Sentences with phrase «on expert judgment»

I saw no statistics and no probabilities, just statements based on expert judgment.

However, when the assessment of the science rests largely on expert judgment, the behavior and credibility of the experts becomes a very important issue.

«JC note to the IPCC: rely less on expert judgment and appeal to authority, and more on carefully crafted and documented arguments.»

Attribution for these phenomena based on expert judgment rather than formal attribution studies.»

Further, if there is a substantial amount of conflicting evidence, then we are left relying on expert judgment rather than a strong evidentiary case

The IPCC's consensus building process relies heavily on expert judgment; if the public and the policy makers no longer trust these particular experts, then we can expect a very different dynamic to be in play with regards to the reception of the AR5 relative to the AR4.

(This is where my ignorance of the strengths / weaknesses of these statistical tools forces me to rely on expert judgment.)

I understand why you only went back to 1983, but based on your expert judgment and the analysis you have done, how far back in time would you expect the NATL and EPAC data to be reliable?

As a result, the Committee's recommendations for award levels are based more heavily on expert judgment than has been the case in the past.

Not exact matches

«Food safety, at the end of the day, is a judgment we allow experts to make on our behalf.»

«One of the most interesting things we've noticed over the last decade is the ability of math and machines to replace human judgment, particularly expert judgment,» Rabois said on Founder Calls, a new podcast run by Box CEO Aaron Levie.

The appeals process is likely to drag on for years, and some legal experts predict that the judgment will ultimately be overturned or the award greatly reduced.

The 2010 results are based on an expert panel that was called upon to use participants» judgment to assess the relative harm of 20 different drugs.

Those who challenged the states also suggested that courts would be ill - equipped to make the complex judgments that big regulatory agencies staffed with scientists and other experts make on a routine basis.

Experts are withholding judgment on the Russians» claims.

Evidence - based guidelines should allow for expert judgment to be applied to specific cases, not just blind adherence to algorithmic rules based on statistical averages.

Experts hesitate to pass judgment on Verfaillie, whom they describe as a careful researcher.

Unlike traditional halls of fame, this one does not rely on the subjective judgment of a small committee of experts.

Oppenheimer and his co-authors use a technique known as «structured expert judgment» to put an actual value on the uncertainty that scientists studying climate change have about a particular model's prediction of future events such as sea - level rise.

Claudia Tebaldi, a project scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, said that the researchers propose a much more robust method for evaluating the increasing volume of climate - change data coming out than experts coming up with «a ballpark estimate based on their own judgments.»

Paul Slovic, an expert on human judgment, decision - making and the psychology of risk, will present two Patten Lectures the week of Oct. 24 at Indiana University Bloomington.

McGregor is Alfred Jones, an expert on fishing and a government functionary tasked against his will and his better judgment into helping a visionary Yemeni sheik achieve his dream of bringing sport fishing to the desert, and not just to help his people find a novel way to pass their time.

Finance experts retained by the state modeled their practices after those of the Food and Drug Administration, Air Traffic Control Administration, and Veterans Administration, all of which have relied for years on professional judgment panels when faced with information deficiencies.

Additionally, much of the work that has tried to build on Kahneman and Tversky seems to violate their basic finding that expert judgment is unreliable.

When we asked low - income African American parents whose judgment they most respected on matters relating to their children's education, they did not cite authorities or experts.

Authorized by NAEP legislation and adopted by the National Assessment Governing Board (NAGB), the three achievement levels are determined by cut points based on the collective judgments of experts about what students should know and be able to do.

Many teachers unions also favor getting rid of bad educators, not based strictly on test scores or the subjective judgment of principals, but through «peer review» plans which call for expert teachers to come into a school and work with struggling educators and in some cases recommend termination.

These guidelines are the product of nearly a year's work by experts in the field of autistic spectrum disorders and are based on validated scientific evidence, clinical experience and clinical judgment.

Assessing organisational capacity will rightly draw heavily on the RSCs» expert judgment, but as a guideline, one useful measure would be the proportion of the schools currently in the chain with performance below key thresholds.

Follow this blog to learn to repair bad credit on your credit report, remove collections, charge offs, tax liens, judgments and free credit repair info from a true expert.

For Rob — projections and details vary; here, for example: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0006320711004460#FCANote «the best estimate (solid bar) and likely range (grey bar) for six SRES scenarios, based on both the model results in the left part of the figure and expert judgment derived from a variety of additional information.

The key messages were developed during technical discussions and expert deliberation at a two - day meeting of the eight chapter Lead Authors, plus Susan Hassol and Daniel Glick, held in Boulder, Colorado May 8 - 9, 2012; through multiple technical discussions via six teleconferences from January through June 2012, and an author team call to finalize the Traceable Account draft language on Oct 12, 2012; and through other various communications on points of detail and issues of expert judgment in the interim.

Since scientific theories are not «real» the public must rely on the judgment of the experts in deciding public policy.

Reviewers are selected on the basis of their expertise, and are thus able to provide expert judgment.

Indeed, there are examples in IPCC reports of willingness to acknowledge the importance of expert (subjective) judgment, if on a limited basis (e.g., see discussions of climate sensitivity, detection and attribution and climate and weather extremes in WGI report, assessment of response strategies in the WGII report of AR4; see also Knutti and Hegerl (2008) for futher details on the role of expert judgement in estimating climate sensitivity).

Citing «great hydrologic and climate uncertainty,» one expert quoted by CSM puts forth a new climate wisdom that has as yet to catch on widely: «We can't necessarily count on what we saw in the past as the judgment of where storms are going to be in the future.»

But if you firmly hold that you have a significant conclusion on this somewhat esoteric topic, the place to have that conclusion tested is in the published scientific literature - that's what peer review is all about, to provide a mechanism for an adjudicated evaluation and judgment of your argument by experts.

People will generally defer to the judgment of experts, and they trust climate scientists on the subject of global warming.

People will defer to the judgment of experts, and they trust climate scientists on the subject of global warming.

Modelers often consider information of this kind along with numerous other diagnostics, which they combine with expert judgment to help decide on a new model version among multiple candidates.

My judgment is on which side of the argument has the experts that impress me more, and I'll let you in on some bad news — its not the skeptics.

The report states that «confidence» is based on «mechanistic understanding, theory, models, expert judgment,» and that certainty levels can also be based just on «expert judgment.»

The Guidance Note for Lead Authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties impose upon the lead authors to assign subjective levels of confidence to their findings: «The AR5 will rely on two metrics for communicating the degree of certainty in key findings: 1 Confidence in the validity of a finding, based on the type, amount, quality, and consistency of evidence (e.g., mechanistic understanding, theory, data, models, expert judgment) and the degree of agreement.

However, the Committee believes that the nature of the IPCC's task (i.e., in presenting a series of expert judgments on issues of great societal relevance) demands that the IPCC pay special attention to issues of independence and bias to maintain the integrity of, and public confidence in, its results.

However, the draft terms of reference have been criticised by Global Witness, the ITF and UN Panel of Experts on Liberia for its murky nature and confidentiality clauses stating that all information, including all notes and final judgments, could not be distributed without the direct permission of the Liberian government (iii).

In the real world, if someone purports to be an expert, they tell you that they have special knowledge of a subject, that you should rely on their judgment that certain claims are true, and they turn out to have no clue whatsoever about said claims, that person is no longer considered reliable or trustworthy.

«Quantified measures of uncertainty in a finding expressed probabilistically (based on statistical analysis of observations or model results, or expert judgment).»

Instead, the case dragged on for two years; the docket sheet has around 80 entries; both sides hired computer experts, and in the end the case was dismissed on summary judgment, in a decision where the judge spent almost 40 pages analyzing every claim made by Healthcare and dismissing it only after rigorous and in - depth analysis which went, in my opinion, far beyond the call of duty.

Perhaps the MDG decision was based on the particular circumstances and the timing of the separate retainer of the expert on the other files, but that is not evident from the reasoning in the judgment.

Steven Stevens will be participating in that panel, speaking on «Summary Judgments — Part Two: Evidence & Experts»