Based
on climate model studies and the history of the Earth, the Hansen and Sato conclude that additional global warming of about 1ºC (1.8 ºF) or more, above global temperature in 2000, is likely to be dangerous.
«Based
on climate model studies and the history of the Earth the authors conclude that additional global warming of about 1 °C (1.8 °F) or more, above global temperature in 2000, is likely to be dangerous.»
Not exact matches
Meanwhile, the new
study suggests the effect will intensify in the future with continued
climate change, based
on computer
models that attempt to project how rising temperatures would affect the Arctic's chemical reservoirs.
In the
study, scientists from the Potsdam - based Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, and Harvard University show that sea surface temperatures reconstructed from
climate archives vary to a much greater extent
on long time scales than simulated by
climate models.
The new
study builds
on this earlier research, extending the projections globally using a variety of
climate models and taking into account future population growth.
Such
studies will help researchers make better
models of the
climate cycle
on Mars.
The
study was based
on scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) and
on the «Integrated
Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect» (IMAGE).
While large - scale
climate research
models offer a systems view of what the transport sector, for example, could contribute to
climate protection in comparison to the energy sector, the
study presented in Science, however, examines transport - related issues within the sector by using more recent and more specific data
on how people commute and travel.
After plugging all this information into computer
models, they found that access to scientific information has a minimal effect
on the public's opinion about
climate change, while weather extremes have no noticeable effect whatsoever (which slightly contrasts with a 2011
study).
Nadeau also
studies the potential impacts of
climate change
on species around the globe, using
modeling, field observation and experiments to predict where species are most vulnerable and determine how conservation groups can best mitigate the negative impacts of
climate change
on animal populations.
They said the real strength of the Jacobson
study — now in press at the Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres — is that it relies
on a new computer
model of
climate, air pollution and weather that accounts for several different ways black carbon influences the environment.
Many other
studies on black carbon's
climate influence have used models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
climate influence have used
models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Climate Change.
In the
study, the researchers used a 3D computer
model of the atmosphere to determine the impact of VSLS
on ozone and
climate.
The
study was based
on reconstructions and
climate modelling of a period of global warming 56 million years ago.
Some
climate change deniers have taken encouragement from the pause, saying they show warming predictions are flawed, but Mann, a co-author
on the
study, notes that «there have been various explanations for why [the slowdown is happening], none of which involve
climate models being fundamentally wrong.»
«Prior analyses have found that
climate models underestimate the observed rate of tropical widening, leading to questions
on possible
model deficiencies, possible errors in the observations, and lack of confidence in future projections,» said Robert J. Allen, an assistant professor of climatology in UC Riverside's Department of Earth Sciences, who led the
study.
For the
study «Doubling of coastal erosion under rising sea level by mid-century in Hawaiʻi,» published this week in Natural Hazards, the research team developed a simple
model to assess future erosion hazards under higher sea levels — taking into account historical changes of Hawaiʻi shorelines and the projected acceleration of sea level rise reported from the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC).
In a
study published in the journal Nature
Climate Change an international research team modelled the impacts of a changing climate on the distribution of almost 13 thousand marine species, more than twelve times as many species as previously s
Climate Change an international research team
modelled the impacts of a changing
climate on the distribution of almost 13 thousand marine species, more than twelve times as many species as previously s
climate on the distribution of almost 13 thousand marine species, more than twelve times as many species as previously
studied.
«When we look forward several decades,
climate models predict such profound loss of Arctic sea ice that there's little doubt this will negatively affect polar bears throughout much of their range, because of their critical dependence
on sea ice,» said Kristin Laidre, a researcher at the University of Washington's Polar Science Center in Seattle and co-author of a
study on projections of the global polar bear population.
«Most
modeling studies that look at the impact of
climate change
on crop yield and the fate of agriculture don't take into account whether the water available for irrigation will change,» Monier says.
Saba, who has conducted
modeling studies on the impacts of
climate change
on endangered leatherback turtles in the eastern Pacific Ocean, says the Northwest Atlantic loggerhead
study offers a new approach in understanding how
climate variability affects sea turtle populations.
The
study establishes a method for estimating UHI intensities using PRISM — Parameter - elevation Relationships
on Independent Slopes
Model — climate data, an analytical model that creates gridded estimates by incorporating climatic variables (temperature and precipitation), expert knowledge of climatic events (rain shadows, temperature inversions and coastal regimes) and digital eleva
Model —
climate data, an analytical
model that creates gridded estimates by incorporating climatic variables (temperature and precipitation), expert knowledge of climatic events (rain shadows, temperature inversions and coastal regimes) and digital eleva
model that creates gridded estimates by incorporating climatic variables (temperature and precipitation), expert knowledge of climatic events (rain shadows, temperature inversions and coastal regimes) and digital elevation.
While his new
study makes no use of the huge computer
models commonly used by scientists to estimate the magnitude of future
climate change, Lovejoy's findings effectively complement those of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), h
climate change, Lovejoy's findings effectively complement those of the International Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC), h
Climate Change (IPCC), he says.
In the GRL
study, researchers used a statistical
model based
on historical
climate data to separate how much of the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey was due to natural influences and how much was due to human influences.
Other
studies have resorted to
modeling to understand the effects of contrails, which have shown that they can have an appreciable impact
on global
climate, despite their transient nature.
The researchers» results were comparable to previous
studies that have analysed air pollution and mortality; however, there was some variation depending
on which
climate model was used.
The
study applied «medium to high» future emissions estimates of heat - trapping gases, as assumed by the California state government, to
models designed to assess what effect
climate change would have
on national parks like Yosemite, Death Valley, Redwood, Joshua Tree and Sequoia.
Noting that the timing of KD outbreaks in Japan coincides with certain wind patterns from Asia,
climate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University in
climate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced
Studies and the Catalan Institute of
Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University in
Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer
models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based
on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University in Japan.
«It's an evolution in our ability to use
climate models to make predictions, particularly
on timescales of a few decades,» says McKinley, also an affiliate of the Center for Climatic Research at UW - Madison's Nelson Institute for Environmental
Studies.
Previous
studies based
on global
climate models indicated that the overturning circulation in the North Pacific and North Atlantic responded in opposite ways to major shifts in global
climate.
«This
study is very important because [dust devils] are a big source of dust in the atmosphere
on Mars,» but the methods of counting them are «primitive,» says Jeffery Hollingsworth, a research scientist who
models the martin
climate at the NASA Ames Research Center Planetary Systems Branch in Moffett Field, California.
«Factors affecting extinction and origination of species are surprisingly different, with past
climate change having the highest impact
on extinction but not
on originations,» notes researcher Daniele Silvestro from the GGBC who developed the mathematical
model used in the
study.
Coastal sea ice formation takes place
on relatively small scales, however, and is not captured well in global
climate models, according to scientists at the University of California, Santa Cruz, who conducted the
study.
The map will be important for those
modeling Titan's
climate,
studying Titan's shape and gravity, and testing interior
models, as well as for those seeking to understand morphologic land forms
on Titan.
Also, the new mortality estimates, while dramatically higher than the approximately 150,000 annual deaths attributed to
climate change stress in WHO's last assessment in 2004, are not directly comparable to earlier
studies, which relied
on different
models and different underlying scenarios.
Subsequently cited in 54 papers, the Science
study showed that even using the lower end of 23
climate models suggested that in the tropics at the end of the century, «the hottest seasons
on record will represent the future norm in many locations,» with the devastating impacts
on wheat and rice yields.
Bringing together observed and simulated measurements
on ocean temperatures, atmospheric pressure, water soil and wildfire occurrences, the researchers have a powerful tool in their hands, which they are willing to test in other regions of the world: «Using the same
climate model configuration, we will also
study the soil water and fire risk predictability in other parts of our world, such as the Mediterranean, Australia or parts of Asia,» concludes Timmermann.
Several researchers at the meeting presented computer
modeling studies aimed at helping resource managers in the arid West, where population growth and
climate change are putting increasing pressure
on the region's water supply.
For the first time, their
study combines the strengths of simulations based
on integrated energy - economy -
climate models that estimate cost - optimal long - term strategies to meet
climate targets with life cycle assessment approaches.
«While laboratory
studies of the effect of temperature
on the physiology and behavior have provided significant insights into thermal ecology of ectotherms, the time is ripe to take this knowledge outside the lab to further develop
climate change
models,» he said.
Using the sophisticated UK Met Office
climate model, Dr Screen conducted computer experiments to
study the effects of Arctic sea - ice loss
on the NAO and
on Northern European winter temperatures.
For the
study, Gentine and Lemordant took Earth system
models with decoupled surface (vegetation physiology) and atmospheric (radiative) CO2 responses and used a multi-
model statistical analysis from CMIP5, the most current set of coordinated
climate model experiments set up as an international cooperation project for the International Panel on Climate
climate model experiments set up as an international cooperation project for the International Panel
on Climate Climate Change.
«These world - first results will have significant impact
on the development of
climate models around the world,» said one of the study's authors, Prof Andy Pitman, Director of the Australian Research Council's Centre of Excellence for Climate Systems Science a
climate models around the world,» said one of the
study's authors, Prof Andy Pitman, Director of the Australian Research Council's Centre of Excellence for
Climate Systems Science a
Climate Systems Science at UNSW.
The results so far show only a correlation between fires and water cycle indicators, but the data gathered from the
study is allowing scientists to improve
climate models to be able to establish a more direct relationship between biomass burning and its impacts
on drought.
For example, Chemistry -
Climate models allow the possible effects of climate change on the recovery of the ozone hole to be s
Climate models allow the possible effects of
climate change on the recovery of the ozone hole to be s
climate change
on the recovery of the ozone hole to be
studied.
In the
study published in the journal American Naturalist, researchers developed a
model based
on food web interactions among plants, grasshoppers, and spiders exposed to multiple changing
climate variables.
In summary the projections of the IPCC — Met office
models and all the impact
studies (especially the Stern report) which derive from them are based
on specifically structurally flawed and inherently useless
models.They deserve no place in any serious discussion of future
climate trends and represent an enormous waste of time and money.As a basis for public policy their forecasts are grossly in error and therefore worse than useless.For further discussion and an estimate of the coming cooling see http://climatesense-norpag.blogspot.com
Oppenheimer and his co-authors use a technique known as «structured expert judgment» to put an actual value
on the uncertainty that scientists
studying climate change have about a particular
model's prediction of future events such as sea - level rise.
In examining the ultimate transdisciplinary issue, humanity's evolving two - way relationship with the
climate, I've had the rare privilege of
studying the whole picture, from the
climate models running
on supercomputers in Boulder in 1985 to the burning rain forests of the western Amazon in 1989 to the shifting sea ice around the North Pole in 2003 to the contentious
climate treaty talks in one city after another.
This
study is focused
on three specific aspects: to assess the impact of vegetation density
on energy efficiency of a roof located at a Mediterranean coastal
climate; develop a simplified numeral
model that can estimate thermal resistance values equivalent to plants and substrates, and finally, to verify the numerical
model by using experimental data.