Sentences with phrase «of uncertainty in the climate science»

Where do you come down on the whole subject of uncertainty in the climate science?

Aerosols are one of the greatest sources of uncertainty in climate science.

Paul Voosen, one of the most talented journalists probing human - driven climate change and related energy issues, has written an award - worthy two - part report for Greenwire on one of the most enduring sources of uncertainty in climate science — how the complicated response of clouds in a warming world limits understanding of how hot it could get from a given rise in greenhouse gas concentrations:

Does it really make sense that the level of uncertainty in climate science shouldn't be a big driver in the political decision between A and B?

FAR revealed, for example, that on the most important indicator of uncertainty in climate science — the likely range of warming for a given increase in carbon dioxide emissions — progress was actually retrograde.

He also failed to mention that board member Michael J. Boskin, who served as George W. Bush's chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, was one of the key culprits of that administration's consistent exaggeration of the uncertainties in climate science as a means for stymieing legislation that would curb carbon dioxide emissions.

The findings have generated vigorous international debate about an issue that remains a key area of uncertainty in climate science.

There is a tremendous amount of uncertainty in climate science, and while most climate scientists and many others understand this and operate rationally with this understanding, it is a huge political issue.

As is often the case, a serious examination of the uncertainties in climate science is anything but reassuring.

Not exact matches

As the Climate Science Special Report states, the magnitude of future climate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a staClimate Science Special Report states, the magnitude of future climate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a staclimate change depends significantly on «remaining uncertainty in the sensitivity of Earth's climate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a staclimate to [greenhouse gas] emissions,»» White House spokesperson Raj Shah said Friday in a statement.

Clearly there is a balance to strike between doom - ridden messages and «bright - side» opportunities, and uncertainties around the science and the expected effects of climate change must be factored in too.

That representation matches the public discourse around global warming, in which previous studies have shown that media characterize climate change as unsettled science with high levels of scientific uncertainty.

Cooney himself made 294 edits to the administration's 364 - page Strategic Plan for the U.S. Climate Change Science Program posted July 24, 2003, «to exaggerate or emphasize scientific uncertainties or to deemphasize or diminish the importance of the human role in global warming,» and Cooney and the CEQ played a role in eliminating climate change sections in the EPA's draft Report on the Environment as well as its National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Climate Change Science Program posted July 24, 2003, «to exaggerate or emphasize scientific uncertainties or to deemphasize or diminish the importance of the human role in global warming,» and Cooney and the CEQ played a role in eliminating climate change sections in the EPA's draft Report on the Environment as well as its National Air Quality and Emissions Trends climate change sections in the EPA's draft Report on the Environment as well as its National Air Quality and Emissions Trends Report.

But as the world warms they will shrink and temperatures will rise ever higher, according to a study that could help to resolve one of the biggest uncertainties in climate science.

We've reached a point now in the interdisciplinary growth of our science where we've got climate scientists, who understand the physics of climate and how that translates to uncertainties, working hand in hand with economists who will run the projected impacts through a cost - benefit analysis.

Clouds and their role in keeping the Earth's surface cool by reflecting sunlight back into space have been one of the biggest uncertainties of climate change science.

«The model we developed and applied couples biospheric feedbacks from oceans, atmosphere, and land with human activities, such as fossil fuel emissions, agriculture, and land use, which eliminates important sources of uncertainty from projected climate outcomes,» said Thornton, leader of the Terrestrial Systems Modeling group in ORNL's Environmental Sciences Division and deputy director of ORNL's Climate Change Science Insclimate outcomes,» said Thornton, leader of the Terrestrial Systems Modeling group in ORNL's Environmental Sciences Division and deputy director of ORNL's Climate Change Science InsClimate Change Science Institute.

«There are so many variables that will affect the future of forests in northern Minnesota, forest managers will probably always have to deal with some amount of uncertainty,» said Stephen Handler, lead author of the vulnerability assessment and a climate change specialist with the Northern Institute for Applied Climate Science (climate change specialist with the Northern Institute for Applied Climate Science (Climate Science (NIACS).

But given the uncertainties involved in climate change, the widespread and heartfelt mistrust of the research backing it, and the IPCC's delicate role at the crossing point of science and politics, many reckon that the communications chief will face a difficult task.

It was a small fraction of Exxon Research's annual $ 300 million budget, but the question the scientists tackled was one of the biggest uncertainties in climate science: how quickly could the deep oceans absorb atmospheric CO2?

In 2006, the Royal Society, the United Kingdom's science academy, sent a harsh letter to Exxon accusing it of being «inaccurate and misleading» on the question of climate uncertainty.

The next year, as the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change was publishing its second major assessment of climate science, Shell found itself in a delicate balancing act between accepting the scientific consensus and arguing that there was still too much uncertainty to dictate aggressive Climate Change was publishing its second major assessment of climate science, Shell found itself in a delicate balancing act between accepting the scientific consensus and arguing that there was still too much uncertainty to dictate aggressive climate science, Shell found itself in a delicate balancing act between accepting the scientific consensus and arguing that there was still too much uncertainty to dictate aggressive action.

The formation and properties of the aerosol cloud that sits above the monsoon are a major unknown in climate science, and their potential future changes represent one of the largest uncertainties in climate predictions.

Two papers published in Science, from scientists from the Universities of Washington and Oxford, discuss the role of uncertainty in current understanding of climate change, and our future efforts to tackle it.

The first installment in the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's latest scientific assessment on climate science came out on Friday, and it's loaded with dense terminology, expressions of uncertainty, and nearly impenetrable grClimate Change's latest scientific assessment on climate science came out on Friday, and it's loaded with dense terminology, expressions of uncertainty, and nearly impenetrable grclimate science came out on Friday, and it's loaded with dense terminology, expressions of uncertainty, and nearly impenetrable graphics.

They got 10 pages in Science, which is a lot, but in it they cover radiation balance, 1D and 3D modelling, climate sensitivity, the main feedbacks (water vapour, lapse rate, clouds, ice - and vegetation albedo); solar and volcanic forcing; the uncertainties of aerosol forcings; and ocean heat uptake.

J. Klabbers, J.P. van der Sluijs and R. Ybema, Handling uncertainties of global climate change: mapping the policy / science interface, in: Milieu - Journal of Environmental Sciences, vol 13, 5, 1998, p. 286 - 296.

Climate scientists» work is based on scientific knowledge and relationships, which must be respected, but we must take account, as in any area of science, the uncertainties in scientific data.

I once heard John Holdren (President Obama's science advisor) speak on the issue of uncertainty in climate predictions.

Unfortunately for policymakers and the public, while the basic science pointing to a rising human influence on climate is clear, many of the most important questions will remain surrounded by deep complexity and uncertainty for a long time to come: the pace at which seas will rise, the extent of warming from a certain buildup of greenhouse gases (climate sensitivity), the impact on hurricanes, the particular effects in particular places (what global warming means for Addis Ababa or Atlanta).

Having taken us to task for somehow not properly handling the uncertainties in climate science — an error we did not commit, as I document above — he then proceeds to offer a horrifically misleading summary of what the IPCC actually found about the achievability and cost of meeting the 2 degree goal.

I believe that statisticians can contribute more to climate sciences in better description of the uncertainties, in addition to better calibration of statistical models.

Drs Leonard Smith and Nicholas Stern wrote poignantly about how policy is nearly always set in the context of uncertainty, and that even incomplete scientific assessments can be of great value («Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy», http://www.lorentzcenter.nl/lc/web/2011/460/presentations/uncertainty, and that even incomplete scientific assessments can be of great value («Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy», http://www.lorentzcenter.nl/lc/web/2011/460/presentations/Uncertainty in science and its role in climate policy», http://www.lorentzcenter.nl/lc/web/2011/460/presentations/Smith.pdf).

Instead, you'll see something in between the world sought by «climate hawks,» the term proposed by David Roberts of Grist as the label for aggressive campaigners pursuing policies that live up to the picture delineated by science, and the contrasting world of free marketeers and industrialists who speak breezily of climate uncertainty as a reason to relax and let spreading wealth give people the leisure to start to care for the environment and the money and technology to do something to clean it up.

I've written in the past about other issues related to setting a numerical limit for climate dangers given both the enduring uncertainty around the most important climate change questions and the big body of science pointing to a gradient of risks rising with temperature.

Pieter Tans of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration stressed the persistent uncertainty in the range of warming expected from a buildup of greenhouse gases as cutting against the idea of specific thresholds: «Our biggest science problem is that we do not know how strong the climate feedbacks are, or even whether we know all of the ones that are important on decadal and longer time scales,» he said in an e-mail.

* Average citizens «understand» (recognize) uncertainties in climate science; recognition of uncertainties becomes part of the «conventional wisdom» * Media «understands» (recognizes) uncertainties in climate science * Media coverage reflects balance on climate science and recognition of the validity of viewpoints that challenge the current «conventional wisdom» * Industry senior leadership understands uncertainties in climate science, making them stronger ambassadors to those who shape climate policy * Those promoting the Kyoto treaty on the basis of extent science appears to be out of touch with reality.

It is not the statement of uncertainty that causes problems rather the over statement of certainty in press releases that causes the loss of confidence in climate science.

I think that Joe Public would be quite shocked that there is still so much apparent uncertainty in such a fundamental aspect of climate science, given the huge disruption already being caused by what may turn out to be premature attempts at mitigation.

and for more specific relevance and scope: Review of the U.S. Climate Science Program's Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.2, «Best Practice Approaches for Characterizing, Communicating, and Incorporating Scientific Uncertainty in Climate Decision making (2007).

Today and Wednesday a group of authors from across the different working groups — examining the basics of climate science, the impacts of warming and options for policy responses — are meeting at Jasper Ridge in northern California to come up with an approach for «consistent evaluation of uncertainties and risks.»

Koenig's careful description of the science and the uncertainty about what the future holds prompted a public spanking from the Center for American Progress climate blogger Joe Romm, who charged her with «scientific reticence» — alluding to NASA scientist James Hansen's paper criticizing sea - level researchers for being overly cautious in 2007 conclusions about the possible rate of sea rise in this century.

Not one to be constrained by mere facts or observable reality, he has launched a sally against Andy Revkin for reporting the shocking news that past industry disinformation campaigns were not sincere explorations of the true uncertainties in climate science.

Fred Pearce, the British science writer and author, has written a valuable summary of the implications of unyielding, and sometimes expanding, uncertainty in climate science for Yale Environment 360.

However, from what I've been able to learn from the people who actually do this type of research, there are simply too many variables and too many uncertainties in the field of climate science to make the sort of claims being made by advocates of the so - called «consensus» view.

James Murdoch, the young scion of the giant News Corporation media empire, has an op - ed article for The Washington Post aimed at «conservation - minded conservatives,» spelling out the many reasons to propel an energy transformation in the United States through a declining cap on carbon dioxide emissions, despite the uncertainties in climate science.

The IPCC process is a major effort to provide a comprehensive overview of the state of climate science, though as is evident even from the Summary — which, due to the necessity for brevity, tends to downplay uncertainties — there are still many difficult obstacles and uncertainties to overcome in determining the influence of human activities on the climate.»

It's interesting to note that the chatter about this technology has extended even to Wattsupwiththat, the aggregator of all things doubtful in climate science (where there'll always be sufficient farearound the edges to feed those seeking comfort in uncertainty).

The climate talks in Copenhagen this month present layers of complexity, shifting alliances among nations, hidden agendas and science laced with persistent uncertainties.

And left - wing groups have also been guilty of distorting the science for their own political ends, for instance by underplaying uncertainties (eg in attributing individual weather events to climate change).