Sentences with phrase «on seasonal forecasting»

(Renwick also serves on the World Meteorological Organization Commission for Climatology Expert Team on Seasonal Forecasting.)

I have tried to stay focused on seasonal forecasting and not get distracted by global warming.

QUALIFICATIONS • Proficient in liaising with buyers, analysts and suppliers to ensure smooth merchandising flow • Adept at producing layout plans for stores and controlling stock levels based on seasonal forecasts • Demonstrated ability to forecast profits, optimize sales volumes and plan merchandising budgets • Focused on analyzing sales information by constantly by monitoring stock movement and actual sales

• Working knowledge of preparing sales and stock plans and planning product ranges • Proficient in controlling stock levels based on seasonal forecasts of sales • Competent at maintaining awareness of competitors» performance and producing workable layout plans for stores • Proven ability to execute special promotional campaigns with a view to boost sales

Not exact matches

He based his forecast on seasonal changes in buying and selling patterns and the fact that large speculators» net long position is now at 445,000 futures contracts, which suggests there is not much space for more buying before the seasonal selling starts.

However, these forecasts are based on average seasonal conditions.

It includes forecasts of area, yield and production and a summary of seasonal conditions on a state by state basis.

In the new set - up, a real - world seasonal forecast driven by data on current sea - surface temperatures will be run alongside a simulated «no global warming» seasonal forecast, in which greenhouse gas emissions have been stripped out.

El Niño is a key factor in making hurricane seasonal forecasts because the changes in atmospheric patterns over the tropical Pacific that it ushers in have a domino effect on patterns over the Atlantic, tending to suppress hurricane formation.

That wreaked havoc with most leading seasonal forecasts like the one issued by Colorado State University on August 2.

The forecast scheme for the September sea ice extent is based on a methodology similar to one used for the seasonal prediction of river streamflow.

Judah Cohen, a climate forecaster at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Massachusetts, who issues seasonal snowfall forecasts several months in advance for his company's clients, said the relationship between sea ice loss and the Arctic Oscillation is a key area for future research to focus on.

A few climate models have been tested for (and shown) capability in initial value predictions, on time scales from weather forecasting (a few days) to seasonal forecasting (annual).

On Thursday, the Climate Prediction Center (CPC) released its latest seasonal drought forecast for the U.S..

It is the top priority of my research group to try to solve this problem to improve our climate predictions and, depending on the answer, it could affect predictions on all timescales from medium range forecasts, through monthly, seasonal, decadal and even climate change projections.

[Response: Short term seasonal forecasting is very much an experimental endeavour and relies not on the predictability due to changes in forcings, but the persistence of ocean temperature anomalies.

# 378 Jared... I got some of the numbers for the projections from press releases on the met office site but after a bit of digging all the numbers (and science behind them) can be found via a link at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/creating/monthsahead/seasonal/index.html registration is needed to get the seasonal forecast and the global annual forecasts.

ICECAP mentions that D'Aleo has written a number of papers as well as published a book on «advanced applications enabled by new technologies and how research into ENSO and other atmospheric and oceanic phenomena has made skillful seasonal forecasts possible.»

Keen et al., 4.4 + / -0.9, Modeling This projection is based on results from the UK Met Office seasonal forecasting system GloSea4.

Cullather et al. (NASA GMAO), 4.4 ± 0.4, Modeling Seasonal coupled forecasts are conducted by the Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (NASA GMAO) on an experimental basis in near real time with the GEOS - 5 AOGCM.

So at best this is useful for seasonal forecasts, unless someone is forecasting sea ice extent on longer time scales.

From the perspective of business, weather forecasts on the sub-seasonal time scale provides an opportunity because it lies between the well - established application of daily weather forecasts and the increasing use of seasonal forecasts.

Unlike the ENSO and IOD SST forecasts, the seasonal outlooks are based on the last three weeks of forecasts, i.e. five separate model runs combining to make a 165 - member ensemble, as this was shown to give higher skill.

It seems unlikely to me that the reliability of sub seasonal forecasts would ever improve to the point where a manager would be willing to make $ 10 - 100 million decisions based on them.

Substantial progress has been made in recent years on the development and applications of medium - range weather forecasts and seasonal climate predictions.

CCSP, 2008: Decision - Support Experiments and Evaluations using Seasonal - to - Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data: A Focus on Water Resources.

The Bureau's seasonal outlook system for Australia is based on rainfall and temperature forecasts from the POAMA model.

Proceedings of the RA VI Task Team on the Provision of Seasonal to Inter-annual Forecasts and Regional Climate Centre Services (RA VI - TT / SIRCC): Reading, United Kingdom, 14 - 16 April 2003.

«The IRI and other centers have been issuing seasonal climate predictions routinely since the late 1990s, but prediction on the subseasonal range — which fills the gap between weather forecasts and seasonal forecasts — is an emerging area of research,» Robertson told the IRI.

James Spann says seasonal temperatures, rain return to the forecast from Alabama NewsCenter on Vimeo.

Attribution depends on simulation models, whose reliability can be tested and if necessary recalibrated using well - established procedures developed for seasonal forecasting.

They have a better record of accuracy than official long term forecasts, Consider the UKMO seasonal inaccuracies over the last many years, most recently the prediction of a dry winter in 2013 in one of the wettest on record.

Other seasonal forecasts neglect the snow - polar vortex relationship and tend to focus solely on ENSO to predict large scale temperature patterns.

With regards to seasonal sea ice forecasting, it is too far away from my current research topics, for now I will just comment, but it is something I might take on in the next year or two.

McLaren et al. (Met Office Hadley Centre); 5.5 Million Square Kilometers; Modeling Prediction is based on an experimental model prediction from the Met Office Hadley Centre seasonal forecasting system (GloSea4) that became operational in September 2009.

• Seasonal forecasting for water allocation and irrigated agriculture (IMPREX project) Johannes Hunink, Futurewater — presentation pdf • PEARL Project — preparing for extremes and rare event in coastal regions — Uwe Mikolajewicz, MPI - MET — presentation pdf • Commercial climate services — lessons learned from the Klimaspring campaign — Mikkel A. Thomassen, Smith Innovation — presentation pdf • Climate change impact on water resources — Experiences with different climates / scales / tools — Philipp Stanzel, Poyry Energy — presentation pdf • Climate change effect study for the Frisian Belt canal water system - Peter Schaper, Wetterskipfryslan — presentation pdf

Evaluation is also carried out for the monthly and seasonal forecasts and results are available on the web.

However, once the forecast models begin to predict the occurrence of a sudden stratospheric warming with confidence, the effects of the event on monthly and seasonal forecasts can be striking.

Hi Danny, take a look at my recent post on sub seasonal forecasts, describes reforcasts https://judithcurry.com/2015/01/05/applications-of-subseasonal-weather-forecasts/

There are a number of partners involved in this project including the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), IGAD (Intergovernmental Authority on Development) Climate Prediction Applications Centre (ICPAC), the meteorological services of Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda, educational institutions and end users of seasonal forecasting information in the region and from the four countries.

Fully coupled global climate model experiments are performed using the Community Climate System Model version 4.0 (CCSM4) for preindustrial, present, and future climate to study the effects of realistic land surface initializations on subseasonal to seasonal climate forecasts.

CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction

CNRM (Chevallier et al.), 4.39 (3.45 - 5.03), Modeling (fully - coupled) CNRM outlook is based on the operational seasonal forecast issued by Météo France in early July 2016 with the System 5 (component of the European multi-model EUROSIP).

Ionita and Grosfeld (IUP Bremen Data), 4.25 (3.53 - 4.97), Statistical The forecast scheme for the September sea ice extent is based on a methodology similar to one used for the seasonal prediction of river streamflow (Ionita et al., 2008, 2014).

Judah Cohen, a climate forecaster at Atmospheric and Environmental Research in Massachusetts, who issues seasonal snowfall forecasts several months in advance for his company's clients, said the relationship between sea ice loss and the Arctic Oscillation is a key area for future research to focus on.

Jacox M. G., M. A. Alexander, C. A. Stock and G. Hervieux (March 2017): On the skill of seasonal sea surface temperature forecasts in the California Current System and its connection to ENSO variability.

A seasonal forecast would require the sort of resources that bloke had who was making all the bets based on what he knew about the sun and the data he was getting.

Keen et al. (UK Met Office - Hadley Centre), 4.4, + / -0.9, Model This projection is based on results from the UK Met Office seasonal forecasting system GloSea4.

The composites are based on historic events and should not be construed to represent a seasonal mean forecast.

Seasonal forecasting of East Asian summer monsoon based on oceanic heat sources.