In the end, I'm happy if readers: i) are motivated to research a few interesting stocks for themselves (or to bail out of a total no - hoper stock, or two), and ii) learn something useful from the variety
of valuation perspectives & techniques I employ.
Not exact matches
In answering this question, as my co-author Terry Simpson and I write in the new Market
Perspectives paper, «Assessing the Value
of Valuations,» it's helpful to look at what today's valuations can tell us about the possible distribution of future U.S. stock marke
Valuations,» it's helpful to look at what today's
valuations can tell us about the possible distribution of future U.S. stock marke
valuations can tell us about the possible distribution
of future U.S. stock market returns.
From a
valuation perspective, although NWN looks expensive based upon the PE, the yield is saying NWN is probably right around fair value as
of now.
While we prefer to compare market capitalization with corporate gross value added, including estimated foreign revenues, the following chart provides a longer historical
perspective of where reliable
valuation measures stand at present.
The comments on the part
of Visa's CEO come at a time when bitcoin is falling on tough times from a
valuation perspective.
From a fundamental
perspective, however,
valuations have normalized, relative to both the index's history and multiples
of global peers.
The absence
of a
valuation framework makes cryptocurrencies unsuitable as an asset class in the
perspective of a great portion
of the institutional audience.
Because as investors if you're looking at this current contemporary global macroeconomic backdrop from the 10 - 12 year
perspective, I find it with the typical disclosure here that I'm not able to see with a perfect crystal ball or anything but it's hard to believe that traditional assets, that global equities, will be thriving in this environment just from the simple
perspective of how overstretched they are from any reasonable measure
of valuation.
We spend a great deal
of time evaluating the assets you own from a
valuation perspective and watching to make sure that the managers that are buying them are doing what we expect.
Consequently, there seems to be no other alternative than to consider these references to God as the non-temporal actual entity and developments concerning God as the conceptual
valuation of eternal objects as mutually contemporar3; that is, in the sense that they must have been composed from the same conceptual
perspective.
The study, which will be published in the January 2017 issue
of the Journal
of Experimental Social Psychology and was posted early online, looked at happiness and medal
valuation from a spectator
perspective.
Despite the unique challenges
of the most recent market cycle, I do expect that we will observe frequent opportunities to accept market risk in the coming years, even in an environment where
valuations gradually work lower from a secular
perspective.
To what extent do you view your investing life as an extension
of your personal life?By that I mean to what extent do the personal morals and ethical values
of Tim the man govern the investing decisions
of Tim the dividend growth investor?If you ask your typical dividend growth investor if they would be willing to invest in a lucrative but immoral venture, say selling child pornography or crack cocaine, the answer would probably be «absolutely not» regardless
of the yield,
valuation or growth prospects
of the underlying venture.And yet, ask that same investor what their thoughts are about Phillip Morris and they would probably describe what a wonderful investment it is and go on about why you should own it.Do your personal morals ever come into play when buying companies, or do you compartmentalize your conscience, wall it off from the part
of your brain that thinks about investments, and make your investing decisions based on the financial prospects
of the company?The reason why I'm asking is that I keep identifying stocks
of companies that I love from an investing
perspective but despise on a human level.I can not in good conscience own any piece
of Phillip Morris knowing the impact that smoking related illness has on the families
of smokers.You might say that the smoker made his choice to smoke so you don't mind taking his money, but his children never made that choice and they are the ones who will suffer when he dies 20 years too soon.
But in order to keep me honest, add
perspective, and balance my view, I like to compare my analysis /
valuation with that
of what select professional analysts have come up with.
A good alternative to get some
perspective on the
valuation of the small - cap market is to look at the companies in the S&P 500 that carry the least amount
of weight.
Morningstar might be a little aggressive with their call, but averaging these three
valuations out gives us a nice blend
of the different
perspectives and methodologies.
This gives us a different
perspective based on the stock's own long - term market
valuation instead
of the market's
valuation as a whole.
This past week, their episode on technology investing with Bill Priest from Epoch Investment Partners was particularly insightful with a great balance
of explanation on
valuation of technology companies and investments as well as ideas and
perspectives on where opportunities may lie in this fast moving space.
However, I like to compare my
valuation to that
of what professional analysts have come up with, which adds value, honesty, and
perspective to the discussion.
Not to pick on Klarman — despite his error in 92» he's managed to do just fine (massive understatement)-- but he fell victim to a common misunderstanding
of how to assess
valuations and future returns from a macro
perspective.
At those kind
of valuations, none
of these stocks offer me enough potential upside from a pure farmland appreciation
perspective.
That's mildly useful in terms
of risk exposure, but personally I've never found much use for this type
of segmentation from a
valuation perspective.
i) Regardless
of my individual price targets, many readers have highlighted their appreciation
of the wide variety
of valuation techniques &
perspectives I've employed here across a broad spectrum
of companies.
I'll also introduce some tweaks in terms
of valuation &
perspective, as you'll see, but I still plan to rely on a similar Sum -
of - the - Parts analysis — so I definitely recommend you first re-visit my previous DCP post.
Recently, Oppenheimer compiled a list
of 18 dividend stocks that it feels «look attractive from a
valuation and potential total return
perspective.»
Oppenheimer has compiled a list
of 18 dividend stocks that it feels «look attractive from a
valuation and potential total return
perspective.»
To get a free more detailed
perspective on the advantage
of investing in a blue - chip like PepsiCo at sound
valuation follow this direct link to a video on my site mistervaluation.com and watch and listen to me analyze PepsiCo out loud via the FAST Graphs fundamentals analyzer software tool.
Once I completed this exercise, my
perspective and feeling
of the relative
valuation of the S&P 500 as an index, but based on reviewing each individual company, resulted in what I felt was a much deeper understanding than any mere review
of statistics could ever have provided me.
But then, even Marks gets snagged by the «hook» — basing his view
of stock
valuations on «projected earnings for the year ahead,» and the corresponding «earnings yield» compared with the yield on bonds (see Investment, Speculation,
Valuation, and Tinker Bell for an extensive historical
perspective on this metric, compared with far more reliable models).
I think the above exhibits show that on the basis
of current public company
valuations, a direct competitor
valuation, EGI's previous public company
valuations and recent transaction multiples that the company is significantly undervalued from a number
of perspectives.
Fortunately, there was such a huge gap between investors» standard P / E-based * approach vs. my own
perspective on Applegreen's unique float - driven model & underlying free cash flow - based
valuation, that the shares still trade (despite new all - time highs) well shy
of my original $ 8.61 Fair Value per share.
I'm certainly not advocating diving straight into stocks, sectors & markets you know nothing about, but clinging rigidly to your comfort zone may be just as / if not more dangerous for your health — being the best sailor on a ship ain't much use if it's sinking fast in the middle
of the Atlantic... Stocks change,
valuations change, markets change, economies change — to avoid risk, and to seek opportunity, you need to change also... The more flexible & varied your investment approach — in terms
of perspective & analysis — the more you'll stack the deck in your favour.
But let's compare my
valuation with that
of what two professional analysis firms have come up with, which should add plenty
of perspective to the conversation.
«Our local asset management teams provide a bottom - up
perspective on market conditions and
valuations,» said Dover, who has over 25 years
of experience in global investing.
Of course, in most instances, both
perspectives /
valuations will broadly overlap with each other and the actual market
valuation.
Finally, we have iii) Debt: I'm ignoring IRSA & BrasilAgro debt, as they're held at the subsidiary level (from a Cresud
perspective), and is implied anyway in the market
valuations of these companies.
Tullow has a broad constituency
of shareholders, so a multiple
perspective valuation makes sense again.
And from my
perspective, it's already part & parcel
of my
valuation of Argo's asset management business.
Well, we've clearly reached a point now where multiple investor constituencies are potentially interested / invested in the company — we can approach Universe accordingly, i.e. from a number
of different
valuation perspectives.
Seriously, in most instances, if your
perspective &
valuation of a company drastically changes within a year (or, God forbid, within a month!)
Or is more
of learning
valuation for identifying companies that undervalued from an institutional
perspective?
M&A Deals that Add Value are Rare — Expensive Deals that do so Rarer Still The Schroders Value Team will also be speaking at the LVIC 2017 and Nick Kirrage recently wrote this article which outlines why they are sceptical about the Reckitt Benckiser acquisition
of the US baby milk manufacturer Mead: «Ultimately,
of course, you can only judge M&A success in hindsight but, as we did with BAT and Reynolds, we are nevertheless prepared to stick our neck out and say Reckitt buying Mead looks a pretty poor idea from a
valuation perspective... all could turn out fine.
Including the larger SCAR
valuation would make the economics even more favorable from the
perspective of a social planner considering broad societal costs.
«A mosaic
of perspectives on legal, political, economic, and regulatory issues that drive company
valuations and country investment prospects.»
There are several
valuation methods commonly used to determine the proper amount
of key person insurance needed from both the business and insurance companies
perspective.
Like the dot - com boom
of the late 20th century, many
of the crypto assets getting multi-billion-dollar
valuations didn't deserve it from a purely fundamental
perspective.
Proponents
of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are likely to find Litecoin's current
valuations attractive from the
perspective of overbought / oversold conditions.
Cryptomaps is an interesting
perspective of the entire cryptocurrency ecosystem's
valuations and exchange rates.
From a timing
perspective, the company was taken private at the peak
of the market, so it would be interesting to see what
valuation the sellers are looking for.
In some cases, that shift is validating the idea that it makes sense from a cost and efficiency
perspective for certain parts
of the operation, such as fund administration, accounting or
valuation, to be conducted by third parties.