, Venezuela: Pokemon Distracts From Debt & Protest Angst, Citi Still Bullish
On Emerging Market Debt, But Shifting From Asia and Emerging Market Funds Attract $ 35 Billion In 7 Weeks: Sell Signal?
As we noted last night, BlackRock is bullish on hard currency EM bonds and generally bullish
on emerging market debt in light of low - to - negative interest rates in developed markets.
In a note
on emerging market debt entitled «Are Argentine bonds really that attractive?
He joined Schroders in 2012 as a Senior Portfolio Manager
on the Emerging Market Debt Relative team.
Since 2009, he has been part of the fixed income investment team, with a particular focus
on emerging market debt and developed market sovereign debt.
Spreads
on emerging market debt have narrowed by around 500 basis points.
Evan J. Ouellette, As a fixed income portfolio manager
on the Emerging Markets Debt team, Evan primarily focuses on strategy implementation and portfolio construction, with a particular emphasis on Emerging Local Debt portfolios.
Not exact matches
There's opportunity in
emerging market debt despite growing concerns over higher credit levels and the impact of a strong dollar, the chief executive of Goldman Sachs Asset Management told CNBC
on Tuesday.
Although there may not be a bond bubble, with investors starved for yield, Gundlach predicts a potential bubble could form in credit risk as investors increase their leverage
on riskier
debt securities like junk bonds and
emerging market debt.
There's no new theme to it, just more riffs
on the old one of a self - reinforcing spiral of slower growth in China crushing the economies of its raw material suppliers, while an appreciating dollar makes it ever harder for
emerging market companies and governments to repay the
debts they gleefully took
on when the Federal Reserve was giving away dollars for free.
These include currency - hedged ETFs, triple - levered ETFs based
on commodities, unconstrained bond funds with short positions betting against U.S. Treasurys, private equity funds,
emerging market debt instruments, historically less - liquid bank loan funds, and all manner of actively managed strategies packaged in supposedly easy to buy and sell wrappers.
The woman, who works at a company in eastern Tokyo, said she plans to invest more in stocks than in
debt, with a focus
on foreign equities including those from
emerging markets.
But unlike the 2011 rout, sparked by the eurozone
debt crisis, the sudden collapse of global equities
markets that began last week is all about China — which makes it all the more unnerving since few have a good grasp
on how the world's most important
emerging economy actually works.
September 2013 (699 kb PDF file): The Research Summaries in the September 2013 IMF Research Bulletin focus
on «External Conditions and
Debt Sustainability in Latin America» (Gustavo Adler and Sebastian Sosa) and «Monetary Policy Cyclicality in
Emerging Markets» (Donal McGettigan, Kenji Moriyama, and Chad Steinberg).
Highland Capital Brasil Gestora de Recursos («HCB») is an asset management company which pursues investment opportunities in
Emerging Market credit strategies with a primary focus
on Brazilian corporate
debt.
Emerging -
market companies have piled
on debt in recent years, allured by low interest rates from yield - starved investors.
Against this environment, our strategists remain bullish
on equities and continue to favor
emerging market currencies and, in the fixed income space, prefer local
markets over external
debt and maintain their higher - yielding yet better - quality bias.
Jeff takes down his recommendation
on emerging market (EM)
debt to «neutral» after this year's big rally.
Selling that much
debt, especially at a time when
emerging markets are suddenly out of favor, «will require the government to do a good job communicating its strategy
on the fiscal and monetary side.»
The fund focuses
on US corporate bonds, convertible securities, foreign
debt instruments (including those in
emerging markets) and US government securities
The continuing low level of government bond yields has supported the search for yield that has been evident over the past couple of years, with the spread between yields
on US government
debt and yields
on both corporate and
emerging market debt remaining around historical lows over the past three months (Box B).
With interest rates
on low - risk investments falling to low levels in many countries, investors have sought to maintain yields by moving into higher - risk assets such as corporate
debt and
emerging market debt.
On 10/24/16, the Schroder Absolute Return EMD and Currency Fund (the «Predecessor Fund») was reorganized into the Hartford Schroders
Emerging Markets Debt & Currency Fund, a new Hartford Fund that has substantially the same objective and strategies as the Predecessor Fund.
And the UK Telegraph's Ambrose Evans - Pritchard notes a «side - effect has been a run
on emerging markets, a reversal of hot - money inflows into China, and fresh
debt jitters in Portugal, Spain, and Italy.»
Restructured
debt backed by Treasuries and issued by
emerging market countries after defaulting
on original loans.
Spreads
on US corporate
debt have generally fallen to levels last seen before the 2001 US recession (Graph 16), while spreads
on emerging market sovereign
debt have returned to levels last prevailing in the months prior to the Asian crisis in 1997 (Graph 17).
Spreads
on European
emerging market debt have also narrowed as investor concerns about political developments in Russia have subsided and the country's credit rating has been upgraded.
The government's current strategy is based
on the hope that the EURO area will quickly recover from its 18 - month recession; that the US will find an agreement
on a budget that will reverse sequestration and raise the
debt ceiling; that
emerging markets will become revitalized; that President Obama will agree to the XL pipeline; and that there will be a Canada - EU free trade deal.
A moderate spillover would lead to similarly muted effects
on major indexes, with an incremental fall of 2.8 % in global stocks and modest losses in corporate and
emerging -
market debt.
Consider some figures based
on our analysis: The whole universe of high yield bonds is only around $ 2 trillion and the
emerging market (EM) sovereign
debt universe measures around $ 6 trillion, while the world of negatively yielding developed
market government
debt measures roughly $ 13 trillion, according to our estimates of figures from multiple sources.
Rob's investment responsibilities are focused
on global multi-currency fixed income,
emerging market debt and global high income portfolios.
Investors now have a choice between both active and passive products that provide access to
emerging market debt, which may be suitable to some investors based
on their goals, preferences, and tolerance for risk.
The portfolio manager looks for businesses with historically high returns that are trading at cheap multiples for the Fidelity Frontier
Emerging Markets Fund, but he's also focused
on companies that are funded by free cash, as opposed to
debt.
Highland Capital Brasil Gestora de Recursos («HCB») is an asset management company which pursues investment opportunities in
Emerging Market credit strategies with a primary focus
on Brazilian corporate
debt.
Given its low costs and focus
on emerging -
market debt, MEDIX makes for a great subcore position in a broader fixed - income portfolio.
The shale gas production boom took off after 2010, when the U.S. dollar embarked
on a multi-year uptrend that was supported by an exodus from the euro during the sovereign
debt crisis and a marked slowdown of capital flows to
emerging markets.
It stops focusing
on US investment - grade
debt and gains the freedom to own up to 50 % high yield and up to 50 % international, including
emerging markets debt.
Harbor Funds» Board of Trustees has determined to liquidate and dissolve Harbor
Emerging Markets Debt Fund (HAEDX)
on April 29, 2015.
Emerging markets bond funds focus
on investing in
debt from faster growing developing countries.
But it's not clear where Smurfit stands in this regard — there are certainly fresh threats to global growth, and
debt overhang will restrain the developed
markets for years to come —
on the other hand, Smurfit's now a dominant player,
emerging markets continue to perform well, and Western central banks continue to pump out a tsunami of liquidity to combat
debt deflation.
agri - business, annual reports, Archer Daniels, bank
debt, BRF - Brasil Foods, contango, correlation, Deere & Co,
emerging markets, ETFs, ETNs, ETPs, farmland, fertilizer stocks, food wastage, frauds, frontier
markets, Gain
on Biological Assets, inflation, JP Morgan, livestock,
Market Vectors Agribusiness ETF, Monsanto, MOO, picks & shovels, plantations, soft commodities, Syngenta, United States Oil Fund, Wilmar, Yara
That, in turn, has bolstered the credit quality of
emerging -
market debt, resulting in a narrowing of the spread between the yield
on emerging -
market debt and that available
on U.S. Treasury bonds.
Anyway, I might disagree with your whole thesis, regardless —
emerging markets are no more dangerous than developed
markets: Yes, people always fearfully imagine losing 100 % of their investment in an
emerging market — and v rarely that can happen — but they prefer to ignore the fact that in the credit crisis,
on their own doorstep, they lost all their home equity, 50 % of their stock portfolio, and the rest was confiscated in taxes & unsustainable future tax / entitleement /
debt burdens...
Summarizing my investment perspective may be useful: Argo's an alternative manager focused
on emerging markets, and investing in special situations, property & distressed
debt — an investment focus I find v appealing.
See our posts 3 Ratings Agencies
On Argentina: Still Junk Bonds, Yield Mania: Record
Emerging Market Debt Inflows, Argentina A Fave, 3 Experts: What's Next For Argentina Economy, Investments?
Gill joined Fidelity in 2000 as an assistant trader
on the high income desk covering
emerging markets and U.S. high yield
debt instruments.
Pablo Goldberg, a portfolio manager and senior strategist
on BlackRock's
emerging market debt team, and Sergio Trigo Paz, head of
emerging markets fixed income within BlackRock's portfolio management group, write:
I then moved within Morgan Stanley to become an analyst focused
on emerging market sovereign
debt in 2010.
See our posts Fitch
On Turkey:
Debt Rating Safe, Outlook Negative, After $ 25B In
Emerging Market Bond Flows, Is Argentina A Safe Bet?
Our research
on the Fundamental Index ® concept, as applied to bonds, underscores the widely held view in the bond community that we should not choose to own more of any security just because there's more of it available to us.10 Figure 9 plots four different Fundamental Index portfolios (weighted
on sales, profits, assets and dividends) in investment - grade bonds (green), high - yield bonds (blue) and
emerging markets sovereign
debt (yellow).11 Most of these have lower volatility and higher return than the cap - weighted benchmark (marked with a red dot).