They are not alone as all parts of climate science lack data, use estimated data, rely
on computer model output based on no data, and ignore natural causes of weather and climate change.
Not exact matches
It speaks of operations research, systems analysis, technological forecasting, information theory, game theory, simulation techniques, decision theory, Delphi method, cross-impact matrix analysis, statistical time - series, stochastic
models, linear programming, input -
output economics,
computer based command and control systems, and so
on.
As an environmental scientist myself, with more than 10 years experience working with hydrological
computer models, I am very wary of policy formulated
on the
output of
models, especially with respect to a system as complex and poorly understood as the Earth's climate system.
There is, however, a point to be made about exercising caution when evaluating the forward - looking
output of a
computer model, particularly when those
models are used to advocate policy changes
on the assumption that the
computer model accurately simulates the earth's climate, and more particularly when there is no demonstrable track record of the predictive accuracy of the
model.
Their prognostications are based
on incomplete theory and
computer models, the soundness of which is looking less and less as reality diverges more and more from the
model output.
We are helping you to understand that there are other plausible explanations for global warming, and the assumption that it is due to CO2 is based only
on opinionated papers hand - waved through the peer review process by friendly referees [while skeptical papers rarely see the light of day], and by
computer model outputs, which are invariably unable to predict the future climate, or even today's climate with all available past data as the input.
Support is based
on the estimated annual
output of the behind - the - meter turbine, at the proposed site, as determined by
computer modeling.
Still, I guess you can't blame the Unis or the academics for grabbing the cash and kudos before the whole edifice of AGW is shown to be based
on little more than the
output from
computer models based
on human programming.
By taking this approach he actually helps provide some overall balance
on this issue because most main stream media reporting
on AGW is nothing more than IPCC cheerleading and the repetition of suspect
computer modelling output.
Man - made systems (including ill - posed
computer models) with positive feedback rely
on various external devices to maintain bounded
output.
Fraedrich & Blender did find long - range persistence
on century time scales, but only for fluctuations (not for temperature), and only in the
output of
computer model runs.
Most modern climate researchers have grown up
on computer models of climate and are used to believing in the
model output.
The only evidence in support of the CO2 as the primary cause of global warming are the
outputs of the
computer models used by the U.N's Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change which have been wrong in every forecast or scenario they produced since 1990.