For proof
of the high volatility of the headline indicator, note that the average absolute monthly change across this data series is 7.7.
Two of the three worst performing asset classes (emerging markets and commodities) had
some of the highest volatility of all (33 % and 19 %, respectively).
Not exact matches
Even if Canada doesn't start dropping payloads
of cash itself — something Cooper says he does not foresee in the next three years, at least — the ripple effect
of a central bank explicitly targeting
higher inflation and adopting formerly verboten measures to get it would be felt on these shores in the form
of increased global
volatility.
«The challenging thing for investors is we're in this environment
of muted returns, but it's accompanied by the risk
of higher volatility,» Cooper says.
LONDON, April 23 - Hamstrung by a renewed slump in
volatility and lack
of clear market direction, FX and bond speculators are making historically big bets on a lower dollar and
higher yields.
«When we look at the world, there's plenty
of things to worry about, so we would anticipate there could be episodes
of higher volatility in the second half or even next year,» cautions Bruce Cooper, chief investment officer at TD Asset Management.
CNBC's Kayla Tausche speaks to Stuart Bernstein
of Goldman Sachs, about venture capital trends in tech and sentiment in Silicon Valley with recent
volatility in
high growth stocks.
«Is it that lower liquidity is causing
volatility to be
higher for any given amount
of trading activity?
Goldman attributes it to historically low
volatility and
high skew, the latter
of which reflects the willingness
of investors to pay a premium for calls.
«
Volatility impacts our industry tremendously, because we are in such a
high - risk, low - margin line
of work,» says Palmisano.
«While common wisdom has it that
higher volatility necessarily signals a discrete end to the [bull market], it is often the case that
higher vol is a natural occurrence in the «late innings»
of extended rallies, particularly when the Fed is raising rates, as was the case in late 1999 - 2000,» he wrote.
Shares
of Spotify Technology SA are set to begin trading on the New York Stock Exchange on April 3 in an unusual direct listing that gives insiders the option to sell instantly and does without the support
of traditional underwriters - a recipe for potentially
high volatility in early trading.
Matthew Riley, head
of research at Natixis Global Asset Management, told CNBC on Monday that «there's a lot
of uncertainty at the moment, certainly geopolitical uncertainty from what we read is pretty much
high although market
volatility is quite low.
The debut
of the first futures contract on an established exchange was relatively orderly, in contrast to expectations
of high volatility and traders short selling, or betting against, bitcoin.
«We believe it critical for a listing exchange to ensure a
high - quality displayed quote to reduce the cost
of capital and share price
volatility for its issuers, and in the absence
of broader market structure reform, exchange - paid quoting incentives are a necessary mechanism in a highly fragmented US marketplace to support liquidity for listed companies,» Cunningham said in a letter to clients emailed to Business Insider.
Higher - than - normal
volatility levels suggest we can do more than just take advantage
of short side moves; it's possible to benefit from buying dips, too.
Higher - than - normal
volatility levels suggest we can do more than just take advantage
of short side moves.
«This is typical
of a late cycle expansion which is another reason why multiples will be lower as
higher volatility typically demands a
higher equity risk premium.
The beginning
of his tenure has been defined by ramped up market
volatility, a pickup in rates and the consensus that inflation is ticking
higher after a prolonged period
of price suppression.
High - beta stocks are simply the shares
of companies whose stocks trade with above - average
volatility — and like the twin peaks
of a two - humped financial camel, these stocks carry both above - average risk and, potentially, above - average reward.
In recent years they have added international equities and small - cap stocks — asset classes that come with
higher volatility than sturdier blue chips, but also offer the promise
of higher returns.
Timmer: You know, the last two years until the January
high, were really extraordinary times for the market, and I fear that investors got spoiled by that, because the S&P was up I think 52 % in two years and in 2017 the
volatility — the standard deviation
of those returns — was at an all - time low
of 3.9.
The
higher volatility of bear markets tends to chop up these funds over time.
The S&P 500
Volatility Index, or VIX, surged
higher, rising above 50 at one point last Tuesday, one
of the
highest levels ever recorded.
As a result
of those
high fees and
volatility, gaming platform Steam announced in early December that it would no longer support cryptocurrency.
Market Makers also provide another service in periods
of high volatility: if the market exerts upward or downward pressure on a security during a trading session, the Market Maker will mitigate the pressure by absorbing some
of the orders, thereby limiting excessive price swings.
Actual results, including with respect to our targets and prospects, could differ materially due to a number
of factors, including the risk that we may not obtain sufficient orders to achieve our targeted revenues; price competition in key markets; the risk that we or our channel partners are not able to develop and expand customer bases and accurately anticipate demand from end customers, which can result in increased inventory and reduced orders as we experience wide fluctuations in supply and demand; the risk that our commercial Lighting Products results will continue to suffer if new issues arise regarding issues related to product quality for this business; the risk that we may experience production difficulties that preclude us from shipping sufficient quantities to meet customer orders or that result in
higher production costs and lower margins; our ability to lower costs; the risk that our results will suffer if we are unable to balance fluctuations in customer demand and capacity, including bringing on additional capacity on a timely basis to meet customer demand; the risk that longer manufacturing lead times may cause customers to fulfill their orders with a competitor's products instead; the risk that the economic and political uncertainty caused by the proposed tariffs by the United States on Chinese goods, and any corresponding Chinese tariffs in response, may negatively impact demand for our products; product mix; risks associated with the ramp - up
of production
of our new products, and our entry into new business channels different from those in which we have historically operated; the risk that customers do not maintain their favorable perception
of our brand and products, resulting in lower demand for our products; the risk that our products fail to perform or fail to meet customer requirements or expectations, resulting in significant additional costs, including costs associated with warranty returns or the potential recall
of our products; ongoing uncertainty in global economic conditions, infrastructure development or customer demand that could negatively affect product demand, collectability
of receivables and other related matters as consumers and businesses may defer purchases or payments, or default on payments; risks resulting from the concentration
of our business among few customers, including the risk that customers may reduce or cancel orders or fail to honor purchase commitments; the risk that we are not able to enter into acceptable contractual arrangements with the significant customers
of the acquired Infineon RF Power business or otherwise not fully realize anticipated benefits
of the transaction; the risk that retail customers may alter promotional pricing, increase promotion
of a competitor's products over our products or reduce their inventory levels, all
of which could negatively affect product demand; the risk that our investments may experience periods
of significant stock price
volatility causing us to recognize fair value losses on our investment; the risk posed by managing an increasingly complex supply chain that has the ability to supply a sufficient quantity
of raw materials, subsystems and finished products with the required specifications and quality; the risk we may be required to record a significant charge to earnings if our goodwill or amortizable assets become impaired; risks relating to confidential information theft or misuse, including through cyber-attacks or cyber intrusion; our ability to complete development and commercialization
of products under development, such as our pipeline
of Wolfspeed products, improved LED chips, LED components, and LED lighting products risks related to our multi-year warranty periods for LED lighting products; risks associated with acquisitions, divestitures, joint ventures or investments generally; the rapid development
of new technology and competing products that may impair demand or render our products obsolete; the potential lack
of customer acceptance for our products; risks associated with ongoing litigation; and other factors discussed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended June 25, 2017, and subsequent reports filed with the SEC.
Volatility has come back with a vengeance recently as worries
of rising inflation sent interest rates
higher, rattling investors.
Stocks are falling as traders worry about rising interest rates, and
volatility as measured by the VIX has jumped to its
highest since the market turmoil
of August 2015.
Although value stocks typically hold up better in times
of volatility, this bull market has been exceptionally smooth — up until the last year, that is — and favored
high - growth momentum stocks, which tend to have more expensive valuations.
While Syria and the Middle East represent potential
high risk events, investors should remember that the
volatility that we're seeing is not unusual, says Patrick Chovanec
of Silvercrest Asset Management.
Low
volatility isn't a signal to sell or
of imminent sustained
higher volatility, in our view.
Periods
of low
volatility also do not imply that
higher volatility is imminent.
In a guest post in The
High Frequency Trading Review, Narang freely admits that «there has been an increasing incidence, in recent times, of days exhibiting unusually high volatility (measured as days when the close - to - close return, or alternatively, the high - low trading range are large in magnitude).&ra
High Frequency Trading Review, Narang freely admits that «there has been an increasing incidence, in recent times,
of days exhibiting unusually
high volatility (measured as days when the close - to - close return, or alternatively, the high - low trading range are large in magnitude).&ra
high volatility (measured as days when the close - to - close return, or alternatively, the
high - low trading range are large in magnitude).&ra
high - low trading range are large in magnitude).»
The most recent such crisis, and the continued
volatility of the markets, means stock in the views
of NYU professor Nouriel (Dr. Doom) Roubini has never been
higher.
«Given the huge amount
of volatility next week in case
of a Yes vote, the Bank
of England would have put
high pressure on the banks to move south for the purposes
of preserving financial stability and confidence,» said Ronald MacDonald, a political economy professor at the University
of Glasgow.
The market
volatility index, otherwise known as the VIX and even better known as the fear gauge — a measure
of the expected
volatility of U.S. stocks — has surged to the
highest level in more than two years.
The determination
of Albertsons» majority owner, private equity firm Cerberus Capital Management LP, to carry out the IPO despite
volatility in the stock markets underscores its confidence that it can fetch a
high valuation for Albertsons.
The exact size and growth
of this workforce is debated, but workers employed under precarious work conditions make up a significant portion
of the larger workforce, with estimates that 4 out
of every 10 workers are now employed in precarious situations.49 These workers typically face
higher income
volatility than workers in traditional employment relationships because they spend more time unemployed or underemployed and some have low earnings.50
As a result, it is now clear that the U.S. is in the latter stages
of the multi-year credit cycle, a period when rising corporate leverage negatively affects returns to corporate debt as investors demand
higher risk premiums to compensate for the greater
volatility created by increased leverage.
Higher volatility may help some active managers, but investors will need to see long periods
of outperformance before reconsidering their affinity for passive investments.
Poon said the Fed's gradual withdrawal
of liquidity is having a global impact, causing
higher market
volatility in both the U.S. and Hong Kong.
One study by economist Elaine McCrate found that any reduction in wages associated with the benefit
of flexibility is modest at best and, in fact, many jobs with greater flexibility have
higher wages.137 Furthermore, the
volatility of earnings for many independent contractors would offset any compensating wage differentials, because workers can not compare the value
of flexibility to
higher earnings when they aren't able to predict their earnings as independent contractors.138
Congress and the Obama administration have created
high levels
of uncertainty that continue to create
volatility and a negative bias in the markets, the money manager says.
The stock market opened way down, continuing last Friday's selloff, though it has climbed back since the open — implying the return
of volatility — as skittish investors continue to fear the sequence I describe in this AM's WaPo: tight labor market, wage pressures,
higher interest rates, inflation, lower profit margins.
Longer term, emerging markets are the drivers
of global economic growth and investors would do well to have some exposure, even if it comes with
higher volatility.
Additionally, right before a stock breaks out and rockets
higher, there is typically a period
of volatility contraction and declining volume within the base
of consolidation (learn about basing and consolidation patterns here).
They also developed new rules, known as circuit breakers, allowing exchanges to halt trading temporarily in instances
of exceptionally large price declines.12 For example, under current rules, the New York Stock Exchange will temporarily halt trading when the S&P 500 stock index declines 7 percent, 13 percent, and 20 percent in order to provide investors «the ability to make informed choices during periods
of high market
volatility.»
Low
volatility had been replaced by
high volatility — Q1 had 23 days
of daily moves greater than 1 % in the S&P versus seven such days for all
of last year, and the first few weeks
of the second quarter have seen similar swings.
That means owning more stocks, which offer the potential for growth at the cost
of higher volatility.