Not exact matches
The U.S.
bull market is more than eight years old and easily one
of the
longest on record.
World growth will remain low
on average but negative in the UK and Europe; price inflation will remain sufficiently subdued for a while
longer so as to impose no constraint
on monetary expansion; central banks will sustain a regime
of negative real interest rates and rapid monetary expansion; the risk
of a eurozone collapse is off the table for now; finally, stock
markets should continue to perform better than expected, even though the four - year old cyclical
bull market is
long by historical standards.
After the third
longest bull market advance
on record, fresh deterioration in key trend - following components within our measures
of market internals (see Support Drops Away) recently joined this extended, overvalued, overbought, overbullish peak, even as the S&P 500 hovers at the top
of its monthly Bollinger bands (two standard deviations above the 20 - period average) and cyclical momentum rolls over from a 9 - year high.
As
long as KBE stays above 20.15
on a weekly closing basis, the ETF is most likely in the middle stages
of a secular
bull market.
The average length
of the last 13
bull markets was about 1,500 days, making the current phase two - times
longer than average.2 However, the
market has a
long way to go to extend past the
longest bull market on record that started in 1987 and ended in 2000, lasting nearly 4,500 days.
Based purely
on long - term cycles, a successful argument could be made that we have been in a secular commodity
bull market since the turn
of the century in 2000.
Regardless
of what you think
of it, the second -
longest U.S.
bull market in modern history continues to rage
on.
The bitcoin
markets have been
on a year
long bull trend that may be more sustainable than the parabolic pump
of the 2013 bubble.
In other words, after the
longest bull market in history followed by one
of the worst decades for investment returns
on record, we're in roughly the same position we started in.
If you have core holdings that you plan to own for the
long - term then why not write some out
of the money calls
on them to generate some extra income (even if they're rising in a
bull market)?
Unemployment is down to 6.5 % from a high
of 8.7 % in August 2009, our stock portfolios have bounced back thanks to a
long bull market, we're saving more and we're taking
on debt at a slower rate.
With silver at decades -
long highs, an obvious question one has to consider is whether this is a bubble ready to burst, a continuation
of a secular
bull trend, or simply that this is another efficient
market example where prices do reflect the appropriate value based
on all
market information known at this time.
Looking at past occurrences
of a MACD crossover
on a monthly chart... Bear
Markets have started... Look at this monthly chart with a MACD over lay... Let me know your thoughts... we are only in the 6 + year of one of the longest bull mar
Markets have started... Look at this monthly chart with a MACD over lay... Let me know your thoughts... we are only in the 6 + year
of one
of the
longest bull marketsmarkets...
Given the length
of the current
bull market cycle, one
of the
longest on record, clients often ask this question.
Although there are
market selloffs known as corrections — defined as a drop
of at least 10 percent — every year or so
on average, true
bull markets tend to have
long durations.
OK, that's enough from me for now — hopefully this adds some interesting (& speculative) insights, both near term and / or
long term, to my investment thesis: We're in a
bull market, which just might transform itself into a bubble, and even ultimately become the mother
of all bubbles... This is obviously an evolving thesis — which I must highlight, is designed to be constantly questioned and re-evaluated based
on new data & developments, and certainly not a thesis to be simply adopted & defended to the death with all kinds
of confirmation bias.
The wipeout was such a jolt to the
markets that some analysts
on Monday were predicting the end
of a 30 - year -
long bond
market bull run.
«In a
bull market, we don't tend to care that our portfolio investments seem to behave the same, but I believe this bear
market has uncovered a
long - term problem,» said Jerry Verseput, a financial planner in El Dorado Hills, Calif., noting that technology and globalization have diluted the effectiveness
of diversification based
on company size and location.
Remember: the stock
market is always very volatile in the final 1 - 2 years
of a
bull market because some traders and investors jump
on the
long term bearish bandwagon too early.
And today, I'm writing about how yields
on the 30 - year U.S. Treasury bond tumbled from more than 15 % in 1981 to a little more than 3 % today (in what has turned out to be the second -
longest bull market of the modern financial era).
In addition, advisors can help keep clients focused
on the
long - term during periods when clients are tempted to leap to a «faster horse» during
bull markets, or abandon their plan altogether at the depths
of bear
markets.
The key to developing an approach to buy - and - hold that stands a good chance
of working in the real world is to focus
on giving investors a realistic picture
of how stocks work in a
long run that includes both
bull and bear
markets.
When we're surely near the end
of a decades -
long bond
bull market (2.38 %
on 10 year USTs & 0.98 %
on Bunds)!?
Introduction The Great Recession
of 2008 — which ended in the spring
of 2009 — brought
on one
of the greatest and
longest bull markets in modern history.
A couple
of weeks ago, Artforum magazine hosted a panel at the New School titled «Art and Money,» which focused
on the effects
of the decade -
long bull market in contemporary art.
Bearish sentiments subsided
on approach to the lowest level
of 2018, but Ripple
bulls are nowhere to be seen yet, as cryptocurrency
market stays within the
long - term bearish trend.
While the recovery triggered a sigh
of relief from Bitcoin
bulls and hardcore HODLers, the upside may prove to be short - lived as
long as it is based
on market positioning
on approach to key technical levels.
Certainly agree with you that it's easy for me to make that statement
on the shoulders
of a
long bull market though.