Details can be found in the article An International Perspective
on Safe Withdrawal Rates from Retirement Savings: The Demise of the 4 Percent Rule?
We also discuss the value of an income annuity, and highlight a study by Morningstar on the impact of guaranteed income
on safe withdrawal rates from portfolios.
David Blanchett, the Head of Retirement Research at Morningstar, recently published this study on the impact of guaranteed income
on safe withdrawal rates from portfolios.
, Andrew Clare, James Seaton, Peter Smith and Steve Thomas compare effects of asset class diversification and trend following
on safe withdrawal rates from UK retirement portfolios.
Not exact matches
The 4 %
safe withdrawal rate (based
on the so - called Trinity University study
from 1998), is only one of several rough guidelines and has been widely criticized by other academics, as well as revisited by its original authors.
This calculation comes
from the thorough Trinity Study, which defines the
safe withdrawal rate based
on historical returns, that will allow your portfolio to never dry out.
One of the most important lessons I learned
from my
Safe Withdrawal Rate research (jump to Part 1 of the series here) is that the safe withdrawal calculations are best performed on a one - by - one ba
Safe Withdrawal Rate research (jump to Part 1 of the series here) is that the safe withdrawal calculations are best performed on a one - by -
Withdrawal Rate research (jump to Part 1 of the series here) is that the
safe withdrawal calculations are best performed on a one - by - one ba
safe withdrawal calculations are best performed on a one - by -
withdrawal calculations are best performed
on a one - by - one basis.
This post has been
on my mind
from day one and it's also been a topic that was requested by readers in response to previous installments in the
Safe Withdrawal Rate Series (click here for Part 1):
Safe Withdrawal Rates with Switching Since You Can't Count
on 7 % If it were a decade
from now and you had $ 572K, you would have it made.
We look at
safe withdrawal rates from many perspectives, each based
on historical data, but each with its own emphasis.
Training
on the Scenario Surfer adds about 1 % to your
Safe Withdrawal Rate (e.g.,
from 4 % to 5 %).
Keep in mind that the savings
rate calculations so far have been based
on certain assumptions about Social Security retirement benefits, the real
rate of return you can expect
on your investments, and a
safe withdrawal rate from your retirement savings.
On the retirement side, research is mostly about finding a «
safe withdrawal rate,» which is then used to compute a «wealth accumulation target» so that desired retirement spending can be funded
from this wealth at the desired
withdrawal rate.
I was banned
from [FWF] because I posted honestly
on safe withdrawal rates and other important investing topics.
The sentence reads: «Given that
safe withdrawal rates are based
on historical worst - case scenarios, and given the information we have about how bad those historical scenarios have been, we can begin to understand how bad returns would really have to be,
from here, to lead to a
safe withdrawal rate that is worse than anything seen in history.»
Our old friend Ed Easterling has published a new book that takes
on «the mostly silly [Old School] research
on safe withdrawal rates,» according to John Mauldin, who posted an excerpt
from the book at his site.
After all, as the chart below indicates (
from Spending Flexibility and
Safe Withdrawal Rates by Michael Finke, Wade Pfau, and Duncan Williams
from the March 2012 issue of the Journal of Financial Planning, and based
on the Social Security Administration period life table for 2007), the probability of a joint life expectancy of 30 years for a 65 - year - old couple (to age 95) is already as low as 18 %.