To a surprising degree, many complex decisions are based
on gut feelings — intuition.
There have been times in my career that I've said recruiting is based
on gut feelings and intuition.
If you are looking to make a big win by betting your money
on your gut feelings, try the casino.
The purchase of stocks and bonds should be made based on fundamentals not
on gut feelings or general observations.
Running tests based
on gut feelings or «just to see what will happen», however, will not serve the client's long - term goals.
Ji - A Min, chief data scientist at Ideal, an AI recruiting company in Toronto, Canada, encourages hiring managers who rely
on gut feelings to rethink their priorities.
This is where data is important, because just going
on gut feeling to demonstrate your market share — «If I just capture one percent of the U.S. population, that makes our market share 31 million people!»
While I won't be confused with an introvert any time soon, I'm a big believer in relying
on that gut feeling.
They all had some interesting ideas and opportunities, but they all made financial choices or acquisition choices based more
on gut feeling than really taking the time to analyze whether this actually was a good market opportunity.
This willingness is largely based
on gut feeling, combined with an unwillingness to get inside of the numbers or exhaust equally plausible alternatives.
Even if you are already an index tracking investor, for some of you getting an internationally diversified portfolio may have involved combining multiple products in a bit of an ad hoc way to gain international exposure (perhaps based
on gut feel of which markets will outperform).
Rather than relying
on our gut feeling about how «good» a company feels to us.
If I only bought shares based
on my gut feeling, I would probably have gotten weak and left the market at a significant markdown.
After that it feels like a toss up, but I'm going with the Giants just
on gut feel.
«I came here
on a gut feeling,» he said after the game.
Regardless of what side you elect to back with your wagering dollars or if you approached the series handicap with aplomb of a seasoned veteran or bet purely
on gut feel, the star studded finals sets up to be the perfect way to wrap a NBA playoffs that has largely lacked drama this entire spring.
Sometimes I use a timer or watch for her mood to change, or go
on gut feeling.
Fifteen point three percent of respondents to Anderson's survey admitted to «dropping observations or data points from analyses based
on a gut feeling that they were inaccurate.»
As I said, all this is
on a gut feeling level at the moment, a nagging in the back of my mind.
And then I feel sad, and stupid, and I tell myself that next time I should trust
on my gut feeling, and just GO for it, immediately.
Alec Baldwin gives a great performance as a halfcocked psychopath whose love of life is so strong, mixed up and unscrupulous, he can't help but enjoy breaking fingers, busting jaws, playing cops - and - robbers, shooting people
on a gut feeling and answering questions about his preferred vegetables with a pause to think out the words «I don't want to talk about that at this time.»
Don't just rely
on the gut feeling to make the right estimates.
Don't invest
on gut feel alone.
If I only bought shares based
on my gut feeling, I would probably have gotten weak and left the market at a significant markdown.
I guess I was going
on a gut feeling that this seems like a lot to have in cash, which is unlikely to earn much and could lose considerably to inflation — vs. stocks or bonds that have more potential for growth.
In a data - deprived world, the manager wanders around the dugout gathering opinions — mostly conflicting — and then just makes a decision based
on a gut feeling.
They are based
on gut feeling that may be totally inappropriate when the issue is the well - being of humans in near and distant future and our responsibilities related to that.
I note that any reasonable climate change class should highlight appropriate sources of uncertainties (e.g., in future projections of hurricane changes, cloud feedbacks, etc) and I prefer when they open up discussing to students, but I find that Judith carries this further into making up uncertainties based
on her gut feeling, interpreting them in ways that make little sense, and most importantly, failing to recognize the errors in flawed sets of reasoning on fundamental topics.
Perhaps you should hire yourself out to solve scientific problems based
on your gut feel
(Based
on my gut feel of papers read without calculation.)
Our estimate is based on the same improvement from 2008 to 2009 as occurred going from 2007 to 2008 plus 200,000 square kilometers based
on gut feeling.
What this generally means, of course, is that we rely a lot
on our gut feeling and our informal discussions when making a decision about hiring someone or partnering with them.
A similar notion is at play when law firms fixate on hiring a lateral or a group of laterals based
on a gut feeling.
Don't make the mistake that many job seekers commit, where they set their price based
on a gut feeling or financial obligations that need to be fulfilled.
The interviewer asks a few questions about you and you ask a few about the company and you are hired based
on a gut feeling.
But hiring manager and 4th audience (peers, boss, team) decision processes are almost wholly subjective, based mainly
on gut feel.
When you start to think about how your reader perceives your resume, remember that the first decision is based entirely
on gut feel (do you expect a detailed analysis in 15 seconds?)
It's not wise to simply take an applicant at their word or to rely
on a gut feeling, because they may fail to disclose a relevant criminal conviction.
On a gut feeling, I jumped on it, as I had this vision of myself designing furniture.
Not exact matches
Meanwhile, many decisions regarding recruitment are often taken
on a «
gut feeling».
In most cases, your first
gut feeling is probably the right choice, so make a decision and move
on.
«What's interesting about LeadCrunch is that it's based
on what already works, not assumptions or
gut feelings about the future, yet it still has the power to open the door for unexpected wins in totally new markets,» says Kelly Kuhn - Wallace, a Minneapolis - based marketing consultant focused
on seed - stage startups.
It's more alchemy than science, based
on a combination of skill - matching, research and
gut feel.
Then, when the coin lands
on either side, listen to the immediate
gut reaction you
feel to the results of the coin toss.
Eventually the six will narrow to one or two relationships where the timing, the style and strategy and the
gut feeling seems right
on both sides.
If you're still basing business decisions
on gut instincts and personal
feelings, you're setting yourself up to fail.
«That
gut - wrenching, heartbreaking statement is a reminder of how we
felt in the wake of Sandy Hook
on December 14 a year and a half ago when it seemed like we were
on the verge of potentially legislation that would stop the madness and end the insanity that has killed too many young people, thousands, tens of thousands since Sandy Hook,» Blumenthal said.
So, there's a lot of
gut feel on what we're seeing and what we're hearing anecdotally in the restaurants.
[Steve Eisman] A write - up
on the impending Hilton (HLT) spinoff [Clark Street Value] CBRE (CBG): industry deep dive to detect an emerging moat [Punch Card] A look at Discovery Communications (DISCA / K)[Contrarian Edge] Sustainable sources of competitive advantage [Collaborative Fund] Why deep learning matters and what's next for AI [Algorithmia] The unexpected genius of Facebook's Mark Zuckerberg [Fortune] Google's online travel adventure upsets its biggest advertisers [Bloomberg] A billionaire's dreams of creating a guns empire [NYMag] If oil refiners crash, so will the economy [WSJ] Mastercard, Visa set to reap spoils of India's war
on cash [Bloomberg] How Best Buy (BBY) fought Amazon [WSJ] The evolution of media & entertainment: conversation with CEOs [YouTube] How to get comfortable with being umcomfortable [Inc] Why
gut feelings may really help you make risky decisions [Washington Post] Why stoicism is one of the best mind - hacks ever devised [Aeon]
Still, the biggest issue for part - time investors is that they often trade
on emotions and
gut feelings.