While the assumptions about the future unemployment rate may be affected by policy, the fact is that slower U.S. population growth, coupled with an aging population, place substantial limits
on labor force growth, which will leave U.S. GDP growth almost entirely dependent on changes in productivity.
Not exact matches
On Wednesday, the OECD said immigration had accounted for one - half of U.K. GDP
growth since 2005, resulting in a stronger
labor force growth and helping ameliorate the challenge of an ageing population.
We do know that reduced
labor force participation will be a drag
on growth.
Based
on estimates of
labor force and productivity
growth at the time, if you asked a standard - issue macroeconomist back then where real GDP would be today, this is the line she would have showed you.
By 2015, analysts had significantly marked down GDP
growth, based
on the fact that the
labor force had contracted more than they thought back in 2007 and productivity
growth was slower.
Improved management and automation enables production with fewer people Falling need for
labor inputs means that
labor force and
labor productivity
growth are not the constraints
on production
growth they once were.
Of the other MINTs: Indonesia is in a stable recovery, but the importance of commodities like coal and palm oil means it will not return to previous
growth levels soon; Nigeria's economy remains overdependent
on oil, though Phylaktis sees its «fast - growing population and
labor force feeding faster economic
growth over the medium term»; and while «Turkey has a lot of potential,» Lau says, «its political and economic management is questionable and casts a shadow over the economy.»
Depending
on whom you ask, this number is either right around what is needed to keep up with the
growth of the
labor force or a touch above it.
«The only way to get to 3 percent
growth on a sustained basis is faster
growth of the
labor force or faster
growth of productivity.
Economic
growth depends largely
on the size of the population in the
labor force, making the steady wave of baby boomer retirees cause for concern.
Recent work in which Dennis Kimko and I have been engaged has looked closely at the size of the impact of
labor force quality, as measured by tests of cognitive ability,
on the economic
growth of countries.
On work, Murray notes the great increase in the percentage of the population on disability payments, from under 1 to more than 5 percent of the labor force, and the growth in the number of prime - age males who are not in the labor force, contrasted with almost all in the labor force in 196
On work, Murray notes the great increase in the percentage of the population
on disability payments, from under 1 to more than 5 percent of the labor force, and the growth in the number of prime - age males who are not in the labor force, contrasted with almost all in the labor force in 196
on disability payments, from under 1 to more than 5 percent of the
labor force, and the
growth in the number of prime - age males who are not in the
labor force, contrasted with almost all in the
labor force in 1960.
Additional downward pressure
on the unemployment rate is likely to occur in the coming months as job
growth continues to exceed
labor force growth.