The number
of weather stations recording very warm night - time temperatures and the frequency with which these occur has increased since the mid 1970s.
However, as we will discuss in this essay, many
of the weather station records used for these estimates of global warming contain artificial warming biases, which are not representative of actual global temperatures.
In several of our papers on global temperature trends, we used datasets
of weather station records to look at how global temperatures have changed since the late - 19th century.
Unfortunately, many
of the weather station records used for these estimates are affected by urbanization bias.
This program is described by Menne & Williams, 2009 (Open access) and adjusts
each of the weather station records in their dataset so that it better matches those of its neighbours.
We have written a series of four papers assessing the reliability
of the weather station records which are used for calculating global temperature trends.
And years of painstaking temperature measurements from thousands
of weather station records, have confirmed a slow inexorable rise in that overall temperature across the globe.
Temperature data were the focus of the so - called 2009 Climategate controversy, in which opponents of greenhouse gas regulation alleged that leaked emails from a British climate laboratory showed manipulation
of weather station records.
Not exact matches
«Even though the power is out and the [
weather stations] weren't operating in real time, many
of these instruments are still
recording the data, and we have to go in, retrieve the data, and play it back,» Stewart says.
While
weather stations typically measure air temperatures just above the surface, satellites
record the thermal energy emitted by soil, rock, pavement, grass, trees and other features
of the landscape.
So Javier Martin - Torres
of the Luleå University
of Technology in Kiruna, Sweden, and colleagues have tracked the
weather conditions on Mars throughout Curiosity's first Martian year,
recording humidity, air and ground temperatures with its Rover Environmental Monitoring
Station (REMS).
Kalnay and Cai developed a more precise measurement by comparing one set
of long - term temperature data
recorded from satellite and
weather balloons, which detect the effects
of warming from greenhouse gases, with another set
recorded at ground level by 1,982
weather stations across the continent.
There are few
weather stations, most are on the edge rather than in the interior
of the continent and
records go back just a few decades.
«Non-linear» animal reactions He and his colleagues based their analysis on nearly 500 million temperature
records collected at 3,000
weather stations between 1961 and 2009, feeding that information into models that allowed them to estimate how climate shifts affected the metabolism
of cold - blooded insects, lizards and amphibians around the world.
Ruiz, who contributed to the report, noted that an analysis
of weather records at one páramo research
station showed increases in minimum temperatures were almost twice that
of lower elevations, while increases in maximum temperatures jumped to nearly three times the average at lower elevations.
Last month, Greenland had its warmest day since
records began in the late 1950s, with the
weather station at Maniitsoq (Sugar Loaf) on the south - western coast registering 78.6 F on the afternoon
of July 30, the Danish Meteorological Institute reported.
Some
of the discontinuities (which can be
of either sign) in
weather records can be detected using jump point analyses (for instance in the new version
of the NOAA product), others can be adjusted using known information (such as biases introduced because changes in the time
of observations or moving a
station).
Figure 3: The ratio
of record daily temperature highs to
record daily lows observed at about 1,800
weather stations in the 48 contiguous United States from January 1950 through September 2009.
«If we think
of ice cores a bit like
weather station records, you can see that we both need them everywhere and all the time,» he said.
«A cooperative
weather station near Tribune, Kan., which set an all - time
record high
of 109 on Sunday, turned around and beat the new
record by a full 2 degrees on Monday.»
Instead
of melting ice caps and imperiled polar bears, AHN / VHS» quiet, small works show — which features drawings, prints, video and mixed media — focuses on the daily
weather data
recorded at Long Island City's artist - run SP
Weather Station....»
In conjunction with the exhibition Featured Artist Project: SP
Weather Reports (2008 - 2013) on view from January 17 — March 29, we are pleased to announce the publication
of Six Years
of Weather, which compiles tables
of all
weather data
recorded at the SPWS
station base in Long Island City since the project began.
(If scientists with such a range
of views agree that this work is valid, that seems to cut against arguments over the reliability and utility
of temperature
records gathered by
weather stations — or am I missing something?)
Some, but not all, UK
weather stations have
records of soil temperature dating back over 100 years.
Some
of the discontinuities (which can be
of either sign) in
weather records can be detected using jump point analyses (for instance in the new version
of the NOAA product), others can be adjusted using known information (such as biases introduced because changes in the time
of observations or moving a
station).
In this case, they have the long
records from the
weather stations, and the relationship
of the wider temperatures to those
stations over the satellite period, and this is what you get when you put that together.
Then came Watts's new paper, which — as with his earlier efforts — is focused on questioning the quality
of decades
of temperature
records generated by
weather stations across the lower 48 states.
(BTW, you have to carry out special procedures to compensate for movement
of weather stations in the anomoly
record, which is why looking at raw data can be very misleading if the
station has moved or procedures were changed.
Secondly, through the copious use
of station weather data, a number
of single
station records with long term cooling trends are shown.
The mean temperature change or the OHC increase is an integral over all
of that and therefore can be estimated to higher precision than any individual reading (just like for the
weather station record).
My own analysis for my neck -
of - the - woods (slightly less definite due to the data from the local
weather station having stalled in May 2013 — probably due to spending cuts)-- February saw
record rainfall, 38 % above the previous 55 - year February maximum and 3.35 sd above the February mean.
By taking the time to download and analyze, and summarize annual average temperature
records from hundreds
of weather reporting
stations, from the US, Canada, England, Iceland, Norway, Denmark, the Faroe Islands and Greenland.
Back in ’88 there was still quite a debate about whether the world was in fact warming or whether the temperature
record had been contaminated by the urban heat island effect
of cities springing up around former rural
weather stations.
Meanwhile, on July 21, 2016, as an intense heat wave gripped the Middle East and Southwest Asia, a
weather station in Mitrabah, Kuwait,
recorded a temperature
of 54.0 degrees Celsius (129.2 degrees Fahrenheit)-- possibly the highest temperature on
record for the Eastern Hemisphere and Asia.
It possible that by understanding the possible warming bias and inaccuracies in surface
weather stations that can gain more confident in using these
records, thereby have longer accurate
record of average temperatures.
The main basis for the claim that there has been «unusual» global warming since the late 19th century is that the global temperature estimates constructed from
weather station records suggest a warming trend
of about 0.8 - 1.0 °C since about 1880.
Science Corrupted: It's «the hottest year on
record», as long as you don't take its temperature — Activist James Hansen's claims based on «pure conjecture» — Hansen's Climate Con: «The parts
of the world which GISS shows to be heating up the most are so short
of weather stations that only 25 per cent
of the figures are based on actual temperature readings»
Combining the greater share
of weather stations in more urban areas over time with this urban heat effect also tends to increase the rate that
recorded temperatures tend to rise over time.
As a result
of this extra urban warmth, if a
weather station becomes urbanized, this introduces an artificial warming bias into the
station's
record, i.e., urbanization bias.
Surely, there's got to be some other global warming indicator that shows a long - term global warming trend...» Remarkably, aside from the
weather station record estimates, almost all
of the so - called «global warming indicators» are short - term estimates...
For Barrow's long term
weather record, we have to instead rely on the National
Weather Service (NWS)
weather station which is located in the middle
of the town.
There's been a little discussion
of a non-peer reviewed (so far) paper published by Anthony Watts et al. claiming the warming at the best - sited US
weather stations is two - thirds» that estimated by NOAA for the US based on the entire adjusted
weather station record.
The NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies (NASA GISS) is one
of the five groups that currently publish global temperature trend estimates from
weather station records, i.e., they produce one
of the curves we showed you at the start
of this essay in Figure 1.
Indeed, many
of the groups using
weather station records for estimating global temperature trends, also combine their estimates with the sea surface temperature
records to construct «land - and - sea» global temperature estimates.
Comparison between temperature trends for two
of the longest
weather station records for the Arctic.
However, the
weather station has been relocated several times over the course
of its
record.
For example, some «skeptics» who don't understand anomalies are worried that the dropout
of lots
of cold
weather stations in Siberia over the last few decades has biased the
record warm.
«The beauty
of lake sediments is that they're being deposited continuously right up until yesterday,» Briner said, «so by looking at them, we get clues into past climates, which we can then overlap with
records from
weather stations, which only cover the past 50 to 75 years.»
The proportions
of total converted Celsius fractions
recorded at all 25
weather stations before 1 July 1971 were:
However, there are only 50 states, and this is a number that isn't large enough to give the best statistical results... [a better metric is a] year - by - year numbers
of daily all - time
record high temperatures from a set
of 970
weather stations with at least 80 years
of record... There are 365 opportunities in each year (366 in leap years) for each
of the 970
stations to set a
record high... Note the several years above 6000 events prior to 1940 and none above 5000 since 1954.