The cataclysmic 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines masked the full impact of greenhouse gases
on accelerating sea level rise, according to a new study.
Not exact matches
Supposed calamities like the
accelerated rise of
sea level, ocean acidification, more extreme climate, tropical diseases near the poles, and so
on are greatly exaggerated.
While the scientific community has long warned about
rising sea levels and their destructive impact
on life, property and economies of some of the United States» most populous cities, researchers have developed a new, statistical method that more precisely calculates the rate of
sea level rise, showing it's not only increasing, but
accelerating.
The degradation of the historically stable Filchner - Ronne Ice Shelf would upset ice
on land, triggering runaway melting over a vast region of the continent and
accelerating global
sea level rise.
Since so much of the ice sheet is grounded underwater,
rising sea levels may have the effect of lifting the sheets, allowing more - and increasingly warmer - water underneath it, leading to further bottom melting, more ice shelf disintegration,
accelerated glacial flow, and further
sea level rise, and so
on and
on, another vicious cycle.
Greenhouse gases are already having an
accelerating effect
on sea level rise, but the impact has so far been masked by the cataclysmic 1991 eruption of Mount Pinatubo in the Philippines, according to a new study led by the...
Professor Stefan Ramstorf of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research said: «Based
on past experience, I expect that
sea level rise will
accelerate as the planet gets hotter.»
That estimate was based in part
on the fact that
sea level is now
rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at
accelerating rates [23]--[24].
In 2014, the World Meteorological Organization reported that
sea -
level rise accelerated 0.12 inches (3 millimeters) per year
on average worldwide.
It is a sweeping and valuable cross-disciplinary description of ways in which climate and ocean dynamics, pushed by the planet's human - amplified greenhouse effect, could
accelerate sea level rise far beyond the range seen as plausible in the last report from the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change and the most recent review of what leading experts
on sea level think, this 2014 paper: «Expert assessment of
sea -
level rise by AD 2100 and AD 2300.»
If continental ice melting (Greenland, Antarctic, terrestrial glaciers) is
accelerating and if warming of the 0 - 700 m (and deeper) oceanic layer is still
on, you shoud observe a higher rate of
sea -
level rise.
I would like to get some feedback
on whether or not this does any damage to the apparently «consensus» view that
sea level rise is
accelerating.
Whether we look at the steady increase in global temperature; the buildup of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere to the highest
level in a half - million years; the march of warmest - ever years (9 of the10 hottest
on record have occurred since 2000); the dramatic shrinking of mountain glaciers and Arctic
sea ice; the
accelerating rise in
sea level; or the acidification of our oceans; the tale told by the evidence is consistent and it is compelling.
2/29/16 —
Sea levels on Earth are
rising several times faster than they have in the past 2,800 years and are
accelerating because of human - driven global warming, according to new studies reported by the Associated Press.
Pat Michaels sums it up: Such results throw a bit of cold water
on alarmist ideas that
rising temperatures will lead to ever -
accelerating ice loss from Greenland and
accelerating sea level rise.
«Carbon choices determine US cities committed to futures below
sea level» «Economic impacts of climate change in Europe:
sea -
level rise» «Future flood losses in major coastal cities» «Forecasting the effects of
accelerated sea -
level rise on tidal marsh ecosystem services» «Coral islands defy
sea -
level rise over the past century: Records from a central Pacific atoll»
J. T. Fasullo, R. S. Nerem & B. Hamlington Scientific Reports 6, Article number: 31245 (2016) doi: 10.1038 / srep31245 Download Citation Climate and Earth system modellingProjection and prediction Received: 13 April 2016 Accepted: 15 July 2016 Published online: 10 August 2016 Erratum: 10 November 2016 Updated online 10 November 2016 Abstract Global mean
sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint
on climate variability and change and is expected to
accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over time.
Since current ice melt data could indicate variable climate trends and aren't necessarily part of an
accelerating trend, the study warned that predictions of future
sea -
level rise should not be based
on measurements of glacial loss» Daily Mail.
Abstract: «Global mean
sea level rise estimated from satellite altimetry provides a strong constraint
on climate variability and change and is expected to
accelerate as the rates of both ocean warming and cryospheric mass loss increase over time.
This discovery creates further issues with climate models describing
accelerating sea level rise, such as those with the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) and its followers with NOAA and NASA.
A study by researchers from the University of Colorado - Boulder showed that global
sea level is
on the
rise at an
accelerating rate.
Report: «If
sea level rise on the official
sea level site are being down graded, how can scientist claim they are
accelerating?»
The loud divergence between
sea -
level reality and climate change theory — the climate models predict an
accelerated sea -
level rise driven by the anthropogenic CO2 emission — has been also evidenced in other works such as Boretti (2012a, b), Boretti and Watson (2012), Douglas (1992), Douglas and Peltier (2002), Fasullo et al. (2016), Jevrejeva et al. (2006), Holgate (2007), Houston and Dean (2011), Mörner 2010a, b, 2016), Mörner and Parker (2013), Scafetta (2014), Wenzel and Schröter (2010) and Wunsch et al. (2007) reporting
on the recent lack of any detectable acceleration in the rate of
sea -
level rise.
Alarmingly, recent
accelerated melting
on the Greenland and West Antarctic ice sheets — which together contain enough ice to raise global
sea level by 39 feet — means that
seas could
rise even faster than predicted.
The rate, of course, will depend
on how much we end up emitting, but every indication is that we will follow an emission pathway that will lead to
accelerated sea level rise.
Both contribute to
rising sea levels... The rate, of course, will depend
on how much [CO2] we end up emitting, but every indication is that we will follow an emission pathway that will lead to
accelerated sea level rise.»
16
Sea level rising by thermal expansion AND ice melt
Sea ice melting (Arctic and Antarctic) Glaciers melting worldwide Arctic and Antarctic Peninsula heating up fastest Melting
on ice sheets is
accelerating More severe weather (droughts, floods, storms, heat waves, hard freezes, etc.) Bottom line: These changes do not fit the natural patterns unless we add the effects of increased Greenhouse gasses Signs that global warming is underway
The journalist called to get his perspective
on a new scientific study that warns of more frequent flooding along U.S. coastlines as higher temperatures
accelerate rising sea levels.
(Reuters)--
Sea level rise in the past two decades has
accelerated faster than previously thought in a sign of climate change threatening coasts from Florida to Bangladesh, a study said
on Wednesday.
Sallenger, A. H., K. S. Doran, and P. A. Howd, 2012: Hotspot of
accelerated sea -
level rise on the Atlantic coast of North America.
That estimate was based in part
on the fact that
sea level is now
rising 3.2 mm / yr (3.2 m / millennium)[57], an order of magnitude faster than the rate during the prior several thousand years, with rapid change of ice sheet mass balance over the past few decades [23] and Greenland and Antarctica now losing mass at
accelerating rates [23]--[24].
Asbury H. Sallenger Jr, Kara S. Doran & Peter A. Howd, Hotspot of
accelerated sea -
level rise on the Atlantic coast of North America, Nature Climate Change 2, 884 — 888 (2012), doi: 10.1038 / nclimate1597
It will also confirm the
accelerated rate of change for impacts such as
sea -
level rise, the steady retreat of Arctic
sea ice and quickened melting of ice sheets and glaciers, as well as offer more detail
on scenarios that will shape international negotiations over both short - term and long - term greenhouse gas emissions, including how long «business as usual» can be sustained without dangerous risk.
LONDON, 15 February, 2016 — European researchers have once again warned that the thinning of the Antarctic ice shelf means that the flow of glaciers
on the frozen continent could
accelerate, with a consequent
rise in
sea levels.
In 2014, the World Meteorological Organization reported that
sea -
level rise accelerated 0.12 inches (3 millimeters) per year
on average worldwide.
The authors needed to perform data analysis
on tidal gauge data in order to know whether or not
sea level rise was
accelerating, therefore
sea level rise can not be eyeballed.
-- you understand that
sea level rise will not continue
on a linear line, but that it is set to
accelerate — very much within this century.
For details
on how scientists know that
sea levels are
rising AND
accelerating, check out these links.
One degree can make a huge difference in the natural world and we're
on track to warm the planet 2 — 4 degrees Celsius by 2100,
accelerating glacial melt,
sea -
level rise, and other changes.
I questioned your position
on AGW when research indicated
sea level rise was
accelerating and temperatures sat right
on the projections of old models.
However, the
accelerated retreat of glaciers, combined with greater melting of these ice sheets, suggest that earlier projections of
sea -
level rise over the next century — such as in the 2007 report of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change — are conservative.8, 9
And although
accelerating glaciers look alarming, consider: 100 Gte / yr (one hundred billion tonnes) of ice - melt anywhere
on the globe approximates to 0.28 mm / yr in
sea -
level rise; so 5 gte / yr for this glacier is 0.014 mm / yr or 1.19 mm by 2100.
- I can't think of the reference, but a while ago I saw a fascinating article discussing the idea of
rising sea levels exerting upward force
on ice sheets and «un-grounding» the structure so water could infiltrate and
accelerate melting.
A subsequent study incorporated physical processes
on ice shelves that might
accelerate ice sheet loss and
sea level rise.
A few months ago a paper by Jim Houston and Bob Dean in the Journal of Coastal Research (JCR) cast doubt
on whether global
sea level rise has
accelerated over the past century or so.