Aubrey discusses some key takeaways of the past 12 months
on bond markets in preparation for what's ahead.
Aubrey discusses some key takeaways of the past 12 months
on bond markets in preparation for what's ahead.
Not exact matches
LONDON, April 10 - Russia's rouble tumbled
on Tuesday and some Russian
bonds plumbed record lows
in the wake of U.S. sanctions, but the broader emerging
markets complex rallied, encouraged by China's promise to reduce import tariffs.
LONDON, April 23 - Hamstrung by a renewed slump
in volatility and lack of clear
market direction, FX and
bond speculators are making historically big bets
on a lower dollar and higher yields.
Although last year was favorable for developing countries, investors remember the painful «taper tantrum» that ensued several years ago, when the Fed signaled it would begin pulling back
on its massive
bond purchases that kept rates low while injecting liquidity
in markets.
Patricia Oey, a senior analyst at Morningstar who focuses
on ETFs, said investors should be aware of volatility
in emerging
market bonds.
IIF noted
in a recent report that plans to privatize several state - owned enterprises beyond the Aramco deal, a doubling
in the size of the domestic stock
market and the trading of local currency government
bonds on the Saudi exchange, which began this month, all deepen the kingdom's capital
markets.
In a client note
on Thursday titled «Yanking down the yields,» the interest - rates strategist projected that
bond yields would be much lower than the
markets expected because central banks including the Federal Reserve were reluctant to raise interest rates.
But things have suddenly changed, and traders
in bond and stock
markets have realized Trump may have a hard time delivering
on any part of his agenda.
It could trigger volatility
in stock and
bond markets, which are already
on a roller coaster ride.
On Thursday, Argentina sold $ 7 billion
in five - year and 10 - year dollar
bonds in the international
market at interest rates of 5.625 percent and 7 percent.
The yield
on the U.S. 10 - year Treasury jumped to its highest level since 2014
on Friday morning, underlining a wider move
in bond markets caused by central banks moving away from financial crisis policies.
Investors
in the U.K.
bond market could see losses
on their
bond portfolios as the Bank of England continues to be behind the inflation curve, an investment officer told CNBC
on Monday.
Although there may not be a
bond bubble, with investors starved for yield, Gundlach predicts a potential bubble could form
in credit risk as investors increase their leverage
on riskier debt securities like junk
bonds and emerging
market debt.
In a note sent out to clients
on Monday, Major lists five reasons he thinks the
bond bull
market remains intact:
A spike
in bond yields and a clear change of direction from central banks means there isn't a lot of value
in global
bond markets, a fund manager told CNBC
on Tuesday.
«The next move that will start happening
in the financial industry is that funds will start leveraging credit risk to a greater extent,» Gundlach said, «which will build up an overexposure potentially should the
market turn against
bonds later
on.»
Global
bonds went
on a wild rollercoaster ride last week, with the price swings being particularly abrupt
in the U.S. and German
markets, which have long been viewed as the safest and most liquid
in the world.
Volatility
in the
bond markets transcended into equities, knocking down the pan-European Euro Stoxx 600 Index by 0.9 percent and leading Wall Street shares to finish narrowly mixed
on Friday.
«Securitization simply means that you take the existing
bonds on the
market, e.g. German, French, Italian and Spanish, and «securitize» them
in a tranched
bond,» Claus Vistesen, euro zone economist at Patheon Macroeconomics, told CNBC.
On Wednesday, bond yields in both the U.S. and Germany reached highs on the year, which likely helped trigger a selloff in equity markets Thursda
On Wednesday,
bond yields
in both the U.S. and Germany reached highs
on the year, which likely helped trigger a selloff in equity markets Thursda
on the year, which likely helped trigger a selloff
in equity
markets Thursday.
On Thursday, former Morgan Stanley Asia chair Stephen Roach told CNBC it could cause a «rout»
in the
bond market.
(Repeats to additional subscribers) NEW YORK, April 24 (Reuters)- The U.S. benchmark 10 - year Treasury yield topped 3 percent for the first time
in more than four years
on Tuesday, a milestone that reflects the durability of the U.S. economic expansion and stokes the view the three - decade - old bull
market in bonds is numbered.
«The big challenge is that the level of computer power that one of these things needs is pretty high,» Wilcove says, adding that as the
market evolves, he can imagine a communications app for far - flung business meetings «where you're all virtually sitting around the table
in different locations with one of these headsets
on, James
Bond - style.»
Tighter regulation
on bond markets has crimped appetite for
bonds in the region, he said, noting that subscriptions for three government
bonds issued at the end of last year lagged expectations.
But poll participants who answered a question
on whether a bear
market had begun
in government
bonds were evenly split.
BRVM aims to attract more institutional investors including pension funds to increase investment
in its
bond market and lessen its dependence
on bank liquidity.
«Following the U.K. election, the relative risk investors saw
in European
bonds came back and as the situation
in Greece develops, risks will hopefully unwind and as we move into a certain environment, we can expect
bond markets to continue to normalize,» Thomas Buckingham, portfolio manager of the European Equity Group at JP Morgan Asset Management, told CNBC
on Monday.
The Penn Wharton Budget Model predicts the added debt eventually would reduce economic growth, as money that might have been spent
on productive investment instead ends up
in the
market for government
bonds.
With most of these debts being held by Chinese entities, it's unlikely we'll see a banking crisis
in the same way we could have seen if Greece or Spain went belly up, said Lau — many foreign banks hold European
bonds — but we've seen
markets panic
on far less worrisome Chinese news
in the past.
With
markets focusing
on the weakness of demand, stocks fell
in both Asia and Europe, while «safe - haven» investments such as U.S. Treasury
bonds and gold surged again.
These include currency - hedged ETFs, triple - levered ETFs based
on commodities, unconstrained
bond funds with short positions betting against U.S. Treasurys, private equity funds, emerging
market debt instruments, historically less - liquid bank loan funds, and all manner of actively managed strategies packaged
in supposedly easy to buy and sell wrappers.
Moody's has today also placed Spain's Baa3 government
bond rating
on review for possible further downgrade
in order to assess the implications of several factors
on the Spanish government's ability to continue to fund its borrowing requirements
in the private debt
markets.
During a webcast presenting his 2017 outlook, Gundlach, the founder of DoubleLine Capital, said certain «second - tier» managers were focusing
on 2.6 % as an important level for the 10 - year Treasury yield — a threshold beyond which the bull
market in bonds would end.
- The impact of the banking support package
on Spain's ability to restore
market confidence
in the banking sector and by extension
in the government
bond market.
The issue of
bond market liquidity has been a consistent theme over the past years or so with financial executives such as JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon, Blackstone CEO Steve Schwarzman, and Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks weighing
in on the issue and generally pointing the finger at a lack of liquidity exasperating moves
in financial
markets.
Although it is fair to say that the recent uptick
in volatility has
in part reduced earlier concerns about prolonged low volatility and associated reach - for - yield behavior, it has placed added focus
on the resilience of liquidity, particularly
in markets, such as the
market for corporate
bonds, that may be prone to gapping between liquidity demand and supply
in stressed conditions.
More from The New York Times: For
Bond Investors, Low Expectations
in a Low - Yield World Emerging
Market Bonds Are
on a Roll.
«If — and it's a big if — U.S. President - elect Trump delivers
on his campaign - trail fiscal promises, U.S.
market interest expectations and
bond yields have room to rise even further
in 2017,» says Lena Komileva, managing director of g + economics
in London.
In some other past calls, Tepper told «Squawk Box»
In May 2013 that the Fed had to taper its
bond - buying to keep the stock
market advance
on an even keel.
People have been pushed further and further out
on the risk curve,» said Michael Pento, an economist and founder of Pento Portfolio Strategies and author of «The Coming
Bond Market Collapse»
in 2013.
It's the largest hedge ETF, with $ 1.1 billion
in assets; it melds numerous strategies that include taking both long and short positions
on U.S. stocks and
bonds and emerging
markets.
Instead, we will include coverage of U.S. money
markets in our daily reports
on U.S. Treasury
bonds.
«
Bond king» Jeffrey Gundlach told CNBC on Monday that investors should be defensive, especially in the midst of a «weak bond market» and a «broadly sideways» stock mar
Bond king» Jeffrey Gundlach told CNBC
on Monday that investors should be defensive, especially
in the midst of a «weak
bond market» and a «broadly sideways» stock mar
bond market» and a «broadly sideways» stock
market.
Daniel Hanson, an analyst for Height Securities, told Morning Consult that the current default likely won't have a major effect
on the municipal
bond market because its effects were already «priced
in» ahead of time.
Markets around the globe are keeping a close eye
on the U.S.
bond market after the most recent move
in yields exacerbated a sell - off
in stocks
on Tuesday.
[T] he dramatic increase
in leveraged
bond positions by both US hedge funds and mundane money managers set
in motion self - reinforcing liquidations once uncertainty over emerging
markets including Turkey, Venezuela, Mexico, and Malaysia - all of which experienced sharp capital flow volatility - put pressure
on speculative positions.
After plunging to a record low of 15.95 to the U.S. dollar
on September 25, the Argentine peso clawed its way back to 8.5525
on Monday as a crackdown
on trading, a
bond sale and a currency swap with China curbed transactions
in both the legal and underground currency
markets.
But amid the optimism, some investors also have an eye
on potential causes for concern, including the end of the bull run for
bonds and persistent low volatility
in markets.
Markets around the globe are keeping a close eye
on the U.S.
bond market after the yield
on the 10 - year Treasury note topped 3 percent
on Tuesday for the first time
in several years.