Dr. Nehrkorn's 30 year research tenure at AER has included work
on numerical weather prediction models, data assimilation systems, humidity to cloud relationships, three dimensional analysis of atmospheric quantities and studies of the angular momentum budget of the atmosphere.
Not exact matches
Armed with their model, the researchers want to identify and understand deficiencies in state - of - the - art
numerical weather models that prevent them from predicting
weather on these subseasonal time scales.
Although meteorologists now rely heavily
on computer models (
numerical weather prediction), it is still relatively common to use techniques and conceptual models that were developed before computers were powerful enough to make predictions accurately or efficiently.
Apart from ground stations,
weather forecasts are heavily dependent
on weather satellites for information to start or «initialize» the
numerical weather prediction models that are the foundation of modern
weather prediction.
On the basis of magnetic data collected in real time and a chain of suitable numerical models it will eventually prove possible, rather as in conventional meteorology, to forecast space weather and prevent the impact of solar storms on Eart
On the basis of magnetic data collected in real time and a chain of suitable
numerical models it will eventually prove possible, rather as in conventional meteorology, to forecast space
weather and prevent the impact of solar storms
on Eart
on Earth.
Previously, Kelly was a Postdoctoral Fellow and Research Associate at the University of Washington and the University of Victoria in British Columbia, Canada where she studied the role of the changing Arctic sea ice cover
on global circulation,
weather, and climate using a hierarchy of
numerical global climate models.
Many
numerical weather prediction centers now use coupled ocean - atmosphere models to produce ensemble forecasts
on the subseasonal time scale.
It began with a discussion
on a topic
on which they agreed — how the U.S. had fallen behind Europe in
numerical weather prediction.
Type 2 dynamic downscaling refers to regional
weather (or climate) simulations in which the regional model's initial atmospheric conditions are forgotten (i.e., the predictions do not depend
on the specific initial conditions), but results still depend
on the lateral boundary conditions from a global
numerical weather prediction where initial observed atmospheric conditions are not yet forgotten, or are from a global reanalysis.
Recent
numerical simulations suggest the coupling between the stratospheric and tropospheric circulations has practical applications for
weather forecasting and also implications for tropospheric climate change (see text
on Climate Change, below).
Pelletier, J. D., and V. R. Baker (2011), The role of
weathering in the formation of bedrock valleys
on Earth and Mars: A
numerical modeling investigation, J. Geophys.
Their prediction is based
on the quantity of incoming solar radiation and uses 16 - day forecasts from a
numerical weather prediction model (WRF).
When we talk about regional modeling or regional
numerical weather prediction we are really doing the same thing except that we are focusing
on more and more detail for the region where you are located.
Previously, Kelly was a Postdoctoral Fellow and Research Associate at the University of Washington and the University of Victoria in British Columbia, Canada where she studied the role of the changing Arctic sea ice cover
on global circulation,
weather, and climate using a hierarchy of
numerical global climate models.
Thus, in
numerical weather prediction out to a mere few days, one tends to neglect the intrinsic variability of the oceans and concentrates
on the atmosphere, with sea surface temperatures prescribed as a boundary condition; the sea surface temperature field can either be kept constant in time or allowed to vary in some prescribed manner, e.g., according to a diurnal cycle.
An assessment of the SST influence
on surface wind stress in
numerical weather prediction and climate models
ESMs have long been based
on integrating their dynamical equations numerically (e.g.,
numerical weather prediction models used by
Weather Services).
The success of
numerical weather prediction at predicting say the 500 hpa height field
on the time scale of the lifetime of a baroclinic wave (nominally 4 - 7 days) is a testimony to the credibility of these solutions
This issue has arisen
on past threads and Jerry has been asked by me, and others, to quantify the «false» (or possibly parameterized) viscosity used in these
weather models, so those familiar with
numerical modeling can form an impression of whether or not the magnitude used is actually unphysical or just represents an approximation abhorrent to Jerry.