If we were to focus only
on the chart patterns of the major averages when analyzing the market, we would be missing a big piece of the puzzle, which is market leadership.
Not exact matches
After the years
of consolidation, Worth noted that a wedge
pattern has formed
on the
chart.
The combination
of breakout and rebound features
on the Nikkei
chart are bullish and suggest a steady upwards move towards the long term
pattern target near 20,347.
On a
chart of the U.S. 10 - year futures, Ciana sees a «double breakout»
pattern that has recently occurred.
Similarities in the
patterns on the gold and silver
charts mean the silver price follows the behavior
of the gold price, says Daryl Guppy.
The similarity in the
patterns on the gold and silver
charts means the silver price follows the behavior
of the gold price.
On the annotated weekly
chart of $ GLD below, notice the descending triangle
pattern that preceded last Friday's breakdown below key horizontal price support:
The Buying Opportunity For years we have kept «watch lists»
of both listed and unlisted securities based
on chart patterns.
In addition to this $ VXZ trade setup, note that we still have $ QQQ
on our watchlist as a potential short entry (or inverse ETF entry), due to the head and shoulders
pattern on its weekly
chart (review our recent analysis
of this setup
on this blog post).
However, the price has since settled into a consolidation
pattern, with four consecutive weeks
of tight closing prices
on the weekly
chart.
A base
on base
chart pattern occurs when the price action
of a recent breakout is unable to extend much beyond the highs
of the prior base (former resistance), but also doesn't give up much ground.
The rest
of the major indices closed with the same topping
pattern on their weekly
charts.
Putting it all together, this
chart of LinkedIn ($ LNKD) shows a valid cup and handle
chart pattern, based
on the technical criteria above:
But even
on the short side
of the market, we also seek
chart patterns that exhibit tight periods
of consolidation, albeit only those that form near the lows
of a recent decline.
As for the weekly
chart pattern, QQQ is now trading just below its one - year uptrend line (similar to the one shown
on the weekly
chart of SPY).
One
of those five reasons was the formation
of a bearish «head and shoulders»
pattern that was forming
on the
chart of QQQ key to at the time.
Read
on to learn how to consistently choose only stocks with ample volatility, liquidity, and reliable
chart patterns (the «triad
of trading profits»), which directly impacts your long - term trading gains.
On January 24, 2013, we hosted a Live Online Trading Webinar in which we conducted simple and objective technical analysis
of various stock
chart patterns that attendees requested us to review.
The «cup» was formed after the low
of the pullback that tested the downtrend line
on the weekly
chart above, and the «handle» has been forming the right side
of the
chart pattern just below the prior highs from September
of 2012:
As discussed in the video, many traders fail to successfully trade
on both sides
of the market because, even if they have the right technical
chart patterns, they simply buy or sell at the wrong time.
The first winning trade
of this month period was an interesting fakey
pattern that formed
on the daily
chart of the S&P 500 within the recent runaway trend this market was in just before all the recent volatility set in.
The relative strength
of KRE vs. XLF is shown
on the long - term monthly
chart patterns of XLF and KRE below:
This is necessary because the daily and weekly
chart patterns of various ETF families can vary greatly, depending
on the underlying stock portfolio that comprises each ETF.
We try to base our decisions
on technical analysis because most
of the time in the news you need to know is already priced into the
chart pattern anyway.
Specifically, we have been monitoring a bearish head and shoulders
pattern that has been developing
on the weekly
chart interval
of $ QQQ.
Blame it in no small part
on the persistent bearishness and downright ugly
chart pattern of Apple ($ AAPL), a former market leader and heavily - weighted stock within the Nasdaq 100 Index.
This bearish
pattern can be clearly seen
on the daily
chart of PowerShares QQQ Trust ($ QQQ), a popular ETF proxy for trading the Nasdaq 100 Index:
These
patterns can be discerned at a glance
on a seasonal
chart, which is calculated by averaging the performance
of the stock over the past 20 years.
Recommended Trade (based
on the
charts) Buy Price: If you want to get in
on this trade, you can purchase shares
of HAL when the stock pulls back to the neckline
of the
pattern breakout.
This is shown
on the weekly
chart pattern of $ USO below:
The correction this week served as a bearish engulfing
pattern on the weekly
chart, a reversal
pattern of some renown.
There is a descending channel
pattern with current resistance at $ 580 forming
on the hourly
chart of BCH / USD (data feed from Kraken).
This is healthy price action and has led to the formation
of a «bull flag» type
pattern on its daily
chart.
In this year's letter to shareholders, Buffett writes that, «Charlie [Munger] and I view the marketable common stocks that Berkshire owns as interests in businesses, not as ticker symbols to be bought or sold based
on their «
chart»
patterns, the «target» prices
of analysts or the opinions
of media pundits.
Since my trading strategy requires the presence
of price confirmation before acting
on any
chart patterns (bearish OR bullish), I have not yet shifted into a bearish short selling mode because prices have yet to confirm my bearish analysis.
On May 27, the NASDAQ Composite jumped 1.2 %, but that rally put the index right at key resistance of the top of the «left shoulder» shown on the topping pattern that is in play on the chart abov
On May 27, the NASDAQ Composite jumped 1.2 %, but that rally put the index right at key resistance
of the top
of the «left shoulder» shown
on the topping pattern that is in play on the chart abov
on the topping
pattern that is in play
on the chart abov
on the
chart above.
Ripple is still trading in its prior ranges in both the USD and the Bitcoin pair, as the long - term consolidation
patterns still dominate trading in the coin.The declining short - term trend is intact, just as in the case
of ETH and BTC, and the MACD indicator is neutral
on both
charts, without XRP showing nor relative weakness or strength here, leaving the technical setup unchanged.
It provides features found
on sophisticated financial software for your phone or tablet, including
charts with 50 + indicators, stock screening, industry group and sector analysis, and audio expert technical analysis
of chart patterns for easy listening, or text if you prefer to read.
Since a weekly
chart is a longer - term interval than a daily
chart, the formation
of this shooting star
pattern on the weekly
chart is more important than if the the same
pattern occurred
on a daily
chart:
- Copper is putting in a meaningfully large triangle
pattern on the weekly
chart that comes at what looks like may be the end
of a major downtrend.
But rather than seek the elusive holy grail
of trading, we simply focus
on mastering the nuances
of the most basic, yet highly reliable and profitable
chart patterns.
The lack
of substantial bullish follow - through in leading individual stocks in recent weeks, the absence
of leadership in most ETFs (other than international ETFs), and the bearish
pattern on the weekly
chart of the S&P 500 Index (below) are all valid reasons to avoid the long side
of the market now.
The current base building action is shown
on the weekly
chart pattern of GXG below:
Technical analysis is the practice
of analyzing historical price
patterns on a
chart and expecting these
patterns to continue into the future.
This is why, in strongly uptrending markets, we find it much easier and more profitable to focus
on the price action and technical
patterns of individual leadership stocks and ETFs, rather than paying much attention to whether or not the
charts of the S&P, Nasdaq, and Dow are «overbought» (we hate that useless term).
As such, much
of the knowledge we share
on this blog focuses
on recapping technical
chart patterns of past stock and ETF trades that led to successful, profitable -LSB-...]
The recent basing at the lows is shown
on the weekly
chart pattern of $ KOL below:
With the exception
of more shockingly bad news
on the European debt front, the
chart pattern in setting up perfectly for an end
of the year Christmas rally.
As swing traders, we base most
of our detailed entry and exit points
on the daily
chart patterns, but we always assess the longer - term weekly
chart patterns to look for confirmation
of trend.
For gentler weather, afloat or ashore, Joe Harris has a charming short - sleeved shirt,
patterned with
charts of the Grenadine Islands, blue
on pale blue or blue
on white ($ 4.50,
patterned for men and women).