By going contrarian, we are able to capitalize
on public bias and take advantage of artificially inflated numbers.
By fading the average Joe, we can capitalize
on public bias, get inflated numbers, and place ourselves on the side of the books.
Not exact matches
On the other hand,
bias is a particular problem at many free
public seminars.
In our divorce courts, all now conducted in secrecy so that neither the media nor the general
public are aware of what goes
on, the Feminist
bias is virtually complete.
In fact, we detail this
bias in our 2011 - 12 Betting Against the
Public article which shows that betting
on teams who receive fewer than 30 % of spread wagers have won at 50.9 % over the past eight seasons — and that number jumps to 54.4 % when focusing solely at visitors.
Here, we highlight a
bias of value
on Visiting teams that the
Public hates, something we have seen in the NHL as well.
Betting against the
public continues to show an impressive
bias and edge — based
on its contrarian approach — helping Sports Insights and its members in their sports handicapping.
The article highlights a
bias of using SportsInsights» betting percentages to fade the
public on large underdogs (16 points or more).
Below, we «carve» up the data further and see a potentially useful
bias on «betting against the
public»
on «out - of - favor visiting teams.»
By combining these
biases (home underdog and «betting against the
public»), you can increase your winning percentage and «return
on investment.»
As a result, fading the
public is a sound strategy because you are taking advantage of
public bias and putting yourself
on the side of the books and casinos.
The sports betting research that SportsInsights.com performs for major US sports has uncovered
biases that relate to betting against the
public — and generally finds value
on underdogs.
It is this «
public bias» (betting
on favorites) that we look to measure.
By understanding what drives
public perception, we have been able to capitalize
on the market inefficiencies created by recency
bias and an overly reactionary betting
public.
http://sportsinsights.com/sports-betting-articles/ncaa-football/bet-against-
public/2010-11-season-review.aspx Betting against the
public continues to show an impressive
bias and edge — based
on...
However, these academic sources lead to the same conclusions as SportsInsights.com's independent research: that there is a
bias towards betting
on underdogs and unders; and that «Betting Against the
Public» can lead to value.
Again, it is based
on the
public's
bias towards betting
on the favorites.
In other words, the sportsbooks played
on the
public's general psychological
bias towards betting
on the «favorites» to bet even more money
on supposed lopsided games.
This one made me laugh (and I'm not
biased in any way of course) and it will definitely offend some people... but honestly we are both so sick of the breastfeeding in
public «HOOHA» that is going
on, -LSB-...]
Views are particularly polarised in the United States, with interventions and costs of hospital births escalating and midwives involved with home births being denied the ability to be lead professionals in hospital, with admitting and discharge privileges.5 Although several Canadian medical societies6 7 and the American
Public Health Association8 have adopted policies promoting or acknowledging the viability of home births, the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists continues to oppose it.9 Studies
on home birth have been criticised if they have been too small to accurately assess perinatal mortality, unable to distinguish planned from unplanned home births accurately, or retrospective with the potential of
bias from selective reporting.
Unfortunately, because of the deep
biases of the people who TALK about politics in
public, the nuts and bolts of winning an election or advocating for legislation are always going to be slighted in favor of the words we use to describe ourselves and our positions: the messaging dominates the discussion, at least
on blogs and cable news.
The Employment Non-Discrimination Act, pending in committee in both the House and Senate, would bar job
bias based
on sexual orientation and gender identity in most
public and private workforce situations.
Open Democracy article
on the politics of advertising Open Democracy article — pre the phone - hacking scandal - addressing why we should be concerned about Sky Open Democracy article
on securing a more plural, diverse media Guardian article
on public opinion and the war in Iraq Guardian article
on media
bias and the war in Iraq
John W. Bailey, Abelove's attorney, said their case focused
on the fact that Cuomo, when he signed the executive order two years ago, stated that while he believed district attorneys would appropriately handle fatal police incidents, he wanted to alleviate «
public concerns... that such incidents can not be prosecuted at the local level without conflict or
bias, or the
public perception of conflict or
bias.»
David Cameron «lectured a business audience in India»
on the need to have 50 % of company directors as women while «just four of Cameron's 22 - strong Cabinet are women» while «as for the educational background of Cabinet ministers, God help any university which showed such a
bias towards
public school types.»
«Inference via virus sequences is less subject to
biases than inference based
on reported incidence data, particularly when
public health systems collecting those data are overwhelmed,» Alizon said.
The goal of the organization is to educate the
public about hidden
biases and to provide a «virtual laboratory» for collecting data
on the Internet.
If you are like me and prefer your interfacing
on the
public side of the yoke, you need to either turn under the hem edge of the waistband facing, or you can bind the raw edge with narrow
bias binding.
That the most
biased of these scores have unwittingly been urged
on the media as good - faith evidence of American
public opinion?
But both of these also accurately reflect the way in which bodies of work and successful books can have a disproportionate impact
on public discussion — so I'm disinclined to see any problems in such a «
bias.»
Respect for All Bingo: Each year, New York City
public schools participate in «Respect For All» Week to promote respect for diversity and engage students in meaningful lessons and / or other activities that focus
on preventing
bias - based harassment, intimidation and / or bullying.
Leaders Igniting Transformation (LIT), along with the Center for Popular Democracy released From Failure to Freedom, a report that reveals that Milwaukee
Public Schools» (MPS) reliance
on punitive approaches to school discipline is ineffective, costly, and most troublingly, racially
biased.
This result confirms my hypothesis and corroborates other literature indicating that after accounting for selection
bias,
on the whole choice schools do not outperform traditional
public schools.
My hypotheses going in to this study is that when first looking at choice schools
on student achievement I would see a positive effect because of selection
bias; I expected that the students in choice schools would be systematically different from those in traditional
public school due to parental factors that affected their selection of a choice program.
The true challenge, should Chetty take it
on, would be to put his model up against the other VAMs mentioned above, using the same NYC school - level dataset, and prove to the
public that his model is so «cutting - edge» that it does not suffer from the serious issues with reliability, validity,
bias, etc. with which all other modelers are contending.
«We believe that corporate school reformers are once again turning to Hollywood to sell a version of school reform that many parents reject, as they did with «Waiting for Superman» and its
biased attack
on public school teachers and idealization of charter schools,» said Julie Woestehoff, PAA co-founder and executive director of Chicago's Parents United for Responsible Education.
Not trying to pick
on US investors, but the average US Joe
Public investor usually suffers from a pretty bad case of home
bias.
Sound
public policy that benefits all members of the community — people and animals alike — is not based
on scare tactics and
biased claims.
This severe
bias has a devastating effect
on public perception and takes a toll
on public safety.
Based
on a Columbia University conference organized by the National Arts Journalism Program, The New Gatekeepers explores the reconfigured ranks of those who decide what the
public gets to see, hear and read, from struggles over intellectual property and copyright, to continuing debates about acceptable and offensive content in the cultural marketplace, to the less visible
biases of the arts funding system.
CPV (Comment 16) expresses the concern that once a scientist takes a
public stand
on an issue, he or she is likely to succumb to various pressures that can undermine scientific objectivity, encourage confirmation
bias, etc..
This goes to what I describe in Chapter 4 as the policy - dependent nature of wider
public perceptions as well as our own ideological
biases as a community of people actively working to create social change
on the issue.
These other factors include the economy, confusion over colder weather and other perceptual
biases, general distrust of government, climate policies such as cap and trade that are not easily sold as effective or in line with
public values, the absence of White House leadership
on the issue, institutional barriers in Congress and at the international level, and the continued communication and policy missteps of some scientists and environmental advocates.
When scientists and advocates, motivated by these
biased perceptions, take action by responding with tit - for - tat attacks
on climate skeptics, it takes energy and effort away from offering a positive message and engagement campaign that builds
public support for climate action and instead feeds a downward spiral of «war» and conflict rhetoric that appears as just more ideological rancor to the wider
public.
Written accounts may be more, or less reliable depending
on the likely
bias of the writer, cui bono, eg the
public statements of political leaders as players are more suspect than their private correspondence to a trusted associate.
Tell me, too, how someone who sees things as you do — all built into Bayesianism; no need to address whether the problem is different priors or different sources of information relevant to truth - seeking likelihood ratios vs. a form of
biased perception that opportunisitcally bends whatever evidence is presented to fit a preconception; no need apparently either for empirical study
on any of this — can straighten out someone who says the key to dispelling
public conflict over climate change is just to disseminate study findings
on scientific consensus.
The counterbalance to the subjective declarations about whose scientific «expertise» is sufficient to make
public statements
on issues with large societal implications lies, IMO, in bringing in the scientific method to clarify and make explicit the working criteria for evaluating expertise, and to control for
biasing influences.
My study
on CAGW initially focused
on a very specific aspect — data presentation
bias / fraud in the climate data as presented by climate scientists to the
public, the media and the policy makers.
Now contrast that with George Mason University, which has yet to announce a
public inquiry into the Wegman scandal despite clear prima facie evidence of misconduct and co-operation with a
biased partisan attack
on other colleagues.
However, the Committee believes that the nature of the IPCC's task (i.e., in presenting a series of expert judgments
on issues of great societal relevance) demands that the IPCC pay special attention to issues of independence and
bias to maintain the integrity of, and
public confidence in, its results.