Sentences with phrase «of voters in marginal seats»

And that it therefore represents a toughening of the Tory position to reflect the views of voters in marginal seats, not least in the midlands and north.

Corbyn will spend five days in Scotland, and aims to speak to thousands of voters in marginal seats.

The potential power of a voter in a marginal seat is thus much greater than that of a safe seat.

Not exact matches

Just one per cent of the electorate - less than half a million voters in marginal swing seats - determined the outcome of the last general election.

Instead of mucking in with the multifarious resistance movement - which, as you rightly state here, does not require universal agreement in order to progress, that sort of Leninist thinking is weedkiller to the grassroots - Labour is already positioning itself for the next election, terrified of doing anything at all which might upset the few swing voters in key marginal seats that the party has repositioned itself towards over the past twenty years.

My research in 2014 has included a weekly national telephone poll, surveys in over 100 marginal seats, two rounds of my Project Blueprint research on the quest for a Conservative majority, a detailed study of voters» attitudes to Europe, polling - day surveys of voters in the European elections, five by - election polls, and regular updates on the state of the parties.

This would have the added benefit of lessening the importance of the million voters in marginal, Middle England seats, whose power to swing elections has led Labour to pander excessively to their centre - right views.

Below is the text of my presentation at the Conservative Party Conference this afternoon setting out my latest research in marginal seats and the Tories» challenge in building an election - winning coalition of voters.

The 1990s electoral tactic of announcing drastic future expenditure targets and forcing Labour to accept or reject them is designed for an electoral battleground for the swing voters in the marginal seats in contention between Labour and the Conservatives, almost all of which are in England.

Analysis of my polling in the forty most marginal Conservative - held seats showed that Tory «defectors» and UKIP voters are not the same people.

Just 0.0016 % of voters choosing differently would have given the Conservatives a majority, while the election saw a rise in very marginal seats: eleven were won by fewer than 100 votes.

Boundaries have changed in many seats since 2005, and the strength of the Lib Dems means some two - way marginals now look more like three - way marginals: add in the rise of smaller parties such as the Greens, plus highly volatile national polls, and even hardened tactical voters may struggle to work out which horse to back locally this time.

Voters in marginal constituencies like Glenda Jackson's Hampstead and Kilburn know more about parties» policy positions than those in safe seats like Gordon Brown's Kirkaldy and Cowdenbeath, according to research carried out by the University of Nottingham's Caitlin Milazzo.

The first was detailed information about every potential Conservative voter in each of the marginal seats.

That was before Lord Ashcroft had published his survey of 19,000 voters in marginal seats.

The way our elections work encourages parties to ignore the views of the majority of the British public to focus on the handful of swing voters in marginal seats.

The Tories may do well in the south of England, where they're fighting marginal seats against the Liberal Democrats — fleeing Lib Dem voters will go to Labour, which should translate into safer Tory seats — but it's in the north of England and the East Midlands where there are many Conservative MPs hanging onto their seats against Labour challengers.

In fact a whopping 22 % of Labour voters in those marginal seats said they were willing to vote for the Lib Dems to keep David Cameron out of No 1In fact a whopping 22 % of Labour voters in those marginal seats said they were willing to vote for the Lib Dems to keep David Cameron out of No 1in those marginal seats said they were willing to vote for the Lib Dems to keep David Cameron out of No 10.

It will legitimise them because in marginal seats Labour will have to chase the second preferences of UKIP / BNP voters.

In practice of course we can't actually be that confident that voters in a tight LD - Lab marginal will behave the same way as in a seat where the Lib Dems have a 20 % majority, so it's a bit of a shame Ashcroft didn't include some more challenging LD - Lab fights like Cambridge, Hornsey & Wood Green or BermondseIn practice of course we can't actually be that confident that voters in a tight LD - Lab marginal will behave the same way as in a seat where the Lib Dems have a 20 % majority, so it's a bit of a shame Ashcroft didn't include some more challenging LD - Lab fights like Cambridge, Hornsey & Wood Green or Bermondsein a tight LD - Lab marginal will behave the same way as in a seat where the Lib Dems have a 20 % majority, so it's a bit of a shame Ashcroft didn't include some more challenging LD - Lab fights like Cambridge, Hornsey & Wood Green or Bermondsein a seat where the Lib Dems have a 20 % majority, so it's a bit of a shame Ashcroft didn't include some more challenging LD - Lab fights like Cambridge, Hornsey & Wood Green or Bermondsey.

But fear of local voters counted as much yesterday evening as fear of local activists - at least for MPs in marginal seats,

As in other marginal seats, a small majority of voters said they were optimistic about the economy over the next year, though slightly more so for themselves than for the country as a whole.

I will also show some new analysis of my recent polling in marginal seats, which should help us understand the voters who supported us in 2010 but are currently reluctant to do so next time.

In the 2017 general election campaign, he was secretly recorded suggesting that Lib Dem voters should consider backing Labour's Rupa Huq in her then marginal seat of Ealing Central and ActoIn the 2017 general election campaign, he was secretly recorded suggesting that Lib Dem voters should consider backing Labour's Rupa Huq in her then marginal seat of Ealing Central and Actoin her then marginal seat of Ealing Central and Acton.

Despite losing the seat by just 103 votes at last year's general election and although the Tories are allegedly holding back their campaign at David Cameron's request, Nick Clegg's party trails by 17 points in two separate surveys of voters in the key marginal.

He said the shift involved a Tory tendency to win in marginal seats and a greater distribution of Labour voters in seats where it was pipped by third parties, adding: «It is these last two things which has turned a system that once looked as if it was to the advantage of Labour to the Tories» advantage, and there is a boundary review to come.

This would have broken the stranglehold of floating voters in Middle England marginals over the political centre of gravity, and would have rewarded Labour for mobilising support in its working - class heartland seats.

However, it will be won or lost in the 117 marginal seats we need to win in order to gain an overall majority; and it will be won or lost on the decisions of swing voters in those constituencies.

A third of voters in 40 marginal seats would consider voting for Ukip at the next general election but over half said they would next cast their ballot for the eurosceptic party, a new ComRes poll for ITV News suggests.

Whereas in marginal seats with two or three parties very close to each other, the behaviour of small numbers of voters could change the result and so every vote counts.

As the loss of safe seats is rare, parties target resources on a small number of floating voters in marginal seats.

Either Mr Pickles or Lord Forsyth could get the Tories a landslide - we are doing well despite Mrs Spelman not because of her or because of Mr Letwin's confused platitudes that appeal to The Guardian editorial more than swing voters in marginal seats.

He said Labour had made 400,000 voter contacts in marginal seats since the start of the year, using software that allows members to set up phone banks in their own homes.

The party needs to win over floating voters in a number of key marginal seats in towns and cities in the North and the Midlands.