We used methods that carefully consider potential sources
of uncertainty in the data, including uncertainty in proxy calibration and in dating of the samples»
Even seemingly straightforward questions, for example «is X safe» and «is X not safe» seem like (effectively) asking the same question but they may require entirely different analysis and give different results — because
of uncertainty in the data, in the results, the logical conclusions / inference required etc. etc..
In terms of remediation of the friction of scepticism in science, in recent years I have been stressing the proper, classic use of estimates
of uncertainty in data, particularly one - sided bias mechanisms.
Just checking, but by implication you think the representation
of the uncertainty in the data is appropriately represented here, using the standards applied in mainstream statistical inference?
Not exact matches
We are «concerned that these major findings are presented ambiguously within the Executive Summary and are inconsistent with the observations,
data, and levels
of uncertainty presented and discussed
in the body
of the draft Assessment Report,» states the review.
These risks and
uncertainties include, among others: the unfavorable outcome
of litigation, including so - called «Paragraph IV» litigation and other patent litigation, related to any
of our products or products using our proprietary technologies, which may lead to competition from generic drug manufacturers;
data from clinical trials may be interpreted by the FDA
in different ways than we interpret it; the FDA may not agree with our regulatory approval strategies or components
of our filings for our products, including our clinical trial designs, conduct and methodologies and, for ALKS 5461, evidence
of efficacy and adequacy
of bridging to buprenorphine; clinical development activities may not be completed on time or at all; the results
of our clinical development activities may not be positive, or predictive
of real - world results or
of results
in subsequent clinical trials; regulatory submissions may not occur or be submitted
in a timely manner; the company and its licensees may not be able to continue to successfully commercialize their products; there may be a reduction
in payment rate or reimbursement for the company's products or an increase
in the company's financial obligations to governmental payers; the FDA or regulatory authorities outside the U.S. may make adverse decisions regarding the company's products; the company's products may prove difficult to manufacture, be precluded from commercialization by the proprietary rights
of third parties, or have unintended side effects, adverse reactions or incidents
of misuse; and those risks and
uncertainties described under the heading «Risk Factors»
in the company's most recent Annual Report on Form 10 - K and
in subsequent filings made by the company with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission («SEC»), which are available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.
Actual results and the timing
of events could differ materially from those anticipated
in the forward - looking statements due to these risks and
uncertainties as well as other factors, which include, without limitation: the uncertain timing
of, and risks relating to, the executive search process; risks related to the potential failure
of eptinezumab to demonstrate safety and efficacy
in clinical testing; Alder's ability to conduct clinical trials and studies
of eptinezumab sufficient to achieve a positive completion; the availability
of data at the expected times; the clinical, therapeutic and commercial value
of eptinezumab; risks and
uncertainties related to regulatory application, review and approval processes and Alder's compliance with applicable legal and regulatory requirements; risks and
uncertainties relating to the manufacture
of eptinezumab; Alder's ability to obtain and protect intellectual property rights, and operate without infringing on the intellectual property rights
of others; the uncertain timing and level
of expenses associated with Alder's development and commercialization activities; the sufficiency
of Alder's capital and other resources; market competition; changes
in economic and business conditions; and other factors discussed under the caption «Risk Factors»
in Alder's Annual Report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2017, which was filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on February 26, 2018, and is available on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.
The fact is that while your executives and managers may express interest
in more
data (more metrics, more dimensions, raw
data access, more chart choices, etc.) this is an indicator
of uncertainty, not
of an interest to do more robust analysis.
The key
uncertainty is how much the
data has been distorted by the fall
of China's annual Lunar New Year holidays, which were
in February this year and
in January
in 2012 and which typically see factories shut up shop for two weeks.
These risks and
uncertainties include: Gilead's ability to achieve its anticipated full year 2018 financial results; Gilead's ability to sustain growth
in revenues for its antiviral and other programs; the risk that private and public payers may be reluctant to provide, or continue to provide, coverage or reimbursement for new products, including Vosevi, Yescarta, Epclusa, Harvoni, Genvoya, Odefsey, Descovy, Biktarvy and Vemlidy ®; austerity measures
in European countries that may increase the amount
of discount required on Gilead's products; an increase
in discounts, chargebacks and rebates due to ongoing contracts and future negotiations with commercial and government payers; a larger than anticipated shift
in payer mix to more highly discounted payer segments and geographic regions and decreases
in treatment duration; availability
of funding for state AIDS Drug Assistance Programs (ADAPs); continued fluctuations
in ADAP purchases driven by federal and state grant cycles which may not mirror patient demand and may cause fluctuations
in Gilead's earnings; market share and price erosion caused by the introduction
of generic versions
of Viread and Truvada, an uncertain global macroeconomic environment; and potential amendments to the Affordable Care Act or other government action that could have the effect
of lowering prices or reducing the number
of insured patients; the possibility
of unfavorable results from clinical trials involving investigational compounds; Gilead's ability to initiate clinical trials
in its currently anticipated timeframes; the levels
of inventory held by wholesalers and retailers which may cause fluctuations
in Gilead's earnings; Kite's ability to develop and commercialize cell therapies utilizing the zinc finger nuclease technology platform and realize the benefits
of the Sangamo partnership; Gilead's ability to submit new drug applications for new product candidates
in the timelines currently anticipated; Gilead's ability to receive regulatory approvals
in a timely manner or at all, for new and current products, including Biktarvy; Gilead's ability to successfully commercialize its products, including Biktarvy; the risk that physicians and patients may not see advantages
of these products over other therapies and may therefore be reluctant to prescribe the products; Gilead's ability to successfully develop its hematology / oncology and inflammation / respiratory programs; safety and efficacy
data from clinical studies may not warrant further development
of Gilead's product candidates, including GS - 9620 and Yescarta
in combination with Pfizer's utomilumab; Gilead's ability to pay dividends or complete its share repurchase program due to changes
in its stock price, corporate or other market conditions; fluctuations
in the foreign exchange rate
of the U.S. dollar that may cause an unfavorable foreign currency exchange impact on Gilead's future revenues and pre-tax earnings; and other risks identified from time to time
in Gilead's reports filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC).
«
In Canada as in the U.S. and Europe, the most common question investment consultants are asked by clients about ESG is whether an ESG - based approach will negatively impact investment performance,» said Andrew Sweeney, Institutional Portfolio Manager at RBC Global Asset Management Inc. «This and other data from the survey reveal a high level of interest and curiosity about responsible investing, including areas of significant uncertaint
In Canada as
in the U.S. and Europe, the most common question investment consultants are asked by clients about ESG is whether an ESG - based approach will negatively impact investment performance,» said Andrew Sweeney, Institutional Portfolio Manager at RBC Global Asset Management Inc. «This and other data from the survey reveal a high level of interest and curiosity about responsible investing, including areas of significant uncertaint
in the U.S. and Europe, the most common question investment consultants are asked by clients about ESG is whether an ESG - based approach will negatively impact investment performance,» said Andrew Sweeney, Institutional Portfolio Manager at RBC Global Asset Management Inc. «This and other
data from the survey reveal a high level
of interest and curiosity about responsible investing, including areas
of significant
uncertainty.
While the volatility follows a spate
of weak economic
data, it also reflects a broader
uncertainty in the market.
We expect the Fed to raise rates just once this year — likely
in December — and to proceed cautiously given the unevenness
of the domestic economic recovery, as highlighted by weak retail sales
data released last week, and global growth
uncertainties.
Despite the backdrop
of political and economic
uncertainty, OPEC said that it anticipated world oil demand growth
in 2016 to increase by 1.23 million barrels a day (mb / d) after a marginal upward revision, mainly to reflect better - than - expected economic
data for the first half
of the year.
But new
data released by a group
of U.S. - based economists suggests that for all
of Donald Trump's day - to - day unpredictability
in the U.S., economic
uncertainty in Canada is far more extreme.
Q: Against the backdrop
of political
uncertainty, some economic
data in Europe, especially
in Germany, has softened a bit
in recent weeks.
This
uncertainty should gradually decline — for better or for worse — over the coming months, as the sequester's impact takes hold and more economic
data come
in, giving us a clearer picture
of the forward momentum
of the economy.
It is no different this time around except that
in the environment characterized by fear,
uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) that's prevailed since the 2008 Financial Panic, each instance
of ebbing
in data is feared to be the start
of the next economic and market meltdown.
Carney, a former Bank
of Canada governor, told reporters the outcome
of the Brexit negotiation is the most important factor determining the U.K.'s economic fate, but the
uncertainty surrounding it is already showing up
in the
data.
Nonetheless, geopolitical risk does not disappear, nor do global linkages (note the strong pull
of Chinese
data and market moves
of late, or the
uncertainty surrounding US elections
in November), so fundamentals may have to strengthen much more before the BOJ takes further easing off the table.
Initially, investors were skeptical about any further tightening
of monetary policy
in coming months, amid escalating tensions between North Korea and the United States, further soft inflation
data and
uncertainty about the potentially negative effects
of hurricanes Harvey and Irma on the economy.
National
data pointed to continued strength
in the Spanish economy but a loss
of momentum
in France, as French consumers reined
in their spending, probably due to political
uncertainty in the run - up to the country's presidential election.
Examples
of these risks,
uncertainties and other factors include, but are not limited to the impact
of: adverse general economic and related factors, such as fluctuating or increasing levels
of unemployment, underemployment and the volatility
of fuel prices, declines
in the securities and real estate markets, and perceptions
of these conditions that decrease the level
of disposable income
of consumers or consumer confidence; adverse events impacting the security
of travel, such as terrorist acts, armed conflict and threats thereof, acts
of piracy, and other international events; the risks and increased costs associated with operating internationally; our expansion into and investments
in new markets; breaches
in data security or other disturbances to our information technology and other networks; the spread
of epidemics and viral outbreaks; adverse incidents involving cruise ships; changes
in fuel prices and / or other cruise operating costs; any impairment
of our tradenames or goodwill; our hedging strategies; our inability to obtain adequate insurance coverage; our substantial indebtedness, including the ability to raise additional capital to fund our operations, and to generate the necessary amount
of cash to service our existing debt; restrictions
in the agreements governing our indebtedness that limit our flexibility
in operating our business; the significant portion
of our assets pledged as collateral under our existing debt agreements and the ability
of our creditors to accelerate the repayment
of our indebtedness; volatility and disruptions
in the global credit and financial markets, which may adversely affect our ability to borrow and could increase our counterparty credit risks, including those under our credit facilities, derivatives, contingent obligations, insurance contracts and new ship progress payment guarantees; fluctuations
in foreign currency exchange rates; overcapacity
in key markets or globally; our inability to recruit or retain qualified personnel or the loss
of key personnel; future changes relating to how external distribution channels sell and market our cruises; our reliance on third parties to provide hotel management services to certain ships and certain other services; delays
in our shipbuilding program and ship repairs, maintenance and refurbishments; future increases
in the price
of, or major changes or reduction
in, commercial airline services; seasonal variations
in passenger fare rates and occupancy levels at different times
of the year; our ability to keep pace with developments
in technology; amendments to our collective bargaining agreements for crew members and other employee relation issues; the continued availability
of attractive port destinations; pending or threatened litigation, investigations and enforcement actions; changes involving the tax and environmental regulatory regimes
in which we operate; and other factors set forth under «Risk Factors»
in our most recently filed Annual Report on Form 10 - K and subsequent filings by the Company with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
Such a notion as emergence, for example, which is closely allied with the principle
of indeterminacy and
uncertainty and which was later to develop
in physics, actually assumed more credence
in physics before it took root
in biology and psychology; yet it has more significant implications for the
data of the organic and social sciences than for physics.
Given the paucity
of hard
data on which to calculate probable costs and benefits, how can responsible decisions be made
in the midst
of this
uncertainty?
But this reckoning is burdened with still another
uncertainty, apart from the question whether the
data in the Gospel
of John reflect the correct chronology.
Bolland's team also found multiple examples
of inconsistencies between and within trials, errors
in reported
data, misleading text, duplicated
data and text as well as
uncertainties about ethical oversight.
His role, specifically, is to determine how
uncertainties in the
data could affect the simulation
of the photochemical processes occurring
in Titan's atmosphere.
«The evolutionary consequences
of climate change are one
of our greatest areas
of uncertainty because empirical
data addressing this issue are extraordinarily rare; this study is a tremendous step forward
in our understanding
of how climate change can influence evolutionary process and ultimately species biodiversity,» said Ryan Kovach, a University
of Montana study co-author.
Given the
uncertainty of finding gravitational waves, Allen and his team
in 2009 expanded the Einstein@Home program to search for binary pulsars by analyzing radio - wave
data from the Arecibo Observatory
in Puerto Rico.
According to CathPCI Registry
data, opportunities exist to improve not only adherence to appropriate use criteria
in patients without acute coronary syndrome (ACS) but potentially clarify areas
of uncertainty.
The EPA's IG found (pdf)
in 2014 «there was significant
uncertainty in the study
data,» meaning the EPA's assumptions on the amount
of methane that spews from pipelines «may not be valid.»
This is intended to take account
of some
of the
uncertainties inherent
in data on whale populations, and requires only two kinds
of data: current estimates and their statistical error; and historical details
of catches.
The models take account
of uncertainties in the quality
of the fossil
data and the reconstructed evolutionary tree, and the result was clear.
However,
uncertainty in the
data exposing a lack
of scientific «proof»
of safety can equally well be used as a lack
of «proof»
of harm.
However, there are large
uncertainties in the estimate and it appears it is not compatible with the satellite «handshake»
data transmitted from the aircraft, which is currently considered the most reliable source
of information.
In addition, Erez Lieberman Aiden, the director of the Baylor College of Medicine Center for Genome Architecture, and his colleagues have recently cataloged DNA - DNA contacts in intact nuclei, rather than in DNA that previously had to be extracted from nuclei, a step that adds uncertainty to the dat
In addition, Erez Lieberman Aiden, the director
of the Baylor College
of Medicine Center for Genome Architecture, and his colleagues have recently cataloged DNA - DNA contacts
in intact nuclei, rather than in DNA that previously had to be extracted from nuclei, a step that adds uncertainty to the dat
in intact nuclei, rather than
in DNA that previously had to be extracted from nuclei, a step that adds uncertainty to the dat
in DNA that previously had to be extracted from nuclei, a step that adds
uncertainty to the
data.
New research using
data from NASA's Van Allen Probes mission helps resolve decades
of scientific
uncertainty over the origin
of ultra-relativistic electrons
in Earth's near space environment, and is likely to influence our understanding
of planetary magnetospheres throughout the universe.
Co-author Dr Iain Staffell, from the Centre for Environmental Policy, said: «This tool allows us to combat one
of the biggest
uncertainties in the future energy system, and use real
data to answer questions such as how electricity storage could revolutionise the electricity generation sector, or when high - capacity home storage batteries linked to personal solar panels might become cost - effective.»
In order to make this work, the authors describe necessary steps
of a rigorous informed consent process that outlines the risks and
uncertainties, close involvement
of institutional review boards, and multicenter trials to collect
data.
Now, it is apparent from reading even the first few pages
of The Skeptical Environmentalist that Lomborg proposes to make the case that not just environmentalists, but a considerable part
of the heretofore respectable environmental - science community, have been misunderstanding the relevant concepts, misrepresenting the relevant facts, understating the
uncertainties, selecting
data, and failing to acknowledge errors after these have been pointed out
in other words, that the scientist contributors to what he calls «the environmental litany» (namely, that environmental problems are serious and becoming,
in many instances more so) have been guilty
of massively violating the scientists code
of conduct.
The practice
of science, which includes the packaging
of findings from science for use
in the public - policy arena, is governed by an unwritten code
of conduct that includes such elements as mastering the relevant fundamental concepts before venturing into print
in the professional or public arena, learning and observing proper practices for presenting ranges
of respectable opinion and
uncertainty, avoiding the selection
of data to fit pre-conceived conclusions, reading the references one cites and representing their content accurately and fairly, and acknowledging and correcting the errors that have crept into ones work (some
of which are,
of course, inevitable) after they are discovered by oneself or by others.
However, sparse palaeoenvironmental
data in key regions and
uncertainties in climate simulations and
in the dating
of fossil and archaeological records have hindered progress
in this field.
Our new -LCB- \ em Spitzer -RCB- observations were taken two years after the original K2 discovery
data and have a significantly higher cadence, allowing us to derive improved estimates for this planet's radius, semi-major axis, and orbital period, which greatly reduce the
uncertainty in the prediction
of near future transit times for the -LCB- \ em James Webb Space Telescope -RCB--LRB--LCB- \ em JWST -RCB--RRB- observations.
The period where ARGO
data makes up the bulk
of data (2004 - 2008
in red) has a greater
uncertainty only because their period
of observation is much shorter (5 years), versus 11 years for the interval where XBT
data predominates (1993 - 2003
in blue).
«It's time for U.S. policy - makers to reflect and decide whether the year - to - year
uncertainty in National Institutes
of Health budget and the proposed cuts are
in our societal and national best interest,» says Bishr Omary, M.D., Ph.D., senior author
of the new
data - supported opinion piece and chief scientific officer
of Michigan Medicine, U-M's academic medical center.
I am disturbed with the quoted
uncertainty in the Schmittner paper,
in light
of the significant discrepancies between the sensitivity extracted from the ocean and the land
data (their figure 3).
These involved calculating weights for the velocity time series from the measurement
uncertainties and adjusting them
in order to minimize the noise level
of the combined
data.
This could be because
of the structural deficiency
of the model, or because
of errors
in the
data, but the (hard to characterise)
uncertainty in the former is not being carried into final
uncertainty estimate.
First, the quality
of the
data is important: whether it is the LGM temperature estimates, recent aerosol forcing trends, or mid-tropospheric humidity — underestimates
in the
uncertainty of these
data will definitely bias the CS estimate.