-- «The 2012 report
on extreme events by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change examined the evidence for regional changes in soil moisture since 1950, and made the following assessment for western North America: «No overall or slight decrease in dryness since 1950; large variability; large drought of the 1930s dominates.»
Not exact matches
There began to be the sense that
events could be influenced only
by large - scale, remote economic or governmental forces, or
by extreme political initiatives
on the right or
on the left.
CIHT welcome the decision
by Prime Minister David Cameron to launch a targeted review of the resilience of the transport network to
extreme weather
events, announced at yesterday's first meeting of the new Cabinet Committee
on flooding.
Cuomo said his decision to exercise
extreme caution with this
event was informed
by a snowstorm in Buffalo a few months ago that, despite a relatively modest forecast, ended up dumping 7 feet of snow
on the city and stranding people
on roads for hours.
«But the
event tonight has been overshadowed
by the presence, not just at conference but
on the same platform as some senior members of the party, of people of such
extreme and offensive views.»
Among others, I have requested hearings
on new findings
on the impacts of climate change
on agriculture, new findings regarding the probability that
extreme weather
events are influenced
by climate change, and new analysis of earth surface temperatures.
If the world keeps burning fossil fuels and does little else to prevent climate change — the trajectory we are
on — weather
events now considered
extreme, like the one in 1997 which led to floods so severe that hundreds of thousands of people in Africa were displaced, and the one in 2009 that led to the worst droughts and bushfires in Australia's history, will become average
by 2050.
According to a poll conducted
by researchers at Yale University's Project
on Climate Change Communication, four out of five Americans reported personally experiencing one or more types of
extreme weather or a natural disaster in 2011, while more than a third were personally harmed either a great deal or a moderate amount
by one or more of these
events.
Global economic losses caused
by extreme weather
events have risen to nearly $ 200 billion a year over the last decade and look set to increase further as climate change worsens, a report
by the World Bank showed
on Monday.
The
extreme events induced
by climate change will have drastic consequences
on forest functions and services and may bring about important drought - induced die - off
events.
For this reason, many people think we should focus first
on compensating people harmed
by these processes — Pacific islands whose shorelines are gradually disappearing underwater for instance — and worry about
extreme weather
events once the science has caught up.
On the one hand, we live in a changing world, and all
extreme events are caused
by both climate change and nature.
New data show that
extreme weather
events have become more frequent over the past 36 years, with a significant uptick in floods and other hydrological
events compared even with five years ago, according to a new publication, «
Extreme weather
events in Europe: Preparing for climate change adaptation: an update
on EASAC's 2013 study»
by the European Academies» Science Advisory Council (EASAC), a body made up of 27 national science academies in the European Union, Norway, and Switzerland.
A detailed, long - term ocean temperature record derived from corals
on Christmas Island in Kiribati and other islands in the tropical Pacific shows that the
extreme warmth of recent El Niño
events reflects not just the natural ocean - atmosphere cycle but a new factor: global warming caused
by human activity.
Climate scientists know that the intensity of
extreme precipitation
events is
on the rise because there's more water vapor in the atmosphere caused
by higher global and sea temperatures.
Oklahoma has been battered
by extreme weather
events in recent years and much of the discussion focused
on adaptation toward maximizing benefits and minimizing losses for the state.
Even under a more moderate scenario where greenhouse gas emissions peak in 2040, 100 - year
extreme sea levels could increase
by 57 centimeters, or nearly 2 feet,
on average,
by the end of the century, with these
events occurring every few years, according to study's authors.
«The unfortunate thing is that with more and more
extreme events, we are being requested with increasing frequency
by emergency managers,
by citizens,
by the business community,
by farmers... for more information
on climate - scale
events, which we define as anything beyond 14 days,» Lubchenco said.
Sometimes, teleconnections
on intra-seasonal time scales are associated with
extreme weather
events, such as the so - called Pineapple Express, which is characterized
by heavy rains that extend from the Hawaiian Islands to the west coast of North America.
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climat
By comparing the numbers of
extreme rainfall
events in the two ensembles, we can work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected
by human influence on climat
by human influence
on climate.
Kremlin wants new plan
by mid-2018, as brief sent to regions highlights focus
on extreme weather
events, permafrost thawing
With the aid of global Earth observations and data - driven models, the researchers show that
on average,
extreme events prevent the uptake of around 3 petagrams carbon per year
by the vegetation.
Organized
by the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), the GOTHAM Summer School (18th - 22nd September 2017) will train young scientists
on a unique combination of interdisciplinary scientific topics and tools relevant for understanding teleconnections and their role in causing
extreme weather
events.
By comparing the numbers of extreme rainfall events in the two ensembles, «Weather@Home» will work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected by human influence on climat
By comparing the numbers of
extreme rainfall
events in the two ensembles, «Weather@Home» will work out if the risk of a wet winter has increased, decreased or been unaffected
by human influence on climat
by human influence
on climate.
Consequently, an international team of researchers led
by Markus Reichstein, director at the Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry in Jena, Germany, investigated the influence of
extreme climate
events on the carbon cycle of land ecosystems and if the resulting additional CO2 emissions feedback
on climate change.
This included an
event - specific attribution study
on the 2013 New Zealand drought, as well as highlighting differences in the emergence of heat
extremes for the global population when aggregated
by income grouping.
While much of the attention at Paris is focused
on reducing emissions in a bid to keep global temperature rise to less than two degrees Celsius
by the end of the century, many climate impacts will continue to increase — including rising sea level and more
extreme weather
events — even if greenhouse emissions cease, according to the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change.
Taleb (2005, 2007, 2012) within his books
on financial markets and system dynamics Fooled
by Randomness, Black Swan and Antifragile argues that our incapability to forecast in environments subjected to
extreme events including a lack of the awareness of this state of affairs means that certain experts are claiming to tell the truth while in fact they are not.
One in 4 children experiences a mental health disorder annually, 73 and half of those who will have a mental health disorder at some point in their life will first be diagnosed at age 14 or younger.74 Furthermore, about half of all children will experience a traumatic
event — such as the death of a parent, violence, or
extreme poverty — before they reach adulthood.75 And as the opioid epidemic continues to grow, students are coming to school affected
by a parent's addiction as well as the havoc and instability that it can wreak
on family life.76 In addition, as students experience other issues — such as puberty; family matters, like divorce; and bullying — having supportive trained adults to talk to in school is critical for improving their well - being and attention to learning.
They reorder as their supply is used, which can significantly shift the supply - demand dynamic in favor of salt producers during
extreme winter weather
events — CMP's average price
on awarded highway deicing contracts rose
by 25 % in 2014 as a result.
A new study
by Screen and Simmonds demonstrates the statistical connection between high - amplitude planetary waves in the atmosphere and
extreme weather
events on the ground.
What I do see, however, is a coming era where every single unusual and / or
extreme weather
event gets blamed
on «climate change»
by die hard zealots, who then proceed to attack anyone and everyone who failed to take the
extreme measures they insisted
on.
Because of the limited length of our letter we were not able to present a comprehensive discussion of the scientific literature that is being cited in support of these linkages so we focused
on just one of them: the paper
by Francis and Vavrus, «Evidence Linking Arctic Amplification to
Extreme Weather in Mid-Latitudes,» in which it is argued that Arctic warming is linked to a range of
extreme events in midlatitudes, including the kind of persistent cold that we have been experiencing this winter.
But it's like I say: as planetary climate systems show all possible signs of disruption, what we get is strange climatic conditions and
extreme weather
events on a local level, and these conditions and
event are conditioned
by great variations from continent to continent and from one year to the next.
It's a daunting task to try to detect any links between short - term fluctuations in
extreme weather
events and the rising influence of accumulating greenhouse gases
on climate, given that
extreme weather is,
by definition, rare.
On that front, both a report from a workshop organized by the National Academy of Sciences, «Global Change and Extreme Hydrology,» and an international meeting on «Metrics and methodologies of estimation of extreme climate events» concluded that questions outnumber answers and there's a lot of work to be don
On that front, both a report from a workshop organized
by the National Academy of Sciences, «Global Change and
Extreme Hydrology,» and an international meeting
on «Metrics and methodologies of estimation of extreme climate events» concluded that questions outnumber answers and there's a lot of work to be don
on «Metrics and methodologies of estimation of
extreme climate
events» concluded that questions outnumber answers and there's a lot of work to be done.
Here in part one, I offer an update
on events related to a news release * issued last week
by the Research Council of Norway with this provocative title: «Global warming less
extreme than feared?»
By exaggerating the influence of climate change
on today's weather and climate - related
extreme events, a part of our community is painting itself into a rhetorical corner.
It appears that skewness, and several formulas seem applicable, provides a testable procedure to compare
extreme weather
events over time, for example, some recent work
on summertime temperatures
by Volodin and Yurova in 2013: http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs00382-012-1447-4.
3:28 p.m. Updated I contacted Kevin Trenberth, a climate scientist at the National Center for Atmospheric Research who was just interviewed
by Joe Romm
on extreme precipitation and warming, to see if he thinks it's appropriate to call such storms «global warming type»
events.
These have been assessed (based
on simulations with sophisticated land models), the results of which are summarized
by the IPCC (2012) report
on extreme events (for which this drought qualifies).
The other features — already mentioned — were the identification of dominant regional concerns, the highlighting of climate change impacts already occurring, and the report's effectiveness as an engagement tool, which Mooney had just commented
on, plus one more thing: the focus
on extreme events, which are both most noticeable
by the public and the primary source of economic damage in the next several decades, as Dr. Michael Hanemann (author of this paper) explained to me for a story I wrote about the California drought.
People affected
by an
extreme weather
event (e.g., the extremely hot summer in Europe in 2003, or the heavy rainfall in Mumbai, India in July 2005) often ask whether human influences
on the climate are responsible for the
event.
A Global Climate Model (GCM) can provide reliable prediction information
on scales of around 1000
by 1000 km covering what could be a vastly differing landscape (from very mountainous to flat coastal plains for example) with greatly varying potential for floods, droughts or other
extreme events.
Evidence that
extreme precipitation is increasing is based primarily
on analysis1, 2,3 of hourly and daily precipitation observations from the U.S. Cooperative Observer Network, and is supported
by observed increases in atmospheric water vapor.4 Recent publications have projected an increase in
extreme precipitation
events, 1,5 with some areas getting larger increases6 and some getting decreases.7, 2
Examining the graphic
on storm surge (below) posted
by one of Trenberth's colleagues at the National Center for Atmospheric Research, we clearly see how
extreme high water
events since 1900 are broken down into contributions from storm surge, high tides and a century of sea level rise.
In June 2008, a record flood
event exceeded the once - in -500-year flood level
by more than 5 feet, causing $ 5 to $ 6 billion in damages from flooding, or more than $ 40,000 per resident of the city of Cedar Rapids.85 The flood inundated much of the downtown, damaging more than 4,000 structures, including 80 % of government offices, and displacing 25,000 people.86 The record flood at Cedar Rapids was the result of low reservoir capacity and
extreme rainfall
on soil already saturated from unusually wet conditions.
Observational data, evidence from field experiments, and quantitative modeling are the evidence base of the negative effects of
extreme weather
events on crop yield: early spring heat waves followed
by normal frost
events have been shown to decimate Midwest fruit crops; heat waves during flowering, pollination, and grain filling have been shown to significantly reduce corn and wheat yields; more variable and intense spring rainfall has delayed spring planting in some years and can be expected to increase erosion and runoff; and floods have led to crop losses.4, 5,6,7
Pakistan Today: Despite severe flooding in 2011, Pakistan managed to drop itself from first last year, to third position this year in the league table for countries that were worst hit
by extreme weather
events in 2011, according to a «climate risk index 2013» published here
on Tuesday.
Prolonged allergy seasons, re-emerging illnesses and more
extreme weather
events are spurred
on by climate change and will systematically affect human health, they argue.