It was mainly because guys like this — ok, shall be nameless, you read it yourself [points to slide with images of David Halpern, NASA and Mark Eakin NOAA]-- Who at that time was actually working for NOAA and NASA and was funding some of those guys like Michael Mann and all
that on paleoclimate study was saying, look man, we need some kind of cogent reply, some kind of serious critical discussion so they could pass on to somebody in OSTP.
Not exact matches
To conduct landmark
paleoclimate studies from Lake El «gygytgyn in eastern Siberia, geologist Julie Brigham - Grette of the University of Massachusetts, Amherst, relied heavily
on Russian collaborators she has partnered with for years.
«Our
study has found evidence to the contrary, suggesting that in fact, the future long - term trend based
on paleoclimate reconstructions is likely towards diminishing precipitation, with no relief in the form of increased Mediterranean storms, the primary source of annual precipitation to the region, in the foreseeable future.»
However,
studies evaluating model performance
on key observed processes and
paleoclimate evidence suggest that the higher end of sensitivity is more likely, partially conflicting with the
studies based
on the recent transient observed warming.
- I don't
study tree rings at all, so this will be quite naive, but I took a class
on paleoclimate (actually with one of your old office - mates, Mathias Vuille) discussing the standarization procedure and why this tends to remove some of the low - frequency variation, though we never got into quantitative detail.
As we have discussed several times elsewhere
on this site,
studies employing model simulations of the past millennium have been extremely successful in reproducing many of the details evident in
paleoclimate reconstructions of this interval as a forced response of the climate to natural (primarly volcanic and solar) and in more recent centuries, anthropogenic, radiative changes.
The occurence of El Niño itself is — as far as science understands the phenomenon, based largely
on Pliocene
paleoclimate comparisons, even Eocene «clam
studies «-- probably not strongly influenced by the trend of global climate warming.
But the most critical point to remember, if you are concerned about this for its impact
on the validity of AGW theory, is that the fight is over a single
study, published eight years ago, focused
on paleoclimate.
Now there is a new Geophysical Research Letters
study on a
paleoclimate analog that may be relevant to humanity today, «Methane and environmental change during the Paleocene» Eocene thermal maximum (PETM): Modeling the PETM onset as a two» stage event.»
The Summary for Policymakers also incorporates, for the first time, information
on, inter alia,
paleoclimate reconstruction
studies, geoengineering, and an emissions - based perspective
on drivers of climate change.
On the first sentence stating that the WGI report considers evidence of past and future climate change based on many independent scientific analyses from observations of the climate system, paleoclimate archives, theoretical studies of climate processes, and simulations using climate models, Saudi Arabia proposed clarifying that evidence of future climate change is based on models and simulations onl
On the first sentence stating that the WGI report considers evidence of past and future climate change based
on many independent scientific analyses from observations of the climate system, paleoclimate archives, theoretical studies of climate processes, and simulations using climate models, Saudi Arabia proposed clarifying that evidence of future climate change is based on models and simulations onl
on many independent scientific analyses from observations of the climate system,
paleoclimate archives, theoretical
studies of climate processes, and simulations using climate models, Saudi Arabia proposed clarifying that evidence of future climate change is based
on models and simulations onl
on models and simulations only.
The paleoclimatology community seems to be tightly coupled as indicated by our social network analysis, has rallied around the [Mann] position, and has issued an extensive series of alternative assessments most of which appear to support the conclusions of MBH98 / 99... Our findings from this analysis suggest that authors in the area of
paleoclimate studies are closely connected and thus «independent
studies» may not be as independent as they might appear
on the surface.
Our analysis is based
on about equal parts of information gleaned from
paleoclimate studies, climate modeling, and modern observations of ongoing climate changes.
We had no «globally and annually averaged land and sea surface temperature» indicator back in medieval times, so we have to rely
on the information we can get from historical records and
paleoclimate studies.
We surmise, based
on our implementation of the methodology, that the R - squared and Coefficient of Efficiency (as this is defined in
paleoclimate studies) statistics fail to reach statistical significance for the AD1400 step.
Perhaps, having
studied paleoclimate proxies their entire life, they understand that «Antarctic ice cores» isn't a specific enough criterion to ensure that temperature is the main control
on a proxy at the timescale of interest.
However, the full
study does indicate that multi-meter sea level rise before 2100 is likely, based
on ice loss doubling times,
paleoclimate records and observed ocean current changes, among other factors.
Finally, we comment
on several policy issues arising from this controversy: the lack of consistent requirements for disclosure of data and methods in
paleoclimate journals, and the need to recognize the limitations of journal peer review as a quality control standard when scientific
studies are used for public policy.
Reliance can not be placed
on paleoclimate proxy - based estimates of ECS — the AR4 WG1 report concluded (Box 10.2) that uncertainties in Last Glacial Maximum
studies are just too great, and the only probability density function (PDF) for ECS it gave from a last millennium proxy - based
study contained little information.
Though not to be trusted in the matter of
paleoclimate «hockey sticks,» he was apparently an indispensible (though unacknowledged) source
on the basics of dendrochronology (tree ring
studies.)