Sentences with phrase «on modeled scenarios»

Like pretty much every paper ever published by the climate alarmism industry, all the scary predictions are merely projections based on modeled scenarios dependent on so many dubious assumptions that their conclusions are objectively worthless.

That was the message of a report released Monday on model scenarios about Michigan's energy future.

Not exact matches

Though it's anyone's guess how the data might influence the Fed's thinking about the pace of rate hikes, the contrasting views of policymakers suggest that now may be time for investors to model the impact of the three scenarios on their portfolios.

The scenario model is pre-populated with data based on a large sample of U.S. public companies (more than 2,500 companies) over a seven - year period (2004 - 2011), as compiled by BoardEx.1 To access the pre-populated model calculations, click the Calculations / Historical data and Attrition data tabs in the Excel spreadsheet that you can download from this page.

It modeled the implications for the company of a requirement for emissions to decline to levels consistent with a so - called «2 °C world» after 2030 and also looked at a number of alternative scenarios based on divergent ranges in global growth and trade, geopolitics, technological innovation and responses to climate change.

However, in order to both keep the model as simple as possible and give predictions that are in reality a best - case scenario, our model simply assumes that each household's income grows at a steady, fixed rate each year, that retirement savings grow and accumulate returns at a steady pace, etc. (For more detail on the values used in the model for growth in home values, retirement assets, etc., see the Methodology Appendix below).

Comparing different policy scenarios to reduce the consumption of ultra-processed foods in UK: impact on cardiovascular disease mortality using a modelling approach

The range of modelled taxation scenarios were selected on the basis that they are under consideration by the Australian Government, or being proposed by parts of the alcohol beverage industry or public health groups in Australia.

A modelling exercise for the Resolution Foundation by the Institute for Employment Research and the Institute for Fiscal Studies finds that on the basis of annual average UK growth of 2.5 per cent from 2015 - 2020 — an optimistic scenario — and no further cuts in public spending, living standards will fall for low and middle income households by between 3 and 15 per cent (Brewer et al., 2012).

«Our analysis — modelled on the default scenario that the UK withdraws completely from the EU and fails to reach trade and customs agreements with remaining EU member states — opens the door to the possibility that Scottish businesses and taxpayers will face a range of additional financial burdens in the form of increased trading and labour costs.

They used this data compilation to evaluate the quality of their regional atmospheric climate model, based on global climate projections that included several scenarios of anticipated climate change.

The study was based on scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and on the «Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect» (IMAGE).

This weather - based model was then used to predict the impact on severity of the disease of future weather scenarios for the period from 2020 to 2050.

They enlisted Hyodo, who had previously published earthquake scenarios based on models of the Nankai Trough's physical characteristics.

Now in his third year, Chowell - Puente has been listed as first author on four technical reports, two peer - reviewed publications, and the book chapter «Worst Case Scenarios and Epidemics,» released last month in Bioterrorism: Mathematical and Modeling Approaches in Homeland Security.

This enabled the team to estimate how temperature - related mortality rates will change under alternative scenarios of climate change, defined by the four Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) established by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for climate modelling and research in 2014.

The model produces different jobs and growth projections for a business - as - usual scenario with no technology breakthroughs or major new policies, and then generates different outcomes by factoring in new policies such as a national clean energy standards such as proposed by President Obama; increases in corporate average fuel economy standards; tougher environmental controls on coal - fired power generators; extended investment and production tax credits for clean energy sources and an expanded federal energy loan guarantee program.

However, Stephen Kelly, the University of Southampton PhD student who ran the model simulations, said «There was a high level of variation between different scenarios, depending on a number of factors.

«Regional changes are mostly due to natural variability but on top of that we see this pronounced overall weakening in summer storm activity,» says co-author Dim Coumou, «This is also something projected by climate models under future emission scenarios.

The international team of co-authors, led by Peter Clark of Oregon State University, generated new scenarios for temperature rise, glacial melting, sea - level rise and coastal flooding based on state - of - the - art climate and ice sheet models.

Then they plugged that into simulations that took into account climate models and two different carbon emissions scenarios identified by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

The tool itself, which projects a worse - case scenario of 14,176 Ebola cases in Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone by October 26, is currently built on a model developed by a Toronto - based team of medical and public health researchers, although HealthMap may try other methods down the road, says John Brownstein, HealthMap co-founder and an associate professor of pediatrics at Harvard Medical School.

For her study on geologic storage, Lord and her colleagues analyzed and reworked the geologic storage module of Argonne National Laboratory's Hydrogen Delivery Scenario Analysis Model.

In using the model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.

Also, the new mortality estimates, while dramatically higher than the approximately 150,000 annual deaths attributed to climate change stress in WHO's last assessment in 2004, are not directly comparable to earlier studies, which relied on different models and different underlying scenarios.

The new model developed at Princeton has the power to examine a number of climate - related scenarios, and their impacts on varying populations, on a finer - tuned scale.

Goodfellow has been working on machine - learning models to let computers invent more dynamic narratives, which could go beyond limited scenarios such as planning out a series of chess moves — something computers have done extremely well for decades.

«The burned simulations are based on three different climate and wildfire scenarios, and we also used three different erosion models,» said Sankey.

The new study relies on the IIASA energy system model MESSAGE in order to explore a variety of long - term scenarios for the development of oil prices up to 2050.

With TeraGrid, the Cornell lab plans to marry such models to scenarios for climate change from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, in hopes of predicting migratory changes — and perhaps extinctions — for hundreds of species.

They applied this data in models as a baseline to estimate future climate and vegetation scenarios based on different temperature increases.

The model enables to explore the effects of climate change on forestry ecosystems under changed environmental conditions and to simulate different management scenarios and compare them.

The researchers» forecasts are based on the AWI's BRIOS (Bremerhaven Regional Ice - Ocean Simulations) model, a coupled ice - ocean model that the team forced with atmospheric data from the SRES - A1B climate scenario, created at Britain's Met Office Hadley Centre in Exeter.

Greenblatt and co-author Samveg Saxena at the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory developed a model that is essentially a «best - case scenario,» where the cars are not just driverless but also run on electricity.

They interviewed growers and modeled 240 different production scenarios based on the variations.

With four colleagues, Dobson co-authored a new paper, published last week in the journal PLoS One, based on a detailed computer model examining how a worst - case road - development scenario might affect the Serengeti's most iconic migratory grazer, the wildebeest (also known as the gnu).

The scientists also modeled two other scenarios for the Iberian lynx, both based on a future prospect for releasing individuals from breeding programs into wild areas.

They do repeated runs of the Sea, Lake and Overland Surges from Hurricanes (SLOSH) program, the center's storm surge model, on each of those scenarios.

Although the effect of the spatial distribution of SLR in each CMIP5 model on beach loss rate in Japan is insignificant, the effects of differences in the SLR values among the RCP scenarios and CMIP5 models are significant.

They also used data on precipitation in Colombia from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to model changes under different temperature and precipitation scenarios.

«There are many scenarios in which heavy elements from the first supernovae were taken up into second - generation stars, but cosmological simulations model them on the largest scales.

The team analysed evidence such as land use, land suitability and agricultural biomass data to create a robust model that compares different scenarios for 2050, including scenarios based on maintaining current trends.

(Because weather depends on so many factors, the group had to model an extreme scenario to confirm the changes they observed were actually due to solar panels.)

Based on the data from both observations and modeling, it seems that an immigrant coming from the north is the more likely scenario, which is good, because that is what we want.

Lloyd, S. J., R. S. Kovats, and Z. Chalabi, 2011: Climate change, crop yields, and undernutrition: Development of a model to quantify the impact of climate scenarios on child undernutrition.

Based on a model that excludes ice sheet flow due to a lack of basis in published literature, it is estimated that sea level rise will be, in a low scenario, 18 to 38 cm (7 to 15 inches) and in a high scenario, 26 to 59 cm (10 to 23 inches).

«For preparing climate change scenarios for Argentina, the Global Model HadCM3 (UK) on IPCC scenarios has been utilized.

What i am interested to know is if the models have been run with this scenario and what affect this has has on Northern Hemisphere climate, since in mid-summer the artcic can receive nearly as much insolation as the tropics.

On the limited information available to me, they seem quite promising — but it certainly would have been helpful in making judgments on this point if the IPCC had modelled a low - medium population projection (as in the A1 and B1 scenarios) which made more moderate assumptions about growth in output and energy usOn the limited information available to me, they seem quite promising — but it certainly would have been helpful in making judgments on this point if the IPCC had modelled a low - medium population projection (as in the A1 and B1 scenarios) which made more moderate assumptions about growth in output and energy uson this point if the IPCC had modelled a low - medium population projection (as in the A1 and B1 scenarios) which made more moderate assumptions about growth in output and energy use.

Although the nature of the electromagnetic engine powering brown - dwarf aurorae is still to be determined, the scenario of the subcorotation of magnetospheric plasma on closed field lines, powering in turn magnetosphere - ionosphere coupling currents, has been suggested as a plausible model for this case (Schrijver 2009; Nichols et al. 2012).