Murry Slaby presents a compelling argument based
on real world observations to support this alternative hypothesis.
I like to keep things simple and to rely
on real world observations.
Science (which the models are part of) is evolving based
on real world observations.
Not exact matches
Atheism is based
on clear minded objective
observation of the
real world.
They grow up believing in an Eternal Hell of fire and brimstone, talking snakes, the Doctrine of Original Sin, animals in an ark, a Young Earth paradigm, the notion that people lived to be hundreds of years old a few thousand years ago, patriarchs that practiced child sacrifice and committed genocides, books that are supposed words of gawd that contradict
real world observations, deities that kill their own children (human manifestations of their own selves) for the sake of sins that they never committed, the symbolic cannibalism and vampirism of a deity... I could go
on for days.
Francis, a leading proponent of the theory that the Arctic can wreak havoc
on weather elsewhere in the Northern Hemisphere, adds that the proposed mechanism fits «
observations of the
real world in recent years.»
We have already been able to make some interesting
observations on real world chloride concentration changes over just 24 hour periods, illustrating the dangers of relying
on single point, single time measurements.»
In theory, such epidemiological studies are inferior to clinical studies because they rely
on observations out in the
real world, where it is impossible to control for the variables scientists seek to understand.
Though working
on a diminutive scale as compared to Rosenquist's monumental compositions, Steele draws
on rigorous
observations of the
real world to create fragmented images that waver between recognizable form and nonobjective abstraction.
Nick's work seeks to explore the interaction and relation between man and nature through multi-dimensional abstract pieces based
on observations from the
real world.
«In his work Kelly abstracts the forms in his paintings from
observations of the
real world, such as shadows cast by trees or the spaces between architectural elements,» according to his biography
on the Guggenheim's website.
I don't intend to hang my hat
on the results exclusively, but to also be mindful that other
real -
world observations may either support the conclusions or provide additional information that forces the theories and hypotheses to evolve in a different direction.
It's something of an abstract concept, but with
real world implications, and the universality of such physical models, based
on things like radiative balance, atmospheric composition and density, distance from the local Sun, etc., is a very strong argument in favor of general acceptance of the results of climate models and
observations on Earth.
A simple comparison of
observations with projections based
on real world climate forcings shows a very close match, especially if we take natural unforced variability into account as well (mainly ENSO).
I have been raising this issue for some time especially in my various articles for ClimateRealists.com in which I have been persistently proposing that
on the basis of
real world climate
observations the effect of solar variability
on climate must be the opposite of conventional climatology.
Since science is based
on observations and measurements of the
real world, it follows that a denier of science (rather than a denier of propaganda) must be denying
real world data.
They can thus merely disregard contrary climate
observations in the skeptic's lower «shadowy» Earthly
world and skeptic's criticism based
on lower «shadowy» Earthly logic; they can be discount across the board as less
real and less logical than in their higher level «a priori» «ideal» reality and «a priori» «ideal» logic.
Because of the invidious domination by the politically - driven, I suspect climate science would have been better off without such models, allowing the participants to concentrate
on observation, theorising, and testing in the
real world.
Firstly,
on a factual matter, the OHC comparison which I published above...... was not intended to be a comparison with
real -
world observations, only a comparison with the GISS E ensemble mean result, which should correspond to the reported GISS E temperature profile which was simultaneously matched.
This inconsistency between model results and
observations could arise either becaise «
real world» amplification effects
on short and long term time scales are controlled by different physical mechanisms, and models fail to capture such behavior, or because non-climatic influences remaining in some or all of the observed tropospheric datasets lead to biased long - term trends, or a combination of these factors.
For example, when I pointed out the evolutionary theory and AGW are fundamentally different because AGW is a postulate that has yet to be observed in the
real world but evolutionary theory is based
on — and supported by empirical
observation — you respond by saying to me «Basically, your argument boils down to saying...».
My comments can be assessed by reference to the actual
observations of the
real world since 1961 (mentioned above) which is when the Earth embarked
on one of the highest periods of solar activity in the 400 year historical record.
As I have stated publicly
on many occasions, there is no definitive scientific proof, through
real -
world observation, that carbon dioxide is responsible for any of the slight warming of the global climate that has occurred during the past 300 years, since the peak of the Little Ice Age.
Planet climate model,
on the other hand, looks deceivingly
real (honestly: model results most of the time look sooooo good compared to
real world observations), always smooth, always there for you, no queues, no delays, lacking the difficulties, ugliness, incompleteness and noisiness of planet Earth
observations.
Real -
world observations indicate that elevated CO2 and elevated temperatures are having a positive effect
on most corals.
3) However, even if the actual variance in TSI during that period was less than 4 Watts per square metre the fact is that various changes in temperature trend did occur and the shape of the chart would remain so
on the basis of
real world observations we must accept that the lower the range of TSI involved then the more sensitive the Earth is as a water based thermometer.
Since ocean temperature anomalies in the canonical Niño 3.4 region are now above 2 C — which are record values for the calendar month and not too far from their highest values ever observed at any time of year — current
observations in the
real world suggests that the models are very much
on track.
Don't shoot the messenger but that is how the
real world seems to work
on the basis of
observations.
My continuing disagreement with Leif here is becoming centred
on one such
real world observation which, if substantiated, is contrary to his view but accommodated by mine.
There is a deep literature
on the basic theory developed from first principles, models, experiments and
observations (in many areas of physics, chemistry, geology, biology), and a large published body of empirical geophysical and biological evidence from
real world systems, the majority of which is consistent with this underpinning science.
Climate modeler Dr. Gavin Schmidt of NASA GISS comments
on the failure of models to match
real world observations.