», July 9, 1971 (the scientist in question being a colleague of Dr. Hansen) or Holdren in 1971 predicting an ice age (http://www.zombietime.com/zomblog/?p=873), (although, to be fair, in the same book he simultaneously predicted global warming), or books from 1977 quoting the CIA: «The studies conclude that the world is entering a difficult period during which major climate change (further cooling) is likely to occur.&raq
Ice Age Coming,» «Washington Post», July 9, 1971 (the scientist in question being a colleague of Dr. Hansen) or Holdren in 1971 predicting an ice age (http://www.zombietime.com/zomblog/?p=873), (although, to be fair, in the same book he simultaneously predicted global warming), or books from 1977 quoting the CIA: «The studies conclude that the world is entering a difficult period during which major climate change (further cooling) is likely to occur.&raq
Age Coming,» «Washington Post», July 9, 1971 (the scientist in question being a colleague
of Dr. Hansen) or Holdren in 1971 predicting an
ice age (http://www.zombietime.com/zomblog/?p=873), (although, to be fair, in the same book he simultaneously predicted global warming), or books from 1977 quoting the CIA: «The studies conclude that the world is entering a difficult period during which major climate change (further cooling) is likely to occur.&raq
ice age (http://www.zombietime.com/zomblog/?p=873), (although, to be fair, in the same book he simultaneously predicted global warming), or books from 1977 quoting the CIA: «The studies conclude that the world is entering a difficult period during which major climate change (further cooling) is likely to occur.&raq
age (http://www.zombietime.com/zomblog/?p=873), (although, to be fair, in the same book he simultaneously predicted global warming), or books from 1977 quoting the CIA: «The studies conclude that the world is entering a difficult period during which major climate change (further cooling) is likely to occur.»
This time around the human race is holding the smoking gun
as the planet is now warming 50 times faster than it should when
coming our
of an
ice age.
I stopped in fatigue, after scanning several hundred scientists, at the letter «C.» One
of the «C's,» atmospheric - science professor John Christie laughs at the panic: «Doomsday prophesies [like The World Will be Staving by 2000,
as we were told in college, or The New
Ice Age is
Coming] grab headlines but prove to be false.
My other point to him at the time was that the Industrial Revolution was actually quite limited and that it wasn't until the forties last century that industry spread, but he ignored this
as he ignored the email about getting rid
of the MWP and LIA and when I found the Vostok data, and began to appreciate the great cycles within our
Ice Age, he dismissed these too and
came back to the claim that our temps had been «flat normal» and our fault that we were changing this by our increased production
of carbon dioxide
as the Hockey Stick showed.
By then, fossil fuels may be mostly depleted, the cost
of energy may be held in bounds only through massive investments in nuclear power or yet unforeseen technologies, and the chief worry may be that
of a
coming ice age still looming
as our mild interglacial period draws to a close.
The death and destruction
of the Little
Ice Age (LIA) mercifully
came to an end during the mid-1800's
as the world began to warm.
CO2 did
come from oceans
as they heated up at end
of ice age cycles with significant contributions from eurasian swamps
as well.
All this
comes as a surprise to us because, in the 10,000 or so years since the end
of the last
ice age, the climate has been relatively stable.
The natural variation that has led us out
of the Little
Ice Age has a bit
of frosting on the cake by land use; and, part
of that land use has resulted in a change in vegetation and soil CO2 loss so that we see a rise in CO2 and the CO2 continues to rise without a temperature accompaniment (piano player went to take a leak),
as the land use has all but gobbled up most
of the arable land North
of 30N and we are starting to see low till farming and some soil conservation just beginning when the soil will again take up the CO2, and the GMO's will increase yields, then CO2 will start
coming down on its own and we can go to bed listening to Ave Maria to address another global crisis to get the populous all scared begging governments to tell us much ado about... nothing.
Anyhow, the bottom line is small variations in the eccentricity
of the Earth's orbit is generally recognised
as being the principal reason for why
ice ages come to an end.
The National Academy
of Sciences published a report in 1971, saying,
as best
as I recall, that a
coming ice age was a definite probability within the next hundred years....
As the Earth
came out
of the
ice age the primary forcing which caused the initial warming was due to changes in the Earth's orbital pattern.
It is not from
coming out
of the Little
Ice Age or the Sun,
as Tung and Zhou discussed in our PNAS paper.
Responding to and in the manner
of KK Tung's UPDATE (and, you can quote me): globally speaking the slowing
of the rapidity
of the warming, were it absent an enhanced hiatus compared to prior hiatuses, must at the least be interpreted
as nothing more than a slowdown
of the positive trend
of uninterrupted global warming
coming out
of the Little
Ice Age that has been «juiced» by AGW
as evidenced by rapid warming during the last three decades
of the 20th Century, irrespective
of the fact that, «the modern Grand maximum (which occurred during solar cycles 19 — 23, i.e., 1950 - 2009),» according to Ilya Usoskin, «was a rare or even unique event, in both magnitude and duration, in the past three millennia [that's, 3,000 years].»
Over that time, the globally averaged temperature difference between the depth
of an
ice age and a warm interglacial period was 4 to 6 °C — comparable to that predicted for the
coming century due to anthropogenic global warming under the fossil - fuel - intensive, business -
as - usual scenario.
Therefore, warmists, I agree that CAGW is theorectically possble and can not be ruled out just
as every other trendline (like the
coming ice age) can not be ruled out due to the paucity
of data and understanding we presently have.
If we get a peak
of active sun at the same time
as the worst
of the cooling from the Little
Ice Age comes through the oceanic system then that may be the start
of a more rapid ending
of the current interglacial but that is 500 years hence by which time we will have solved our energy problems or will have destroyed our civilisation.
On that basis I think we will see cooling for a couple
of decades due to the negative phase
of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation which has just begun then at least one more 20 to 30 year phase
of natural warming before we start the true decline
as the cooler thermohaline waters from the Little
Ice Age come back to the surface.
After the end
of the last
Ice Age came a warm spell, which ended a few thousand years ago
as the global temperature dropped fairly steadily — until the 20th century.
This happened
as the world was
coming out
of the last
ice age, in an event known
as the Younger Dryas: a huge
ice sheet over North America suddenly gave way, drained into the North Atlantic, and shut down the AMOC.
Anthropogenic warming has interrupted the Glacial - Interglacial cycle
of the Quaternary (Ganopolski et al., 2016; Haqq - Misra, 2014) and there will be no
coming Ice -
Age n - 1000 years from now to reseal all
of this volatile Carbon,
as happened at the end
of each previous interglacial.