Different organisations may apply a range of carbon budgets, meaning the precise amount
of unburnable carbon cited varies.
A future not of peak oil but rather
of unburnable carbon.
This concept
of unburnable fossil fuels is gaining traction.
Even as renewables take off, every year more and more
of that unburnable carbon is being locked into production.
In light of Carbon Tracker's «Wasted capital and stranded assets» analysis and the scale
of unburnable fossil fuel assets it revealed, there is a clear need for markets to become more «climate literate».
In the context
of our Unburnable Carbon 2013 reports and carbon budgets, instinctively it may feel that oil and gas on this scale must remain in the ground.
The reporting survey indicated that the issue
of unburnable carbon is not being addressed, and the current strategies laid out in annual reports talk of growth that is incompatible with emissions limits.
He was way ahead of the game before the more recent pronouncements
of unburnable carbon and «stranded assets ``.
The Carbon Tracker Initiative, a nonprofit organization that studies carbon budgets, has warned that the remaining vast reserves
of unburnable carbon will become stranded assets.
Not exact matches
Only 20 %
of the total reserves can be burned unabated, leaving up to 80 %
of assets technically
unburnable.
Mark Carney, the former Governor
of the Bank
of Canada who now heads up the Bank
of England, legitimized the concept
of the carbon bubble by confirming that the «vast majority
of [fossil fuel] reserves are
unburnable» if we are to avoid dangerous climate disruption.
The study, which Carbon Tracker produced alongside the London School
of Economics» Grantham Research Institute, therefore calls the bulk
of reserves «
unburnable».
Several recent reports suggest that markets are now overlooking the risk
of «
unburnable carbon».
Buzz phrase
of moment: «
unburnable carbon.»
An article in the latest issue
of The Economist explores whether acknowledgement that some fossil fuel stocks are
unburnable means companies with big coal or oil reserves are overvalued, at least on long time horizons.
A new buzz phrase in the push to limit greenhouse gas emissions is «
unburnable carbon» — an effort to define and then wall off the portion
of the world's still - vast reserves
of coal, oil or natural gas that might, if combusted, cause unacceptably costly or dangerous climate change.
In fact, many people (including the Governor
of the Bank
of England) are increasingly concerned that most fossil fuels are
unburnable, meaning many existing reserves and investments in future exploration are in very real danger
of becoming worthless.
After all, when the car that's generating the most buzz among the public burns literally zero oil; when Saudi Arabia says it's got to diversify away from oil; and when the Governor
of the Bank
of England says many
of our known reserves are
unburnable, a strategy based on discovering and selling more oil in the future starts to look uncertain at best.
The non-profit financial think tank Carbon Tracker has suggested that if world leaders are serious about keeping the world's temperature from rising above 2 degrees, then much
of the world's carbon reserves will be
unburnable and forced to stay in the ground, including any drilling in the Arctic.
A 2015 study concluded that in order to avoid the worst impacts
of runaway climate change, all Arctic fossil fuels should be classified as
unburnable.
Between 60 - 80 %
of coal, oil and gas reserves
of publicly listed companies are «
unburnable» if the world is to have a chance
of not exceeding global warming
of 2 °C
«The majority
of proven coal, oil, and gas reserves may be considered «
unburnable» if global temperature increases are to be limited to two degrees Celsius,» he wrote in a letter to the British parliament's Environmental Audit Committee (PDF) in October, referring to the widely accepted temperature threshold for avoiding the worst effects
of climate change.
The combination
of needing to limit carbon dioxide emissions and having fossil fuel companies that are valued by their proven reserves is what Carbon Tracker, a non-profit organization, is calling the «Carbon Bubble» in their new report, «
Unburnable carbon 2013: Wasted capital and stranded assets.»
He announced that in 2015 the Bank
of England's Finance Policy Committee would investigate whether risks to the value
of «
unburnable» fossil fuels assets could undermine financial stability in the way that sub-prime mortgages crashed the global economy in 2008.
The report argues that «60 - 80 %
of coal, oil and gas reserves
of publicly listed companies are «
unburnable» if the world is to have a chance
of not exceeding global warming
of 2 °C.»
And, no, the former VP is hardly the inspiration for the «
unburnable carbon» or «carbon asset bubble» thesis (the folks behind Investor Watch have been leaning into this for a half - dozen years and, more recently, issuing a series
of The Carbon Tracker reports).
It is baked into their business models that they have to push into what climate scientists and climate activists call
unburnable carbon, the carbon that is well beyond the collective budget for all
of humanity
of how much carbon we could burn and still have any shot at a livable planet.
In March 2012, Carbon Tracker's seminal report «
Unburnable Carbon» was Highly Commended in the City
of London's Sustainability Awards.
«Smart investors can already see that most fossil fuel reserves are essentially
unburnable because
of the need to reduce emissions in line with the global agreement by governments to avoid global warming
of more than 2 °C.
Beyond 2050, the total carbon budget is very small for a 2 °C target, which means that reserves will remain
unburnable during the second half
of the century unless there is a dramatic development
of CCS after 2050.
While Canadians attempt to bypass the stalled Keystone XL pipeline by completing a new conduit from Alberta to New Brunswick, they may find their position increasingly marginalized: the Canadian - born governor
of the Bank
of England declared last week that most oil reserves are
unburnable because
of climate considerations.
Mark Carney, the FSB chair stated that a carbon budget consistent with a 2 °C target «would render the vast majority
of reserves «stranded» — oil, gas and coal that will be literally
unburnable without expensive carbon capture technology, which itself alters fossil fuel economics»
The fourth in the series
of Carbon Tracker's
Unburnable Carbon reports, focuses on Brazil — a country with the fascinating combination
of a large, emerging economy, a strong renewable energy sector but also significant potential fossil fuels in the pipeline in which the state has a sizeable stake.
This question related to the fact that there is
unburnable carbon, and some
of that is owned by listed companies.
The fourth in the series
of Carbon Tracker's
Unburnable Carbon reports, focuses on Brazil - a country with the fascinating...
It was last September, and Carney, presently the head
of the Bank
of England, had signalled to British parliamentarians that his institution, and the international Financial Stability Board, which he chairs, had just begun an in - depth examination
of the systemic risks posed not just by climate change, but by the «
unburnable carbon» thesis advanced by the Carbon Tracker Initiative several years prior.
Paul Spedding, an oil and gas analyst at HSBC, said: «The scale
of «listed»
unburnable carbon revealed in this report is astonishing.
The normally conservative International Energy Agency has also concluded that a major part
of fossil fuel reserves is
unburnable.
In 2015 Carbon Tracker presented the stranded assets /
unburnable carbon idea to a full meeting
of central banks and regulators at the Financial Stability Board meeting on climate change hosted by Mark Carney, effectively contributing to the creation
of the Task Force on Climate - related Financial Disclosures (TCFD).
According to Carbon Tracker (PDF), there is a potential that 80 percent
of the world's carbon reserves will become
unburnable, which — if this situations holds true — would result in a $ 20 trillion write - off in losses by fossil fuel companies.
The idea
of «
unburnable carbon» is published for the first time by Mark Campanale, Founder
of Carbon Tracker, and Nick Robins, now Co-Director at the UNEP Inquiry into the Design
of a Sustainable Financial System, on the UK Quality
of Life Commission's website.
He endorsed research by Carbon Tracker showing that US$ 2 trillion worth
of fossil fuel assets are
unburnable as governments aim to hold global warming to 2C.
If 80 percent
of these reserves are left
unburnable, these companies as a whole will be forced to write off up to $ 20 trillion in losses.
According to report by the non-profit Carbon Tracker Initiative, up to 80 percent
of carbon assets could become
unburnable.
This is in response to Carbon Tracker's April 2013
Unburnable Carbon report, which found that in 2012 alone, the 200 largest publicly traded fossil fuel companies collectively spent an estimated $ 674 billion on finding and developing new reserves some
of which may never be utilized.
While the Obama Administration has been clear on its commitment to climate action, they continue to allow companies like Royal Dutch Shell to sink billions
of dollars in the hunt for
unburnable carbon in the U.S. Arctic Ocean off the coast
of Alaska.
According to the report's authors, «a material proportion
of the world's undeveloped reserves
of fossil fuels could become «
unburnable.
It told us that the whole «peak oil» trope was just wrong, that the real name
of the problem was
Unburnable Carbon.
But with mainstream banks questioning the competitiveness
of fossil fuels, and with the Governor
of the Bank
of England describing most fossil fuels as
unburnable, divestment (or at least diversification into clean energy investment) is looking less - and-less like gesture politics, and more like a sound plan to protect ourselves from future shocks.
We have discovered, to our considerable astonishment, that most
of the fossil fuel on the books
of our largest corporations is «
unburnable» — in the precise sense that, if we burn it, we are doomed.