Sentences with phrase «on uncertainty quantification»

Not exact matches

Gary Geernaert, director of DOE's Climate and Environmental Sciences Division, states that «it is critical that federal investments to advance climate science for use by both public and private stakeholders must place significant priority on incorporating uncertainty quantification methodologies into modeling frameworks.

Dr. Yun Qian, atmospheric and climate modeling scientist at Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, was invited to organize and direct an international workshop on «Uncertainty Quantification in Climate Modeling and Projection» in Trieste, Italy.

In this case, the committee might have discovered more than a few papers by one of them on the subject, such as Risbey and Kandlikar (2002) «Expert Assessment of Uncertainties in Detection and Attribution of Climate Change» in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, or that Prof. Risbey was a faculty member in Granger Morgan's Engineering and Public Policy department at CMU for five years, a place awash in expert elicitation of climate (I sent my abstract to Prof. Morgan — who I know from my AGU uncertainty quantification days — for his opinion before submitting it to the conference).

These issues, which are either not recognized at all in the assessments or are understated, include: - the identification of a warm bias in nighttime minimum temperatures - poor siting of the instrumentation to measure temperatures - the influence of trends in surface air water vapor content on temperature trends - the quantification of uncertainties in the homogenization of surface temperature data, and the influence of land use / land cover change on surface temperature trends.

Long horizons of prediction are inevitably associated with high uncertainty, whose quantification relies on the long - term stochastic properties of the processes.

BTW, on an entirely different tack, while we're talking about software, there's software available for Bayesian uncertainty quantification and probabilistic solution of differential equations

Advise US CLIVAR on research priorities, gaps, and milestones to advance ocean and climate predictions and projections through improved evaluation, and better quantification and communication of skill and uncertainty.