Mi Cro August 30, 2014 at 2:53 pm Clive, that's all fine and dandy, except those warming trends did not take place globally, they were regional trends.............................. We are finalising an analysis for Australia that shows of the claimed 1 deg C or so of warming since 1900, the maximum temperature change based
on unadjusted data is half that or less, so 0.45 degrees for the century in the USA would fall neatly in the range we estimate for Australia.
In most cases the charting system is basing moving averages
on unadjusted data.
Not exact matches
I have also decided to add additional price signals based
on unadjusted dividend / split
data from Yahoo.
A column of
data in the Resources: Adequacy table [print edition]
on Page 87 of Quality Counts 2002 provided information about state
unadjusted spending for 1999 rather than...
In the end, while the authors of this chapter do not disclose the actual correlations between their two measures and value - added, specifically (although from the appendix one can infer that the correlation between value - added and Tripod output is around r = 0.45 as based
on an
unadjusted r - squared), and I should mention this is a HUGE shortcoming of this chapter (one that would not have passed peer review should this chapter have been submitted to a journal for publication), the authors do mention that «the conceptual overlap between the frameworks is substantial and that empirical patterns in the
data show similarities.»
Therefore, I have decided to add these
unadjusted signals in order to help users see any potential differences in signals based
on the nature of the historical price
data.
I regressed six month lagged
unadjusted, median, and core CPI
data on unadjusted CPI
data for the next six months.
Nothing to celebrate here... it simply underscores his ignorance of the field, as it has been known for years now that slicing and dicing the
data many different ways, or using
unadjusted vs. adjusted
data (as he discusses), has virtually no effect
on the trend.
Of course, the agreement between the adjusted LOTI
data and the
unadjusted KOE
data in Figure 13 is based solely
on the lags and scaling factors I used.
Additionally,
unadjusted GRACE gravity
data has suggested no lost ice mass and all estimates of ice gains or loss depend
on which Glacial Isostatic Adjustments modelers choose to use.
on «Given the large and suspect adjustments that Hadley makes to the ICOADS
data to create HadSST, do you know why BEST used the HadSST
data set, versus applying its own processing to
unadjusted ICOADS source SST
data?»
Since urban stations show a higher temperature (
on average) compared to rural stations (
on average), having more urban stations in the mix will increase the overall average temperature of even an
unadjusted data set.
Step 2 involves applying various adjustments to the
data, including bias adjustments, and provides as output the adjusted and
unadjusted data on a standard grid.
As Figure 2 shows, the
unadjusted data (pink) have tended to fall towards the lower end of IPCC projections in recent years, primarily due to the preponderance of La Niña events and an extended solar cycle minimum, which have short - term cooling influences
on global surface temperatures.
Analysing the mean summer maximum temperature differences between Bourke and Charleville, the
unadjusted data (Figure 5) indicates that Bourke was,
on average, about 2 °C warmer prior to Stevenson screen installation in 1908 than it was in the years following that, with wide year - to - year variations.
On the contrary, they found that the corrections made to the data resulted in ``... bias in unadjusted maximum temperature data from poor exposure sites relative to good exposure sites is, on average, negative while the bias in minimum temperatures is positive (though smaller in magnitude than the negative bias in maximum temperatures).&raqu
On the contrary, they found that the corrections made to the
data resulted in ``... bias in
unadjusted maximum temperature
data from poor exposure sites relative to good exposure sites is,
on average, negative while the bias in minimum temperatures is positive (though smaller in magnitude than the negative bias in maximum temperatures).&raqu
on average, negative while the bias in minimum temperatures is positive (though smaller in magnitude than the negative bias in maximum temperatures).»
Detailed station - level information
on monthly mean temperatures and trends for
unadjusted and adjusted station
data is provided in graphical form: ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/
data/ghcn/v3/products/stnplots/