Not exact matches
He and his colleagues at Edward Jones are hedging their bets, expecting at least some
volatility in the likelihood that a few
of Trump's economic initiatives underwhelm investors» lofty
expectations.
«Even though payrolls came in pretty much in line with
expectations, it's encouraging to see this type
of growth in the face
of geopolitical tensions, trade negotiations, and pronounced market
volatility.
A spate
of valuations below
expectations has many tech investors worried but the problem is likely just normal Silicon Valley
volatility.
Formally called the Cboe
Volatility Index, the VIX measures market expectations of near - term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
Volatility Index, the VIX measures market
expectations of near - term
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.
The debut
of the first futures contract on an established exchange was relatively orderly, in contrast to
expectations of high
volatility and traders short selling, or betting against, bitcoin.
After a rough summer
of market
volatility and
expectations of rising interest rates, bonds are back.
Actual results, including with respect to our targets and prospects, could differ materially due to a number
of factors, including the risk that we may not obtain sufficient orders to achieve our targeted revenues; price competition in key markets; the risk that we or our channel partners are not able to develop and expand customer bases and accurately anticipate demand from end customers, which can result in increased inventory and reduced orders as we experience wide fluctuations in supply and demand; the risk that our commercial Lighting Products results will continue to suffer if new issues arise regarding issues related to product quality for this business; the risk that we may experience production difficulties that preclude us from shipping sufficient quantities to meet customer orders or that result in higher production costs and lower margins; our ability to lower costs; the risk that our results will suffer if we are unable to balance fluctuations in customer demand and capacity, including bringing on additional capacity on a timely basis to meet customer demand; the risk that longer manufacturing lead times may cause customers to fulfill their orders with a competitor's products instead; the risk that the economic and political uncertainty caused by the proposed tariffs by the United States on Chinese goods, and any corresponding Chinese tariffs in response, may negatively impact demand for our products; product mix; risks associated with the ramp - up
of production
of our new products, and our entry into new business channels different from those in which we have historically operated; the risk that customers do not maintain their favorable perception
of our brand and products, resulting in lower demand for our products; the risk that our products fail to perform or fail to meet customer requirements or
expectations, resulting in significant additional costs, including costs associated with warranty returns or the potential recall
of our products; ongoing uncertainty in global economic conditions, infrastructure development or customer demand that could negatively affect product demand, collectability
of receivables and other related matters as consumers and businesses may defer purchases or payments, or default on payments; risks resulting from the concentration
of our business among few customers, including the risk that customers may reduce or cancel orders or fail to honor purchase commitments; the risk that we are not able to enter into acceptable contractual arrangements with the significant customers
of the acquired Infineon RF Power business or otherwise not fully realize anticipated benefits
of the transaction; the risk that retail customers may alter promotional pricing, increase promotion
of a competitor's products over our products or reduce their inventory levels, all
of which could negatively affect product demand; the risk that our investments may experience periods
of significant stock price
volatility causing us to recognize fair value losses on our investment; the risk posed by managing an increasingly complex supply chain that has the ability to supply a sufficient quantity
of raw materials, subsystems and finished products with the required specifications and quality; the risk we may be required to record a significant charge to earnings if our goodwill or amortizable assets become impaired; risks relating to confidential information theft or misuse, including through cyber-attacks or cyber intrusion; our ability to complete development and commercialization
of products under development, such as our pipeline
of Wolfspeed products, improved LED chips, LED components, and LED lighting products risks related to our multi-year warranty periods for LED lighting products; risks associated with acquisitions, divestitures, joint ventures or investments generally; the rapid development
of new technology and competing products that may impair demand or render our products obsolete; the potential lack
of customer acceptance for our products; risks associated with ongoing litigation; and other factors discussed in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), including our report on Form 10 - K for the fiscal year ended June 25, 2017, and subsequent reports filed with the SEC.
His
expectation is that the overall
volatility of a portfolio 30 percent in short - term bonds and 70 percent in stocks is going to be on par with one that is 40 percent invested in a fund tracking the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate index and 60 percent in stocks.
Perhaps if we had the stomach for a little more
volatility at the time, and raised interest rates beyond the
expectations of the futures market, the severity
of the ensuing crises could have reduced.
Yet
volatility is still below its long - term average, and the low -
volatility climate
of the past few years is incompatible with a world marked by slow growth, unstable inflation
expectations and a likely Federal Reserve rate hike before year's end.
«Our
expectation is for pockets
of volatility on an idiosyncratic basis around these events, rather than a wholesale sea change
of volatility,» said Ben Robins, portfolio specialist at T. Rowe Price.
As you can see when looking at the other asset allocations, adding more fixed income investments to a portfolio will slightly reduce one's
expectations for long - term returns, but may significantly reduce the impact
of market
volatility.
The CBOE
Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchan
Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure
of the stock market's
expectation of volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchan
volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE).
The U.K. referendum, while adding
volatility, reinforced some
of these trends, most notably driving
expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) would keep interest rates low for longer.
Among them are factors I've discussed at length elsewhere — a weaker U.S. dollar, a steadily flattening yield curve, heightened market
volatility, overvalued U.S. stocks,
expectations of higher inflation, trade war jitters, geopolitical risks and more.
The CBOE Market
Volatility Index measures market expectations of near - term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
Volatility Index measures market
expectations of near - term
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.
Rick Frisbie: I think there are some
expectations of uncertainty out there when you look at implied dollar futures out around the election, there is some expected
volatility, but certainly we have lived in this kind
of «TINA» world («There Is No Alternative») to equities and that has been a big boon for them.
[1] The Chicago Board
of Exchange (CBOE)
Volatility Index (VIX) measures expectations of 30 - day volatility, based on the implied volatilities of a range of S&P 500 inde
Volatility Index (VIX) measures
expectations of 30 - day
volatility, based on the implied volatilities of a range of S&P 500 inde
volatility, based on the implied
volatilities of a range
of S&P 500 index options.
In contrast, Treasury yield
volatility has recently headed lower — even as five - year Treasury yields have risen along with
expectations of a March rate increase.
In the context
of a fixed exchange rate, implied
volatility largely reflects the
expectations of an upward or downward adjustment to the peg.
The movement
of this wave demonstrates changing trader
expectations of the futures stock market
volatility.
Despite what most observers see as highly uncertain environment, market
expectations of near term
volatility are near record lows suggesting scope for sudden disillusionment.
Also implied
volatilities were larger for «out
of the money» options to buy renminbi, than for equally «out
of the money» options to sell the currency, thereby suggesting that the balance
of expectations was skewed towards an appreciation
of the Chinese currency against the US dollar.
Stocks won't necessarily suffer a major decline, but investors should lower their
expectations, as I believe the strong returns and low
volatility of recent years appear unlikely to repeat.
The subcomponents show that consumers have stronger reactions to current conditions than to
expectations about the future, as indicated by the higher
volatility of the present situation index.
This higher tendency toward the middle in
expectations dampens the
volatility of the index relative to the present conditions index.
What we can see though is higher
volatility & bigger gains in good years for the all - value & small - cap tilted age - 25 target date portfolios, which fits with
expectations of them having higher risks and returns over time.
CBOE
Volatility Index: is a key measure of market expectations of near - term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
Volatility Index: is a key measure
of market
expectations of near - term
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.
There have been 11 major crises in recent years that spiked the
Volatility Index (VIX), a measure of Chicago options that shows market expectations for v
Volatility Index (VIX), a measure
of Chicago options that shows market
expectations for
volatilityvolatility.
The bars in the chart below show our annual return assumptions for selected asset classes over the next five years, while the dots show our
expectations of volatility.
The CBOE Market
Volatility ® Index (VIX) shows the market's expectation of 30 - day v
Volatility ® Index (VIX) shows the market's
expectation of 30 - day
volatilityvolatility.
My
expectation was that the portfolio drawdown and
volatility would be reduced, since the «Permanent ETF Portfolio» had a drawdown
of -26.52 % (still significantly better than SPY's 51.88 % over the same period) and
volatility of 12.1 %.
Of course, the problem is that most traders don't properly manage their
expectations, such as accounting for
volatility, before putting on a position.
The notion
of risk - return
expectations and expected
volatility should be a better way to build portfolios.
All
volatility, beta, and tracking error
expectations are based upon an exponential decay - weighted estimation
of recent
volatility, beta, and tracking error and are not a guarantee
of future
volatility, beta, or tracking error.
Run at a 10 %
volatility, a 0.8 Sharpe ratio generates excess returns
of 8 % annualized — far above our
expectations for any traditional asset class or risk premia.
However, to price a LEAPS ® option, it is necessary to predict the
volatility (
expectation of price fluctuation)
of the underlying stock and interest rates over 2 1/2 years; this is difficult even for most professionals.
1The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)
Volatility Index (VIX) is a key measure of market expectations of near ‐ term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
Volatility Index (VIX) is a key measure
of market
expectations of near ‐ term
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index opti
volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices.
The CBOE
Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure of the stock market's expectation of volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchan
Volatility Index, known by its ticker symbol VIX, is a popular measure
of the stock market's
expectation of volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchan
volatility implied by S&P 500 index options, calculated and published by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE).
He added that helping clients periodically re-assess their risk tolerance is a key way advisors can demonstrate value by highlighting long - term rates
of return from capital markets to ensure realistic returns and
volatility expectations are set.
While I think it's reasonable to lower your
expectations for bond market returns and allow for higher
volatility because
of the level
of rates, it seems to me that many
of the fears about fixed income are overblown.
I guess if the
expectations of Fed policy get low enough, it will overcome the increase in swaption
volatility.
CBOE
Volatility Index ® The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index ® (VIX ® Index ®) shows the market's expectation of 30 - day v
Volatility Index ® The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)
Volatility Index ® (VIX ® Index ®) shows the market's expectation of 30 - day v
Volatility Index ® (VIX ® Index ®) shows the market's
expectation of 30 - day
volatilityvolatility.
A VIX, commonly referred to as the «Fear Index,» is the ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange (Cboe)
Volatility Index and measures the market's expectation of 30 - day v
Volatility Index and measures the market's
expectation of 30 - day
volatilityvolatility.
For example, some investors own a mix
of stocks and bonds, with the
expectation that in times when stock markets decline, bonds will perform better, helping to minimize the
volatility of the overall portfolio.
These objectives and constraints, considered in the light
of investment market
expectations (expected returns, return
volatilities, and return correlations), will dictate the appropriate investment strategies to be followed, including asset allocation and selection, the investment style to be pursued, and the appropriate way to monitor and evaluate performance.
But while gold is a good hedge against inflation in
expectation value, it's not a good hedge in terms
of volatility.
Many
of these retirement funds are under - funded, plus they have unrealistic return
expectations to boot... They desperately need diversification & equity - like returns, but are equally desperately to avoid the associated
volatility, which they obviously can't afford — hedge funds represent the obvious solution.
Stresses in the repo market are amplifying price swings in government bonds and related debt markets at a time when many investors are reshuffling their portfolios around new interest - rate
expectations, following a period
of low
volatility, traders and analysts...
Portfolio
volatility has a large negative impact on investment performance and is one
of the major reasons investors» long term returns fall far short
of expectations.