«The authors write that «the Mediterranean region is one of the world's most vulnerable areas with respect to global warming,»... they thus consider it to be extremely important to determine what impact further temperature increases might have
on the storminess of the region... produced a high - resolution record of paleostorm events along the French Mediterranean coast over the past 7000 years... from the sediment bed of Pierre Blanche Lagoon [near Montpellier, France]... nine French scientists, as they describe it, «recorded seven periods of increased storm activity at 6300 - 6100, 5650 - 5400, 4400 - 4050, 3650 - 3200, 2800 - 2600, 1950 - 1400, and 400 - 50 cal yr BP,» the latter of which intervals they associate with the Little Ice Age.
Hansen et al. recently explored the effect of stratification of meltwater water
on storminess, sea surface temperature and sea level rise and found that, among other things, their model predicted strong feedbacks in ice sheet exposure to destabilizing influences.
Not exact matches
Alarmists have drawn some support for increased claims of tropical
storminess from a casual claim by Sir John Houghton of the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) that a warmer world would have more evaporation, with latent heat providing more energy for disturbances.
There also seemed to be some El Niño effect
on sea levels off the Southeast coast, which Hamlington said could be due to increased
storminess and related storm surge.
The works are not sad, though, and Rachelle feels «people will relate to the
storminess —
on a personal level — and also respond to the expansiveness.»»
Although Holocene climate events are relatively minor
on a glacial / interglacial perspective, the small Holocene changes in the polar vortex and atmospheric
storminess documented by O'Brien et al. (1995) would probably cause widespread disruption to human society if they were to occur in the future (Keigwin and Boyle 2000:1343).»
I wouldn't bet
on a surge of late - season tropical
storminess arriving to wake folks up.
iv) An AGW proponent might ignore the lack of any net surface temperature rise and instead seize
on the idea that CO2 might make a large enough difference to increase
storminess at the surface.
Here we present a decadal - resolution record of
storminess covering the Late Holocene, based
on a 4 - m - long core taken from the peat bog of Cors Fochno in mid-Wales, UK.
According to any textbook
on dynamic meteorology, one may reasonably conclude that in a warmer world, extratropical
storminess and weather variability will actually decrease.
The original claims of increased
storminess and severe weather made by the Intergovernmental Panel
on Climate Change (IPCC) are scientifically incorrect.
The NAO's prominent upward trend from the 1950s to the 1990s caused large regional changes in air temperature, precipitation, wind and
storminess, with accompanying impacts
on marine and terrestrial ecosystems, and contributed to the accelerated rise in global mean surface temperature (e.g., Hurrell 1996; Ottersen et al. 2001; Thompson et al. 2000; Visbeck et al. 2003; Stenseth et al. 2003).
It's not really obvious how all of this relates to the «variability» issue, but right now I don't think we have a satisfactory handle
on how mid-latitude
storminess might change in a new climate, in terms of frequency or intensity.