«The causes
of twentieth century temperature change in six separate land areas of the Earth have been determined by carrying out a series of optimal detection analyses.
Reference: Stott, P. A., Tett, S. F. B., Jones, G. S., Allen, M. R., Mitchell, J. F.B. Jenkins, G. J., 2000, External control
of twentieth century temperature by natural and anthropogenic causes.
Not exact matches
«Nothing in the paper undermines in any way the conclusion
of earlier studies that the average
temperature of the late
twentieth century in the Northern Hemisphere was anomalous against the background
of the past millennium,» wrote Mann and Princeton University's Michael Oppenheimer in a privately circulated statement.
If the GHCN's collection is treated as a more or less complete accounting
of the available instrumental
temperature record, then the number
of stations rose steadily during the first half
of the
twentieth century, surged in the 1940s - 1970s, and then sharply declined afterward.
seems to be incompatible with the statement from his Annual review paper from 2000 (see abstract below) that: «The average surface
temperature of the continents has increased by about 1.0 K over the past 5
centuries; half
of this increase has occurred in the
twentieth century alone.»
* However, the same panel then concluded that «the warming trend in global - mean surface
temperature observations during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real and is substantially greater than the average rate
of warming during the
twentieth century.
The global average surface
temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start
of the
twentieth century, and the rate
of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the
century - scale trend.»
Global warming does not mean no winter, it means winter start later, summer hotter, as Gary Peters said «The global average surface
temperature has risen between 0.6 °C and 0.7 °C since the start
of the
twentieth century, and the rate
of increase since 1976 has been approximately three times faster than the
century - scale trend.»
It's the latest research in more than a decade
of work producing a climate «hockey stick» — graphs
of global or regional
temperatures showing relatively little variation over a millennium or more and then a sharp uptick since the middle
of the
twentieth century (the blade at the end
of the stick).
If the GHCN's collection is treated as a more or less complete accounting
of the available instrumental
temperature record, then the number
of stations rose steadily during the first half
of the
twentieth century, surged in the 1940s - 1970s, and then sharply declined afterward.
By integrating a global database
of terrestrial heat flux measurements with another database
of temperature versus depth within boreholes and with the
twentieth -
century instrumental record
of surface
temperature, Huang et al. reconstruct the surface
temperature history over the past 20,000 years.
The profile indicates that
temperatures remain below the average over the first half
of the
twentieth century.
seems to be incompatible with the statement from his Annual review paper from 2000 (see abstract below) that: «The average surface
temperature of the continents has increased by about 1.0 K over the past 5
centuries; half
of this increase has occurred in the
twentieth century alone.»
An analysis
of the spatial characteristics
of the observed early
twentieth -
century surface air
temperature anomaly revealed that it was associated with similar sea ice variations.
Recognizes that warming
of the climate system is unequivocal and that most
of the observed increase in global average
temperatures since the mid
twentieth century is very likely due to the increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations, as assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change in its Fourth Assessment Report;
Here we show that the hemispheric differences in
temperature trends in the middle
of the
twentieth century stem largely from a rapid drop in Northern Hemisphere sea surface
temperatures of about 0.3 6C between about 1968 and 1972.
-- Ref.4 — Tett etal (1999) «Causes
of twentieth -
century temperature change near the Earth's surface»?
nope Rate
of recent
temperature rise significantly exceeds the early
twentieth century temperature rise?
With
temperature changes as marked as in the first half
of the
twentieth century, with
temperature changes as seen in Dalton minimum, Maunder minimum etcetc, we againg and again are dealing with major
temperature changes in just a few decades.
Because
of global warming due to increasing greenhouse gases, the maps from the late 1800s and the early 1900s are dominated by shades
of blue, indicating
temperatures were up to 3 °C (5.4 °F) cooler than the
twentieth -
century average.
Some argue that the combined increase in
temperature and humidity is the major reason for accelerated tropical glacier retreat in the Andes toward the latter half
of the
twentieth century.2
«
Twentieth century bipolar seesaw
of the Arctic and Antarctic surface air
temperatures».
«On forced
temperature changes, internal variability, and the AMO» «Tracking the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation through the last 8,000 years» «The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation as a dominant factor
of oceanic influence on climate» «The role
of Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation in the global mean
temperature variability» «The North Atlantic Oscillation as a driver
of rapid climate change in the Northern Hemisphere» «The Atlanto - Pacific multidecade oscillation and its imprint on the global
temperature record» «Imprints
of climate forcings in global gridded
temperature data» «North Atlantic Multidecadal SST Oscillation: External forcing versus internal variability» «Forced and internal
twentieth -
century SST trends in the North Atlantic» «Interactive comment on «Imprints
of climate forcings in global gridded
temperature data» by J. Mikšovský et al.» «Atlantic and Pacific multidecadal oscillations and Northern Hemisphere
temperatures»
According to them the eighties and the nineties were a warming period called the «late
twentieth century warming» where
temperature rose at the rate
of 0.1 degrees Celsius per decade.
Diurnal
temperature variation exceeds the 0.74 C
twentieth century warming trend by orders
of magnitude, but these variations obviously even out over long intervals.
But it was impossible to even see it as long as that fake late
twentieth century warming covered it up.The
temperature history
of your period now involves the short warming from 1976 to the beginning
of the satellite era, followed by eighteen years
of no warming at all until the super El Nino arrives.
«Hulme et al. (2001) noted that throughout the
twentieth century, Africa has warmed at a rate
of 0.5 °C
century − 1 and from 1987 to 1998, the six warmest years in Africa's
temperature record occurred with increasing intensity making 1998 the warmest.
Meehl et al., 2004 found that «By far the largest
temperature response is to the GHGs in Fig. 1e, with slow warming occurring in the first half
of the
twentieth century up to about.
For instance: in support
of «
temperatures and causality» he cites a paper by Zhang et al on «Detection
of human influence on
twentieth century precipitation trends».
Ozone depletion in the late
twentieth century was the primary driver
of the observed poleward shift
of the jet during summer, which has been linked to changes in tropospheric and surface
temperatures, clouds and cloud radiative effects, and precipitation at both middle and low latitudes.
In the hundred years
of the
twentieth century, global air
temperatures rose 0.74 OC (33
OF).
At some time or another, most people will have seen the hockey stick - the iconic graph which purports to show that after
centuries of stable
temperatures, the second half
of the
twentieth century saw a sudden and unprecedented warming
of the globe.
«Excluding Antarctica, the
twentieth -
century average
temperature among the six regions was about 0.4 °C higher than the averaged
temperatures of the preceding five
centuries»
In the opinion
of the panel, the warming trend in global - mean surface
temperature observations during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real and is substantially greater than the average rate
of warming during the
twentieth century.
In the
twentieth century temperature increased the most from 1900 to 1950 but human production
of CO2 was lower.
The first sentence
of the opening paragraph reads, «The time history
of observed
twentieth -
century global - mean surface
temperature reflects the combined influences
of naturally occurring climate variations and anthropogenic emissions
of greenhouse gases and sulfate aerosols.»
A 2015 study using regional ice core data reveals no unusual
temperature changes but an exceptional 30 % increase in snow accumulation during the
twentieth century, again supporting Zwally's analysis
of mass gain in interior west Antarctica.
The warming
of surface
temperature that has taken place during the past 20 years is undoubtedly real, and it is at a rate substantially larger than the average warming during the
twentieth century.
· Globally, it is very likely that the 1990s was the warmest decade and 1998 the warmest year in the instrumental record, since 1861... the increase in
temperature in the
twentieth century is likely to have been the largest
of any
century during the past 1000 years.
Checking pre-satellite era
temperatures we find that the first half
of twentieth century warming took place between 1910 and the start
of the Second World War.There was no warming from the end
of that period until 1998, a stretch
of more than fifty years, while carbon dioxide kept increasing.
In the opinion
of the panel, the disparity between satellite and surface
temperature trends during 1979 — 98 in no way invalidates the conclusion
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report (IPCC, 1996) that global surface
temperature has warmed substantially since the beginning
of the
twentieth century.
The statewide average
temperature during the winter
of 2014 — 2015 was the warmest ever recorded (50.5 °F)-- more than 5 °F warmer than the average for the
twentieth century.
Tett SFB et al., JGR 2002 (Estimation
of natural and anthropogenic contributions to
twentieth century temperature change,) says «Our analysis suggests that the early
twentieth century warming can best be explained by a combination
of warming due to increases in greenhouse gases and natural forcing, some cooling due to other anthropogenic forcings, and a substantial, but not implausible, contribution from internal variability.
Over the
twentieth century, the methods used to measure the
temperature at the surface
of the ocean have changed.
And remember warming
temperatures globally swung upward — at least my information tells me this — in the first half
of the
twentieth century before World War II and the post-war industrial boom — and the second half
of the
century, with all
of the industrial activity, didn't global
temperatures remain fairly static?
For LST [land surface
temperatures], bias errors may be caused by urbanization over the
twentieth century, and uncertainty due to the use
of nonstandard thermometer shelters before 1950 (Jones et al. 1990; Parker 1994; Folland et al. 2001).
«The advances can not be reconciled with a climate similar to that
of the
twentieth century» says nothing about
temperature.
The new adjustment are likely to have a substantial impact on the historical record
of global - mean surface
temperatures through the middle part
of the
twentieth century.
Again, can someone provide raw data
of proxies with annual resolution that would confirm the alleged evolution
of temperatures in the
twentieth century?
From many years I launch appeals for raw data
of proxies with annual resolution that would confirm the alleged evolution
of temperatures in the
twentieth century.