Not exact matches
Smith, T.M. and R.W. Reynolds, 2005: A global merged land
air and sea surface
temperature reconstruction based
on historical
observations (1880 - 1997), J. Clim., 18, 2021 - 2036.
Hansen et al. (1995) used a simplified GCM to investigate the impacts of various climate forcings
on the diurnal cycle of surface
air temperature and compared them with
observations.
On balance the evidence shows that solar and oceanic variations are more likely the cause of recent
observations of warming in the
air than increasing CO2 in the
air but the issue can soon be resolved by observing the global
air temperature changes that occur during and after the extended cycle 23 and the probable weak cycle 24.
Since then there are a number of papers published
on why the warming was statistically insignificant including a recent one by Richardson et al. 2016 which tries to explain that the models were projecting a global tas (
temperature air surface) but the actual
observations are a combination of tas (land) and SST oceans, meaning projected warming shouldn't be as much as projected.
Global mean
temperatures from climate model simulations are typically calculated using surface
air temperatures, while the corresponding
observations are based
on a blend of
air and sea surface
temperatures.
«Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates» «Comparing tropospheric warming in climate models and satellite data» «Robust comparison of climate models with
observations using blended land
air and ocean sea surface
temperatures» «Coverage bias in the HadCRUT4
temperature series and its impact
on recent
temperature trends» «Reconciling warming trends» «Natural variability, radiative forcing and climate response in the recent hiatus reconciled» «Reconciling controversies about the «global warming hiatus»»
Moreover the recent decline of the yearly increments d (CO2) / dt acknowledged by Francey et al (2013)(figure 17 - F) and even by James Hansen who say that the Chinese coal emissions have been immensely beneficial to the plants that are now bigger grow faster and eat more CO2 due to the fertilisation of the
air (references in note 19) cast some doubts
on those compartment models with many adjustable parameters, models proved to be blatantly wrong by
observations as said very politely by Wang et al.: (Xuhui Wang et al: A two-fold increase of carbon cycle sensitivity to tropical
temperature variations, Nature, 2014) «Thus, the problems present models have in reproducing the observed response of the carbon cycle to climate variability
on interannual timescales may call into question their ability to predict the future evolution of the carbon cycle and its feedbacks to climate»
References: Smith, T. M., and R. W. Reynolds (2005), A global merged land
air and sea surface
temperature reconstruction based
on historical
observations (1880 - 1997), J. Climate, 18, 2021 - 2036.
Since the scaling factor used is based purely
on simulations by CMIP5 models, rather than
on observations, the estimate is only valid if those simulations realistically reproduce the spatiotemporal pattern of actual warming for both SST and near - surface
air temperature (tas), and changes in sea - ice cover.
«A
temperature in Kuwait
on July 22 reached 126.5 degrees Fahrenheit according to an
observation taken by the United States
Air Force,» Crouch says.
More information
on the manual and automatic practices and processes used by the Bureau to obtain these surface
air temperature data is available from Australian Climate Observations Reference Network — Surface Air Temperature (ACORN - SAT) Observation practic
air temperature data is available from Australian Climate Observations Reference Network — Surface Air Temperature (ACORN - SAT) Observation
temperature data is available from Australian Climate
Observations Reference Network — Surface
Air Temperature (ACORN - SAT) Observation practic
Air Temperature (ACORN - SAT) Observation
Temperature (ACORN - SAT) Observation practices.
CROUCH: A
temperature in Kuwait
on July 22 reached 126.5 degrees Fahrenheit, according to an
observation taken by the United States
Air Force.
Full details
on how the Bureau has prepared ACORN - SAT are available from the technical report Techniques involved in developing the Australian Climate
Observations Reference Network — Surface
Air Temperature (ACORN - SAT) dataset
The 15 - year pause shows up
on some the surface
air temperature series, but does it make sense versus
observations?