Sentences with phrase «on current boundaries»

Under a uniform national swing, fighting seats on the current boundaries in a first - past - the - post electoral system, that would result in a landslide for Theresa May, according to the Electoral Calculus website.

The commission will still publish recommendations in October, but everyone now assumes that the 2015 election will be fought on current boundaries.

Putting all these factors, and some smaller ones, together John Curtice estimated in 2011 that the Conservatives would need a lead of more than 11 points on current boundaries to win a majority, while Labour could secure one with a lead of just three points.

So I am sore about it, but there's no point endlessly harking back — we've got to win on the current boundary changes.

On a uniform swing, these figures would give Labour a majority of 10 seats based on current boundaries, although these are likely to be changed before the next election.

Looking forward to next year on this result it looks like some of the marginals (Ashburton and Addiscombe) could well be safe Labour on current boundaries whilst Fairfield will be well placed for a Labour gain.

To even be the largest party Labour would need a lead over the Conservatives of 4.7 % (up from 3.9 % on the current boundaries).

On current boundaries I can see Brake holding on or even increasing majority, Labour could even drop to below 10 in this seat.

The research suggests that his party needs a swing of 6.9 %, down from 7.4 % on the current boundaries, to re-take power.