This adjustment
of tide gauge data to yield a rising sea level trend where none exists is not occasional or episodic.
NASA's web site still presents a Climategate worthy deletion
of tide gauge data in the ehole satellite era:
Here only the satellite data have been updated to October 2010 as compared to our original paper (thanks to Anny Cazenave for those data), as we don't have an update
of the tide gauge data.
Nevertheless such variability induced by winds or currents may give a false impression of global sea level fluctuations in analyses
of tide gauge data.
A new analysis
of tide gauge data has found that oceans rose just 1.2 millimeters a year between 1901 and 1990, researchers report online today in Nature.
Not exact matches
Even when there doesn't happen to be an overpass at surge time, the statistics
of sea level that we got from more than 20 years
of repeated altimetric observations in the area can still be combined with
data from nearby
tide gauges to improve the forecasts
of the expected surge.»
Raw
data collected from altimeters have been re-processed and collated with wind speed
data from scatterometers and sea level measurements from
tide gauges, to show the spatial structure
of each storm.
Others have used
tide gauge data to measure GMSL acceleration, but scientists have struggled to pull out other important details from
tide -
gauge data, such as changes in the last couple
of decades due to more active ice sheet melt.
Satellite
data shows a linear trend
of 3.3 ± 0.4 mm / year and the
tide gauge reconstruction trend is slightly less.
However, the POLENET umbrella also includes
data acquired at magnetic observatories for earth applications, gravity and absolute gravity stations,
tide -
gauge sites, and other types
of geodetic observations.
This enabled the NOAA
tide gauge at this site to report a maximum storm
tide level
of 3.88 feet above NAVD88
datum.
While previous studies had examined the effects
of El Niño on sea levels, namely around Australia, this one was the first to look at the U.S. and combine
tide gauge and satellite
data.
Several previous analyses
of tide gauge records1, 2,3,4,5,6 — employing different methods to accommodate the spatial sparsity and temporal incompleteness
of the
data and to constrain the geometry
of long - term sea - level change — have concluded that GMSL rose over the twentieth century at a mean rate
of 1.6 to 1.9 millimetres per year.
Rates
of sea - level rise calculated from
tide gauge data tend to exceed bottom - up estimates derived from summing loss
of ice mass, thermal expansion and changes in land storage.
The «zoo»
of global sea level curves calculated from
tide gauge data has grown — tomorrow a new reconstruction
of our US colleagues around Carling Hay from Harvard University will appear in Nature (Hay et al. 2015).
Error bars don't go away, they do shrink greatly once we have additional
data from
tide gauge sites and then from the global network
of tide gauge sites (the Hay et al curve) available.
Sweet advised the Union
of Concerned Scientists team on how to use NOAA's
tide gauge data.
«The shock for us was that tidal flooding could become the new normal in the next 15 years; we didn't think it would be so soon,» said Melanie Fitzpatrick, one
of three researchers at the nonprofit who analyzed
tide gauge data and sea level projections, producing soused prognoses for scores
of coastal Americans.
Reconstruction
of past decades sea level using thermosteric sea level,
tide gauge, satellite altimetry and ocean reanalysis
data.
Note that this sampling noise in the
tide gauge data most likely comes from the water sloshing around in the ocean under the influence
of winds etc., which looks like sea - level change if you only have a very limited number
of measurement points, although this process can not actually change the true global - mean sea level.
As is often the case, understanding the implication
of the
tide -
gauge data requires longer - term context.
Stefan, In your paper, you show that the
tide gauge data falls at the low end
of the uncertainty in the satellite altimeter.
Shown is the past history
of sea level since the year 1700 from proxy
data (sediments, purple) and multiple records from
tide gauge measurements.
We are preparing to deposit all 622
of our
tide gauge reconstructions, and intend to generate some maps when we write the
data descriptor.
> A new comment on the post # 74 «Michael Crichton's State
of Confusion» is > waiting for your approval > > Author: Hans Erren -LRB--RRB- > E-mail: erren21 @... > URL: > Whois:... > Comment: > Sea - level rise > > Although satellite
data (TOPEX / POSEIDON (sic) and JASON) shows a much > steeper trend over recent years (2.8 mm / yr) than the long term mean > estimates from
tide gauges (1.7 to 2.4 mm / yr), each method compared to > itself does not indicate an accelleration.
It uses the satellite
data of sea level to determine the typical variability patterns
of the sea surface and thus to establish the link between the locally measured
tide gauge values and the global sea level.
There are clearly some problems in comparing
tide gauge and satellite
data, and
of course, satellites can have their problems (cf. MSU
data), but the quoted numbers don't support the actual statement at all — though it would be fairer to say that the satellites are consistent with a recent rise in the rate, rather than a proof that it is occurring.
In Aden, similar to Karachi and Mumbai and other
tide gauges of the area, a single -
tide gauge record is the result
of multiple sets
of data subjectively coupled together.
Tide -
gauge data from Diego Garcia (1988 — 2000, and 2003 — 2011) show no statistically significant long - term rise, whilst the rates
of rise obtained from the satellite altimeter record for 1993 — 2011 span the range
of 0.16 — 4.56 mm yr − 1 in the surrounding sea areas (70 — 74 ° E and 4 — 9 ° S) and are also consistent with a zero rate except in the far south
of the region... this has been a relatively stable physical environment, and that these low - lying coral islands should continue to be able to support human habitation, as they have done for much
of the last 200 years.
This is based on their interpretation
of tide gauges which is not shared by other researchers, and is contradicted by more accurate satellite - based
data.
But these adjustments are made on a
data - set that is only 25 years in length and this would be laughed out
of court if adjustments were made on
tide gauge data that only started in 1993.
I do hope that the (much - hyped) issue
of global sea - level rise and putative recent acceleration will be examined seriously here as a geophysical problem and not be subjected to summary number - crunching by inept blog lions who naively think that simple detrending
of highly different
tide -
gauge records alleviates all issues
of establishing a common
datum - level.
When you use
tide gauge data, you need a lot
of samples, otherwise you get local coastal effects, and one station is
of no use at all.
To conduct the research, a team
of scientists led by John Fasullo
of the US National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, combined
data from three sources: NASA's GRACE satellites, which make detailed measurements
of Earth's gravitational field, enabling scientists to monitor changes in the mass
of continents; the Argo global array
of 3,000 free - drifting floats, which measure the temperature and salinity
of the upper layers
of the oceans; and satellite - based altimeters that are continuously calibrated against a network
of tide gauges.
We demonstrate that VLM corrections, area weighting, and our use
of a common reference
datum for
tide gauges may explain the lower rates compared with earlier GMSL estimates in approximately equal proportion.
Estimates from proxy
data1 (for example, based on sediment records) are shown in red (1800 - 1890, pink band shows uncertainty),
tide gauge data in blue for 1880 - 2009,2 and satellite observations are shown in green from 1993 to 2012.3 The future scenarios range from 0.66 feet to 6.6 feet in 2100.4 These scenarios are not based on climate model simulations, but rather reflect the range
of possible scenarios based on other kinds
of scientific studies.
The long - term
tide gauges in the Mediterranean show sea - level trends for the 20th century in the range
of 1.1 — 1.3 mm / yr whilst more recent satellite altimetry
data reveals much larger increases in sea - level throughout the basin towards the latter part
of the century.
Individual
tide gauge records can't tell us about SLR in units
of cm / decade, because it takes perhaps 5 decades
of data to obtain a usefully narrow confidence interval.
If you look at most
data for the last 5 millennia, the rate
of rise is smaller than we measured in the early 20th century with
tide gauges.
Yet, the
tide -
gauge data provide clear indication
of a stability over the last 30 years.
Finally NOAA 2016 updated coastal sea level rise
tide gauge data shows no acceleration in sea level rise along the California coastline or anywhere else despite false claims by the UN IPCC that man made emissions have been increasing rates
of sea level rise since the 1970's.
Analyses
of tide gauge and altimetry
data by Vinogradov and Ponte (2011), which indicated the presence
of considerably small spatial scale variability in annual mean sea level over many coastal regions, are an important factor for understanding the uncertainties in regional sea - level simulations and projections at sub-decadal time scales in coarse - resolution climate models that are also discussed in Chapter 13.
SLR calculated from
Tide Gauge data that has not been corrected by a Continuous Operating GPS Reference System station for vertical land movement, preferably one attached to the same structure as the tide gauge, are not fit for purpose of determining any sort of Global Mean Sea Level or its rise (or fa
Tide Gauge data that has not been corrected by a Continuous Operating GPS Reference System station for vertical land movement, preferably one attached to the same structure as the tide gauge, are not fit for purpose of determining any sort of Global Mean Sea Level or its rise (or f
Gauge data that has not been corrected by a Continuous Operating GPS Reference System station for vertical land movement, preferably one attached to the same structure as the
tide gauge, are not fit for purpose of determining any sort of Global Mean Sea Level or its rise (or fa
tide gauge, are not fit for purpose of determining any sort of Global Mean Sea Level or its rise (or f
gauge, are not fit for purpose
of determining any sort
of Global Mean Sea Level or its rise (or fall).
In the early 2000s, it was noticed that sea level rise was not accelerating when considering
tide gauge data (and it had decelerated relative to the first half
of the 20th century).
Long - term, independent records from weather stations, satellites, ocean buoys,
tide gauges, and many other
data sources all confirm that our nation, like the rest
of the world, is warming.
The sea level is increasing by about 1.3 mm / year according to the
data of the
tide -
gauges (after correction
of the emergence or subsidence
of the rock to which the
tide gauge is attached, nowadays precisely known thanks to high precision GPS instrumentation); no acceleration has been observed during the last decades...»
The
tide gauges combined with co-located GPS receivers are more accurate (real
data) and produces a value around 1.3 to 1.8 mms / year
of sea level rise over about 150 sites across the world.
A «clean» International Terrestrial Reference Frame recalibration
of the GPS
data [28] leaves +1.3 mm / year for a representative set
of tide gauges over the world.
And now — based on sea level behavior between 1930 and 2010, as derived from United States
tide gauge data, plus extensions
of previous global -
gauge analyses — a new empirical study, which does not rely on a relationship between sea level and temperature, casts doubt upon both sets
of projections.
-------- http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/8/1/014013 Predictability
of twentieth century sea - level rise from past
data However, in combination, the use
of proxy and
tide gauge sea - level
data up to 1900 AD allows a good prediction
of twentieth century sea - level rise, despite this rise being well outside the rates experienced in previous centuries during the calibration period
of the model.