Sentences with phrase «on extreme scenarios»

Not exact matches

Research group Climate Central has created a plug - in for Google Earth that illustrates how catastrophic an «extreme» sea - level rise scenario would be if the flooding happened now, based on projections in a 2017 report from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency (NOAA).

Whether or not that happens — and frankly, it's an extreme example of the worst - case scenario for US shale producers — a glut of global oil inventories is already weighing on oil prices.

Ignoring these questions can create conflict later on, and in the most extreme scenario could lead couples to question whether the relationship is right for them.

Consider the extreme scenario where every country not named Russia imposes sanctions on Russia.

But global CO2 emissions are still on track to meet or exceed the most extreme emissions scenarios outlined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in its 2007 report, and by the scenarios the panel will use in the report it will release next year, scientists with the Global Carbon Project said.

National security experts said climate forecasters often focus on averages, or the most likely scenario, without determining the probability of an extreme climate shift

In cooperation with scientists from the Thünen - Institut and the Ecuadorian Universidad Técnica Particular de Loja, a team from TUM compared the predicted loss of area of tree species caused by deforestation on the one hand and by predicted forest losses in an extreme climate change scenario on the other.

Even under a more moderate scenario where greenhouse gas emissions peak in 2040, 100 - year extreme sea levels could increase by 57 centimeters, or nearly 2 feet, on average, by the end of the century, with these events occurring every few years, according to study's authors.

(Because weather depends on so many factors, the group had to model an extreme scenario to confirm the changes they observed were actually due to solar panels.)

Finding great businesses that have extreme pessimism based on a situation or scenario that will blow over.

We will look at two different scenarios that will lie on both extremes of the rewards rate spectrum to demonstrate the best and worst possible average rewards rates.

The KPE on the WRT32XB also protects Xbox gamers from extreme lag spikes at the router level and reduces peak ping by up to 65 % on Xbox One consoles vs non-gaming routers, delivering consistent and superior reaction time during intense gaming scenarios.

If «The most extreme scenario postulated in TAR» is almost solely dependent on GHG emissions, why would the introduction of aerosol effects not change the results?

The extreme scenarios may not come to pass tomorrow, but if we remain on this path, then they will, inevitably, become reality, in some form or another.

If Dr. Hansen never imagined Scenario A as being a real possibility for the next 20 years, I guess indicated by his description «Scenario A, since it is exponential, must eventually be on the high side of reality in view of finite resource constraints and environmental concerns, even though the growth of emissions in Scenario A (~ 1.5 % yr - 1) is less than the rate typical of the past century (~ 4 % yr - 1)» then his subsequent comment (PNAS, 2001) «Second, the IPCC includes CO2 growth rates that we contend are unrealistically large» seems to indicate that Dr. Hansen doesn't support some of the more extreme SRES scenarios.

Recent extreme near - surface permafrost temperatures on Svalbard in relation to future climate scenarios.

Under all but the two most extreme scenarios (fixed 4 °C warming or RCP 8.5 through 2100), Florida holds 40 % or more of the population living on potentially affected land.

Identify system vulnerabilities and determine attributes such as on - site fuel requirements, dual - fuel capability, or others that ensure that peak demands can be met during extreme scenarios.

The missing variable fallacy of neglecting a factor entirely, implicitly treating it as 0 % effect, minimizing mention to quickly skip on (except when the target audience unavoidably already has heard of it), is common when something is so extraordinarily dangerous to the CAGW movement as to be he - who - must - not - be-named to them, a distinction which belongs to the magnitude of beneficial effects of CO2 (several tens of percent rise in plant growth rates under a more extreme scenario of CO2 doubling, plus as huge a rise in water usage efficiency, if the plants aren't underfertilized meanwhile) and to the dominating influence of cosmic rays on climate as in the link in my name.

Imagine if Waxman - Markey had passed within the envelope of both major ocean circulations going negative...... Grand recession / solar minima / end extreme eccentricity minima interglacial or not, we could be sitting around now, swilling non-carbonated champagne, patting each other on the back, celebrating the FACT that we had quelled the heathen devil promulgated sea level rising to the AR4 worst case scenario of 0.59 meters, only to watch it go +6 M etc,.

Using an ensemble of four high resolution (~ 25 km) regional climate models, this study analyses the future (2021 - 2050) spatial distribution of seasonal temperature and precipitation extremes in the Ganges river basin based on the SRES A1B emissions scenario.

Trevor's work has focused on climate scenarios and online mapping tools, downscaling to high resolution, indices of extremes, analysis of historical climate data and the improvement of seasonal climate predictions.

Michael # 29, the classical economists of the 18th and 19th centuries (Adam Smith, David Ricardo, Thomas Malthus, John Stuart Mill) all wrestled with the problem of limits to growth and came up with scenarios for the human future ranging from extreme pessimism (Malthus) to optimism (John Stuart Mill's expectation that at a certain stage of economic development human society would cease to grow in material scale and reach a «stationary state» where the emphasis would be on qualitative human, social and cultural development.

This study demonstrates that the land - use scenario has a considerable influence on the projections of temperature extremes for low - emission scenarios.

The failure to imagine future extreme events and climate scenarios, other than those that are driven by CO2 emissions and simulated by deficient climate models, has the potential to increase our vulnerability to future climate surprises (see my recent presentation on this Generating possibility distributions of scenarios for regional climate change).

Media sensationalism requires emphasis on the most extreme scenario, so they focus on the most extreme potential temperature increase.

Most land - use scenario assessments are based on gradual changes in socio - economic and climatic conditions, although responses to extreme weather events such as Hurricane Mitch in Central America have also been assessed (Kok and Winograd, 2002).

In order to see the effects of extreme heat events on the United States, the researchers developed models to simulate scenarios analogous to that of Europe's for heat - sensitive urban areas.

For the most extreme scenarios and for the time scales of several hundred years or longer much uncertainty remains, but much uncertainty remains also on the significance of the development after we have reached the maximum and the concentration has turned back on the lessening trend.

The main outcomes of the ACCLIM project included; (i) return periods of extreme weather events based on observations at twelve weather stations, (ii) climate scenarios and probabilistic estimates of changes in climate over Finland based on an analysis of global and regional climate model simulations, (iii) guidance in the use of climate information in climate change impacts and adaptation research.

The social cost of carbon is the discounted monetary value of future climate change damages due to additional CO2 emissions (for example, the costs of adverse agricultural effects, protecting against rising sea levels, health impacts, species loss, risks of extreme warming scenarios, and so on).

The impact of these fluxes on the AMOC was generally small compared to the effect of enhanced poleward atmospheric moisture transport and ocean surface warming; or it was only noticeable in the most extreme scenarios.

On decadal timescales, the scenarios of greatest interest involve extreme weather events.

On decadal time scales, the greatest vulnerability is to extreme weather events: scenarios of frequency (clustering), worst case

Further development of the research program (2013 - 2016) will extend the updated scenarios to the analysis of indices of extremes and will allow the analysis of climate change impacts on the physical environment of the PCIC study region.

The blanket - exemption treatment is based on increasingly questionable assertions that wind turbines reduce atmospheric carbon dioxide levels that supposedly cause global warming, climate change, extreme weather events and an amazing number of dog, people, Italian pasta, prostitution and other exaggerated or imaginary problems, plus others that exist only in computer models whose forecasts and scenarios bear no resemblance to Real World conditions or events.

9.3.1 Global Mean Response 9.3.1.1 1 % / yr CO2 increase (CMIP2) experiments 9.3.1.2 Projections of future climate from forcing scenario experiments (IS92a) 9.3.1.3 Marker scenario experiments (SRES) 9.3.2 Patterns of Future Climate Change 9.3.2.1 Summary 9.3.3 Range of Temperature Response to SRES Emission Scenarios 9.3.3.1 Implications for temperature of stabilisation of greenhouse gases 9.3.4 Factors that Contribute to the Response 9.3.4.1 Climate sensitivity 9.3.4.2 The role of climate sensitivity and ocean heat uptake 9.3.4.3 Thermohaline circulation changes 9.3.4.4 Time - scales of response 9.3.5 Changes in Variability 9.3.5.1 Intra-seasonal variability 9.3.5.2 Interannual variability 9.3.5.3 Decadal and longer time - scale variability 9.3.5.4 Summary 9.3.6 Changes of Extreme Events 9.3.6.1 Temperature 9.3.6.2 Precipitation and convection 9.3.6.3 Extra-tropical storms 9.3.6.4 Tropical cyclones 9.3.6.5 Commentary on changes in extremes of weather and climate 9.3.6.6 Conclusions

Finally, I hope that we may agree that this «bottom - up quantifiable hazard» approach offers a far more cogent case for advancing the proper governance of Geo - E research than Shakhova's extreme worst case scenario could ever achieve, as it relies on promoting prudence rather than alarmism.

Do you really want to side with the coal industry on this subject, or can you let nuclear power win or lose on its own merits, without silly arguments about extreme scenarios or tail - chasing arguments about economics?

IPCC should spend all their time on a realistic ensemble forecast, this prevents the alarmism connected to absurd extreme scenarios.

«To state that solar radiation management won't work based on one extreme scenario smacks of hype rather than a serious discussion.»

Dr Lewis went on to say that in the most extreme die - back scenarios massive tree mortality could occur, with remaining forest changing from absorbing some two billion tonnes of CO2 annually, to emitting over three billion tonnes.

Such projects have a broad range, and may include things such as: the construction and interpretation of climate change scenarios on local to national scales, the study of changes in extremes, the evaluation of impacts on infrastructure, forests, agriculture, and energy production and distribution.

Last month, Bolton argued the legal case for a pre-emptive strike on North Korea — an extreme position in which even the best case scenario could result in broad carnage for the U.S. and its allies.

Ignoring these questions can create conflict later on, and in the most extreme scenario could lead couples to question whether the relationship is right for them.