He has been working
on the predictability studies using radiosonde observations and data assimilation technique.
Not exact matches
The
study appears in the current issue of the journal Nature, and provides important information
on the
predictability of long - term climate fluctuations.
Bringing together observed and simulated measurements
on ocean temperatures, atmospheric pressure, water soil and wildfire occurrences, the researchers have a powerful tool in their hands, which they are willing to test in other regions of the world: «Using the same climate model configuration, we will also
study the soil water and fire risk
predictability in other parts of our world, such as the Mediterranean, Australia or parts of Asia,» concludes Timmermann.
Seismological Society of America > News > Journals > Call for Papers: SRL Focus Section
on the Collaboratory for the
Study of Earthquake
Predictability: New Results and Future Directions
When it was a standing committee (until December 2010), the CRC convened a number of forums focused
on emerging issues of interest to the climate science and policy communities and was instrumental in developing several important NRC activities, including the America's Climate Choices suite of activities, the
study on Stabilization Targets for Greenhouse Gas Concentrations, and a
study on short - term (intraseasonal to interannual) climate
predictability.
Regionally focussed
on the North Atlantic and Arctic, his expertise includes modelling of thermohaline processes and climate
predictability studies.
They can either ignore the failings of their downscaling approach when applied to multi-decadal regional climate change impact
studies and continue to mislead those communities, or they can reassess and focus
on the quantification of the
predictability of regional climate statistics and their changes
on different time and space scales.
Numerous
studies have examined the
predictability of the annular modes, and most of these
studies focus
on the impact of a relative slowly evolving boundary condition
on the amplitude of the NAM or the SAM.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key component in
predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of
predictability of these two modes in coupled climate models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications
on future climate change, the coupled climate models show no consensus
on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
Latif, M., M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, and N. Keenlyside, 2006: A review of
predictability studies of Atlantic sector climate
on decadal time scales.
CAS = Commission for Atmospheric Sciences CMDP = Climate Metrics and Diagnostic Panel CMIP = Coupled Model Intercomparison Project DAOS = Working Group
on Data Assimilation and Observing Systems GASS = Global Atmospheric System
Studies panel GEWEX = Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment GLASS = Global Land - Atmosphere System
Studies panel GOV = Global Ocean Data Assimilation Experiment (GODAE) Ocean View JWGFVR = Joint Working Group
on Forecast Verification Research MJO - TF = Madden - Julian Oscillation Task Force PDEF = Working Group
on Predictability, Dynamics and Ensemble Forecasting PPP = Polar Prediction Project QPF = Quantitative precipitation forecast S2S = Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project SPARC = Stratospheric Processes and their Role in Climate TC = Tropical cyclone WCRP = World Climate Research Programme WCRP Grand Science Challenges • Climate Extremes • Clouds, Circulation and Climate Sensitivity • Melting Ice and Global Consequences • Regional Sea - Ice Change and Coastal Impacts • Water Availability WCRP JSC = Joint Scientific Committee WGCM = Working Group
on Coupled Modelling WGSIP = Working Group
on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction WWRP = World Weather Research Programme YOPP = Year of Polar Prediction
Unresolved issues that will be addressed in a series of forthcoming
studies include the effects of ocean dynamics
on the
predictability of low - frequency atmosphere and land variability and the feedback of soil moisture variations
on atmospheric temperatures and circulation (e.g., Rowntree and Bolton 1983; Atlas et al. 1993; Koster et al. 2000).
Predictability and prediction
studies have focused largely
on temperature, and there is evidence of skill in the prediction of variations in annual means of temperature over much of the globe for several years, conditional
on the initialization of the forecasts.
The potential to make skillful forecasts
on these timescales, and the ability to do so, is investigated by means of
predictability studies and retrospective forecasts (termed hindcasts) using climate models and statistical approaches.
Most
studies on ice
predictability have used a perfect - model approach, in which a climate model is used to predict conditions simulated by that model, and have focused
on seasonal to interannual
predictability (e.g., Holland et al., 2011; Blanchard - Wrigglesworth et al., 2011; Chevallier and Salas - Melia, 2012).
In this
study, the potential
predictability of seasonal variations in extratropical storm activity is investigated using analysis of variance to provide quantitative and geographical observational evidence indicative of whether it may be possible to predict storm activity
on the seasonal timescale.
Photo captions: Ornate Box Turtle and Massasauga are among the species in a
study that focused
on the
predictability of species extinction risks due to climate change.