10 °C rises in global average temperatures have not only occurred during the last 600 million years, but they are the defining characteristic
of the temperature record over that time.
Examination
of the temperature record over this period shows a slight cooling, peaking in 1992 - 1993, but these temperatures were certainly not â $ ˜unprecedentedâ $ ™, nor did they exceed the bounds of observed variability, yet it is well accepted that the cooling was attributable to the eruption.
A large number of factors affect the consistency
of the temperature records over time.
A large number of factors affect the consistency
of the temperature record over time.
Not exact matches
«We only have about 150 years
of direct measurements
of temperature, so if, for example, we want to estimate how great
of variations that can be expected
over 100 years, we look at the
temperature record for that period, but it can not tell us what we can expect for the
temperature record over 1000 years.
For a start, observational
records are now roughly five years longer, and the global
temperature increase
over this period has been largely consistent with IPCC projections
of greenhouse gas — driven warming made in previous reports dating back to 1990.
Manley's Central England
record coincides well with the year - to - year rises and falls
of temperature proxies: tree rings and written
records of when winter ice spread
over rivers or harbors and trees sprouted leaves.
Modern researchers have combined the fragmentary, overlapping
records they left behind into a series
of annual
temperatures averaged
over the region, which stretches from England's south coast 175 miles north to Manchester.
The most important
of these was an apparent mismatch between the instrumental surface
temperature record (which showed significant warming
over recent decades, consistent with a human impact) and the balloon and satellite atmospheric
records (which showed little
of the expected warming).
Boersma and Rebstock looked at the cause
of every
recorded chick mortality in an Argentinian colony
of Magellanic penguins,
over a nearly 30 - year period, and compared these with changes in
temperature and precipitation
over the same time.
Land and Ocean Combined: The combined average
temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for August 2014 was the
record highest for the month, at 61.45 °F (16.35 °C), or 1.35 °F (0.75 °C) above the 20th century average
of 60.1 °F (15.6 °C).
«Ice cores only tell you about
temperatures in Antarctica,» Shakun notes
of previous studies that relied exclusively on an ice core from Antarctica that
records atmospheric conditions
over the last 800,000 years.
Most
of the hydrate should remain stable within the
recorded temperature changes, Hutnak says, but if the hydrates are disrupted in another way, «it might be enough to push it them
over the edge.»
It is part
of a trend that saw Sydney's
temperature climb to
over 47 °C earlier this month — the highest
recorded in the city for 79 years — and could see both it and Melbourne experiencing mega ‑ heatwaves with highs
of 50 °C by 2040.
In the past decade, paleoclimatologists have reconstructed a
record of climate change
over the last millennium by consulting historical documents and examining indicators
of temperature change like tree rings, as well as oxygen isotopes in ice cores and coral skeletons.
The strongest evidence for global warming comes from physics and chemistry, not from
records of past
temperatures, which is why scientists were predicting warming long before the rise in
temperature over the 20th century was obvious.
After giving the dunnarts a month to get used to their diet, the team continued the diets for a further 19 days and
recorded the length and times
of the animals» torpor
over this period, using nests installed with
temperature sensors and video recorders.
There's been a lot
of warm air
over that region — Alaska has had a lot
of record temperatures and a lot
of rain.
The new method has already been used to examine climatic
records of sea surface
temperature at 65,000 points around the world
over a period
of 28 years and provided scientists with a clear understanding
of when and where
temperature fluctuations occur.
A scientist from the nearby Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) set up thermal cameras to
record the
temperature of the graves
over 24 - hour periods while the bodies decomposed.
The committee has prepared a report that, in my view, provides policy makers and the scientific community with a critical view
of surface
temperature reconstructions and how they are evolving
over time, as well as a good sense
of how important our understanding
of the paleoclimate
temperature record is within the overall state
of scientific knowledge on global climate change.
This committee was asked to describe and assess the state
of scientific efforts to reconstruct surface
temperature records for the Earth
over approximately the last 2,000 years.
The NRC asked the committee to summarize current scientific information on the
temperature record for the past two millennia, describe the main areas
of uncertainty and how significant they are, describe the principal methodologies used and any problems with these approaches, and explain how central is the debate
over the paleoclimate
temperature record to the state
of scientific knowledge on global climate change.
According to the Land & Ocean
Temperature Percentiles map above, monthly
record warmth was observed
over much
of northern Canada, far northwestern Russia, southern Japan, the Philippines, part
of southwestern China, and central southern Africa.
The confused argument hinges on one data set — the HadCRUT 3V — which is only one
of several estimates, and it is the global
temperature record that exhibits the least change
over the last decade.
This study integrates the complementary information preserved in the global database
of borehole
temperatures [Huang et al., 2000], the 20th century meteorological
record [Jones et al., 1999], and an annually resolved multi proxy model [Mann et al., 1999] for a more complete picture
of the Northern Hemisphere
temperature change
over the past five centuries.
The most charitable explanation is that it is the trivial observation that a tree ring proxy must be calibrated to the
temperature record over some portion
of the chronology to provide a useful reconstruction.
Here, we report on local and global changes in MHW characteristics
over time as
recorded by satellite and in situ measurements
of sea surface
temperature (SST) and defined using a quantitative MHW framework, which allows for comparisons across regions and events1.
The Nature article comes as climate scientists published what they said today was the «best ever» collection
of evidence for global warming, including
temperature over land, at sea and in the higher atmosphere, along with
records of humidity, sea - level rise, and melting ice.
Vast numbers
of corals died suddenly during a
record - breaking El Niño that raised sea - surface
temperature 1 °C
over a 3 - month period.
Despite reams
of proxy data and historical
records showing that the Earth's
temperature behaved sinusoidally
over the last 1000 years, Mann only sees a hockey stick behavior.
Climatology data from the historical
record give a picture
of the fluctuations in sea - surface
temperature over the last 160 years.
A vivid example
of this is a recent post by Steve Goddard which casts doubt on the fact that we've experienced
record hot
temperatures over the last year, citing falling sea levels in 2010.
The increasing depleation
of ozone
over the Pole regions, Real Climate (6 May 2005)
Record Artic Ozone Loss, has at least coincided with decreased
temperatures, comment 5, and increased snow falls in the Antartic continents interior, New Scientist (28 May 2005) in Brief, p. 17.
A massive dome
of high pressure, sometimes referred to as a «heat dome,» has set up shop
over Alaska, bringing all - time
record temperatures just a few weeks after parts
of the state had a
record cold start to spring.
But in July 2012, a combination
of soot from fires in Siberia coupled with warm
temperatures caused a
record - setting 95 percent
of the ice sheet to melt
over the course
of a week.
To contribute to an understanding
of the underlying causes
of these changes we compile various environmental
records (and model - based interpretations
of some
of them) in order to calculate the direct effect
of various processes on Earth's radiative budget and, thus, on global annual mean surface
temperature over the last 800,000 years.
Climate Denialdom went ballistic
over my recent video on the satellite
temperature record, including John Christy, the Ned Flanders
of climate denial — who spent half his recent congressional testimony sputtering about «well funded» video attacks on his shaky science
record.
The
record - setting
temperatures of 2016 have seen a small push from an exceptionally strong El Niño, but they are largely the result
of the heat that has built up in the atmosphere
over decades
of unabated greenhouse gas emissions — as the spiral graphic makes clear.
During this winter in the southern hemisphere, centuries - old heatwave
records have been shattered all
over Australia in the past week as cities from Hobart to Sydney have been hit by prolonged stretches
of temperature far above normal.
The climate in most places has undergone minor changes
over the past 200 years, and the land - based surface
temperature record of the past 100 years exhibits warming trends in many places.
Mike Wallace's talk was about the «National Research Council Report on the «Hockey Stick Controversy»... The charge to the committee, was «to summarize current information on the
temperature records for the past millennium, describe the main areas
of uncertainty and how significant they are, describe the principal methodologies used and any problems with these approaches, and explain how central is the debate
over the paleoclimate
record within the overall state
of knowledge on global climate change.»
Figure 6: a) spectral power density periodogram
of Vostok
temperature - proxy
records over the Holocene for 12,000 years showing six peaks.
Record high
temperatures over land surfaces were measured across Far East Russia, Alaska, far western Canada, a swath
of the eastern United States, much
of Central America and northern South America, southern Chile, much
of eastern and western Africa, north central Siberia, parts
of south Asia, much
of southeast Asia island nations and Papua New Guinea, and parts
of Australia, especially along the northern and eastern coasts.
While the planet's surface
temperatures over the past century have risen to unprecedented levels,
records have shown a slowdown in the pace
of warming
over the past 15 years.
With
over 7 feet
of snow and
record freezing cold
temperatures here in the northeast... I'd say yes, I'm dreaming
of spring!
In an absolute monarchy, the monarch rules as an autocrat, with absolute power
over the state and government — for example, the right to The instrumental
temperature record provides the
temperature of Earth's climate system from the historical network
of in situ measurements
of surface air
global average sfc T anomalies [as] indicative
of anomalies in outgoing energy... is not well supported
over the historical
temperature record in the model ensemble or more recent satellite observations
In addition, since the global surface
temperature records are a measure that responds to albedo changes (volcanic aerosols, cloud cover, land use, snow and ice cover) solar output, and differences in partition
of various forcings into the oceans / atmosphere / land / cryosphere, teasing out just the effect
of CO2 + water vapor
over the short term is difficult to impossible.
internal / natural variability
over a long enough timeframe will not alter the long term trend
of the
temperature record (as we are always reminded) but in this relatively short term analysis it did especially for the last decade