Michael Buchanan should have been betting
on regression to the mean; instead, he bet against it.
Not exact matches
Jung has seen that psychologically this
means that an overemphasis
on either side of a polarity such as conscious - unconscious, or sacred - profane, will lead not
to a dialectical coincidentia oppositorum but
to a reinforcement or enantiodromia of the (untransfigured) other pole, that is,
to an inundation or
regression.17 It will be helpful
to keep these Jungian motifs in mind as we explore the somewhat surprising parallels between Jung's notion of «individuation» and Altizer's idea of an ongoing kenotic incarnation.
You can say it's just
regression to the
mean, but, even that, Sixers need
to do better
on defense.
Following a meeting
on Tuesday, Rummenigge said that «stagnation
means regression» but promised
to «find a good and balanced solution».
This
means that you will be less likely
to see the sleep
regression, and in case you have experienced this, you could settle your infant
to sleep with hands -
on suitable techniques if still swaddled.
Meta -
regression was also used
to establish whether
mean concentrations of total cholesterol in each study had any effect
on mean differences between feeding groups.
If a process is
meant to improve the integrity of the electoral process, judgments that shoot it down can not advance the cause of our development; it
means we have chosen a path of
regression to the era where elections are decided by unsavory self - help in bloating the voter register with strange names
on the part of politicians.
This tendency toward mediocrity — sometimes called the Sports Illustrated jinx because an athlete is likely
to enter a career lull after appearing
on the cover — is a variation
on a mathematical principle known as
regression to the
mean.
I
meant to post this outfit
on the blog yesterday but we're going through a sleep
regression over here that's been taking its toll.
It may be harder
to code and analyze essays about paintings than
to run another value - added
regression on the math and reading scores that the centralized authorities have collected for us, but that doesn't
mean it's any less important.
If we used «vehicles»
to move gravel from point A
to point B... and we calculated an effect size
on vehicles... we suffer from «
regression towards the
mean»; the child's wagon will look more powerful than it is (a higher effect size) and the 5 ton truck will look worse (a lower effect size).
Based
on recent information provided by the Accountability Technical Advisory Committee's (TAC) recommendations
to ISBE, it is likely that ISBE will move away from linear
regression toward Student Growth Percentiles (SGPs) as a
means to measure student growth under the new school improvement and accountability system.
Gummy's (Peter Ponzo's) web site Gummy's Tutorial
on Mean Regression Reversion
to the
mean DOES exist.
Then there might be some protection
on the downside with some undetermined probability, however slight, of
regression to the
mean in terms of earnings.
For instance, a reasonable expectation based
on forward price -
to - earnings data might be a 25 % bearish downturn whenever
regression to the
mean comes
to pass.
The law of averages and
regression to the
mean, sort of dictate that
on a long time line your Big Bad Active Fund will do about as well as the market did.
A linear
regression says «let's allow our
mean Y
to depend
on X in a linear fashion», instead of using a single
mean Y
to represent the data (independent of X).
As it is, a forcast for 2005 based
on OLS
regression for 1988
to 2006 has a
mean of 0.61 C with a 95 % CI from 0.37 C
to 0.84 C.
They draw a line
on a graph showing the rate of warming from that unnatural peak in 1998
to now, and make it look like warming has continued at a steady pace, and not accelerated as expected (an argument that would fail any Statistics 101 class, as it ignores «
regression to the
mean»).
This range is constructed by computing the standard deviation (σ) of the 40
regression values at each grid box for each variable (SLP, SAT and P) based
on detrended data during 1920 — 2012, and subtracting / adding these values (multiplied by two) from /
to the ensemble
mean regression value.
If we have, indeed, only had polar ice for 20 % of the last 6 - million years (from Ian Plimer), then
regression -
to - the -
mean dictates betting
on «up» would likely yield better odds at times when we have ice caps
to ponder.
«A strong warming and severe drought predicted
on the basis of the ensemble
mean of the CMIP climate models simulations is supported by our
regression analysis only in a very unlikely case of the continually increasing AMO at a rate similar
to its 1970 — 2010 increase» 7
The least - squares linear -
regression trend
on their
mean was determined and found equivalent
to 0.47 C ° / century.
Either it works or it doesn't but there isn't the tiniest shred of reason
to think that it will
on the basis of statistics and
regression to mean behavior and so
on.
The least - squares linear -
regression trend
on the RSS satellite monthly global
mean surface temperature anomaly dataset continues
to show no global warming for 18 years 9 months since February 1997, though one - third of all anthropogenic forcings have occurred during the period of the Pause.
An exploratory analysis was
to be performed by
means of multiple
regression with the dependent variable as the sum
on the new scale and the independent variables as 14 personality disorder scales defined in DSM - 5, DSM - IV - TR, and DSM - III - R.
A decomposition methodology examined the contribution from different sources in explaining the SES gradient in early cognitive outcomes.34 Similar
to the methodology used in the UK Millennium Cohort Study, we focus
on the quintile 1 — quintile 5 (Q1 — Q5) and quintile 1 — quintile 3 (Q1 — Q3) gaps and calculate the percentile points and the percentage of the raw gaps explained by each candidate explanatory factor and each domain of factors.2 This was done by taking the product of the
mean gap in each explanatory factor (
mean difference between Q1 — Q5 and Q1 — Q3) by the β coefficients from linear
regression models that predict reading and math ability from SES and all candidate explanatory factors.
According
to the procedures posed by Aiken and West (1991), we used the simple slope for the
regression of self - esteem
on general family function by using the high (one standard deviation above the
mean) and low (one standard deviation below the
mean) values for social support.