I am still working
on some uncertainties in the calculation and lowering the amount.
Probabilistic Forecast for 21st Century Climate Based
on Uncertainties in Emissions (without Policy) and Climate Parameters
A. P. Sokolov et al., «Probabilistic Forecast for 21st Century Climate Based
on Uncertainties in Emissions (Without Policy) and Climate Parameters,» Journal of Climate, in press.
I mean, one could easily write a 20 page paper
on the uncertainties in ocean heat and momentum measurements — it is a huge issue.
A judgment of each estimate's reliability is given as a level of scientific understanding based
on uncertainties in the climate change agents and physical understanding of their radiative effects.
SecurityScorecard's business capitalizes
on the uncertainty in today's digital business landscape.
While analysts have been calling Bitcoin a bubble, a topic as old as the cryptocurrency itself, others are blaming price fluctuations
on uncertainty in regulations.
That may require me to hold it a bit longer than I'd like, but I think there is a lot of noise for the financial sector based
on the uncertainty in the interest rate environment as well as the ongoing presidential election.
[Response: The characterisation of the error in the global annual mean is wrong, and even if correct, the impact
on the uncertainty in the trend is completely wrong.
But even as the certainty of the models improved, Exxon focused instead
on their uncertainty in its campaign to delay climate action.
Of course, this relies
on the uncertainty in the regional TYPE 4 climate projection OF CHANGES IN CLIMATE STATISTICS IN THE COMING DECADES being small enough for the information to be useful in a risk assessment process.
This post relates to a poster at the American Geophysical Union Meeting in San Francisco in December 2012 that summarizes our work
on uncertainty in climate science.
Some of my «opponents» don't see the contradiction when they rely
on uncertainty in climate models to «disprove» the general consensus, and yet are content to rely on innuendo to rubbish the scientists.
The problem with trying to sort through the literature
on the uncertainty in this problem is that without any simple formal statement of the problem and a well know statistical or mathematical approach, it feels like death by «is this paper even relevant, its so frigging weirdly complicated».
Anthropogenic climate change can also directly affect demand for water, when demand for crops increases in certain seasons, for instance for the implications of climate change
on uncertainty in agriculture.
Apart from the rationale for each of these adjustments, the concern that I have is their integral impact
on uncertainty in the resulting temperature data set.
FWIW: Your handwaving argument estimating what the bias in instrumental measurements based
on uncertainty in IPCC projections of warming is fundamentally unsound.
Not exact matches
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those reflected
in such forward - looking statements and that should be considered
in evaluating our outlook include, but are not limited to, the following: 1) our ability to continue to grow our business and execute our growth strategy, including the timing, execution, and profitability of new and maturing programs; 2) our ability to perform our obligations under our new and maturing commercial, business aircraft, and military development programs, and the related recurring production; 3) our ability to accurately estimate and manage performance, cost, and revenue under our contracts, including our ability to achieve certain cost reductions with respect to the B787 program; 4) margin pressures and the potential for additional forward losses
on new and maturing programs; 5) our ability to accommodate, and the cost of accommodating, announced increases
in the build rates of certain aircraft; 6) the effect
on aircraft demand and build rates of changing customer preferences for business aircraft, including the effect of global economic conditions
on the business aircraft market and expanding conflicts or political unrest
in the Middle East or Asia; 7) customer cancellations or deferrals as a result of global economic
uncertainty or otherwise; 8) the effect of economic conditions
in the industries and markets
in which we operate
in the U.S. and globally and any changes therein, including fluctuations
in foreign currency exchange rates; 9) the success and timely execution of key milestones such as the receipt of necessary regulatory approvals, including our ability to obtain
in a timely fashion any required regulatory or other third party approvals for the consummation of our announced acquisition of Asco, and customer adherence to their announced schedules; 10) our ability to successfully negotiate, or re-negotiate, future pricing under our supply agreements with Boeing and our other customers; 11) our ability to enter into profitable supply arrangements with additional customers; 12) the ability of all parties to satisfy their performance requirements under existing supply contracts with our two major customers, Boeing and Airbus, and other customers, and the risk of nonpayment by such customers; 13) any adverse impact
on Boeing's and Airbus» production of aircraft resulting from cancellations, deferrals, or reduced orders by their customers or from labor disputes, domestic or international hostilities, or acts of terrorism; 14) any adverse impact
on the demand for air travel or our operations from the outbreak of diseases or epidemic or pandemic outbreaks; 15) our ability to avoid or recover from cyber-based or other security attacks, information technology failures, or other disruptions; 16) returns
on pension plan assets and the impact of future discount rate changes
on pension obligations; 17) our ability to borrow additional funds or refinance debt, including our ability to obtain the debt to finance the purchase price for our announced acquisition of Asco
on favorable terms or at all; 18) competition from commercial aerospace original equipment manufacturers and other aerostructures suppliers; 19) the effect of governmental laws, such as U.S. export control laws and U.S. and foreign anti-bribery laws such as the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act and the United Kingdom Bribery Act, and environmental laws and agency regulations, both
in the U.S. and abroad; 20) the effect of changes
in tax law, such as the effect of The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (the «TCJA») that was enacted
on December 22, 2017, and changes to the interpretations of or guidance related thereto, and the Company's ability to accurately calculate and estimate the effect of such changes; 21) any reduction
in our credit ratings; 22) our dependence
on our suppliers, as well as the cost and availability of raw materials and purchased components; 23) our ability to recruit and retain a critical mass of highly - skilled employees and our relationships with the unions representing many of our employees; 24) spending by the U.S. and other governments
on defense; 25) the possibility that our cash flows and our credit facility may not be adequate for our additional capital needs or for payment of interest
on, and principal of, our indebtedness; 26) our exposure under our revolving credit facility to higher interest payments should interest rates increase substantially; 27) the effectiveness of any interest rate hedging programs; 28) the effectiveness of our internal control over financial reporting; 29) the outcome or impact of ongoing or future litigation, claims, and regulatory actions; 30) exposure to potential product liability and warranty claims; 31) our ability to effectively assess, manage and integrate acquisitions that we pursue, including our ability to successfully integrate the Asco business and generate synergies and other cost savings; 32) our ability to consummate our announced acquisition of Asco
in a timely matter while avoiding any unexpected costs, charges, expenses, adverse changes to business relationships and other business disruptions for ourselves and Asco as a result of the acquisition; 33) our ability to continue selling certain receivables through our supplier financing program; 34) the risks of doing business internationally, including fluctuations
in foreign current exchange rates, impositions of tariffs or embargoes, compliance with foreign laws, and domestic and foreign government policies; and 35) our ability to complete the proposed accelerated stock repurchase plan, among other things.
«Until we see over the next month or two that the administration... is going to follow through
on their stated intent to make sure that whatever regime is put
in place... come (s) with quotas that don't dent one iota the intended impact of the tariffs, then there's going to be some
uncertainty out there.
Another of the great
uncertainties in these elections is what effect the collapse of the UKIP vote will have
on the two major parties.
«A notable increase
in global protectionism remains the most important source of
uncertainty facing the Canadian economy,» the central bank said
in its quarterly report
on the economy.
«Persistent conflicts and their regional spillovers, security concerns, weaker - than - anticipated public investment (Afghanistan, Jordan), delays
in implementation or completion of structural reforms (Jordan, Morocco, Pakistan, Tunisia), and political and policy
uncertainty (Lebanon, Pakistan) continue to weigh
on growth.
In its policy statement, the central bank noted that «
uncertainty about the future of NAFTA is weighing increasingly
on the outlook.»
And while a more straightforward repeal bill may be able to win back some of the conservative defectors, moderates like Sen. Rob Portman of Ohio and West Virginia's Shelley Moore Capito (
in addition to Collins) have already expressed concerns that a repeal - only strategy without a replacement would wreak even more havoc
on Obamacare's individual insurance marketplaces by creating long - lasting
uncertainty.
Certain matters discussed
in this news release are forward - looking statements that involve a number of risks and
uncertainties including, but not limited to, doubts about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern, the need to obtain additional funding, risks
in product development plans and schedules, rapid technological change, changes and delays
in product approval and introduction, customer acceptance of new products, the impact of competitive products and pricing, market acceptance, the lengthy sales cycle, proprietary rights of the Company and its competitors, risk of operations
in Israel, government regulations, dependence
on third parties to manufacture products, general economic conditions and other risk factors detailed
in the Company's filings with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission.
Still, Canada's politicians should keep
in mind that
uncertainty about trade policy is weighing
on business investment, and therefore murmurs of trade wars will do nothing to build confidence.
European stocks close sharply lower
on Wednesday as investors reacted to fresh corporate earnings and ongoing political
uncertainty in the U.S.
Amid the political
uncertainty in Europe and expectations of a stronger U.S. economy, David Tepper's approach to go long
on European equities and short
on U.S. bonds is right.
These risks and
uncertainties include, among others: the unfavorable outcome of litigation, including so - called «Paragraph IV» litigation and other patent litigation, related to any of our products or products using our proprietary technologies, which may lead to competition from generic drug manufacturers; data from clinical trials may be interpreted by the FDA
in different ways than we interpret it; the FDA may not agree with our regulatory approval strategies or components of our filings for our products, including our clinical trial designs, conduct and methodologies and, for ALKS 5461, evidence of efficacy and adequacy of bridging to buprenorphine; clinical development activities may not be completed
on time or at all; the results of our clinical development activities may not be positive, or predictive of real - world results or of results
in subsequent clinical trials; regulatory submissions may not occur or be submitted
in a timely manner; the company and its licensees may not be able to continue to successfully commercialize their products; there may be a reduction
in payment rate or reimbursement for the company's products or an increase
in the company's financial obligations to governmental payers; the FDA or regulatory authorities outside the U.S. may make adverse decisions regarding the company's products; the company's products may prove difficult to manufacture, be precluded from commercialization by the proprietary rights of third parties, or have unintended side effects, adverse reactions or incidents of misuse; and those risks and
uncertainties described under the heading «Risk Factors»
in the company's most recent Annual Report
on Form 10 - K and
in subsequent filings made by the company with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission («SEC»), which are available
on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov.
Markets
in Europe closed lower
on Thursday as
uncertainty surrounding internal U.S. policy continued to weigh
on investor sentiment despite tensions easing between the U.S. and North Korea.
European markets dropped to two week lows
on Thursday as mounting political
uncertainty in the U.S. hits risk sentiment.
Looking to 2017, McDonald's says it will focus
on growing guest traffic
in the U.S.. That's been problematic across the restaurant industry, as economic
uncertainty and falling grocery prices have hurt the sector.
Passed amidst bitter partisan division and an ambivalent public... the right depends
on private actors, private health insurance companies, and willing states to administer and participate
in a newly transparent, competitive, and streamlined private health insurance market, while these same actors hesitate to invest
in the infrastructure of this market due to
uncertainty from legal and political challenges to the ACA.
Morneau's comments came after he met with private sector economists
in Toronto to get their input
on everything from the North American Free Trade Agreement to global economic
uncertainty ahead of the federal budget
on Feb. 27.
That's because
uncertainty over the U.K.'s future trade arrangements will take a serious toll
on the economy
in the near term.
Turkey is set to continue struggling
in 2017
on the back of growing terrorist acts, falling tourism figures and increased political
uncertainty.
Switching
on the Christmas lights
in London's world famous Oxford Street is usually a jubilant time for U.K. retailers, but this year the holiday season is full of
uncertainty.
«There's enough
uncertainty to hinder any potential expansion project, because you know, you don't predicate billions of dollars of investment
on expansions when you don't know what's hanging out there
in the future.»
The reduced political
uncertainty in the euro zone coupled with stronger inflation and solid economic figures could kick off the discussion
on how and when the central bank should «taper».
NEW YORK / LONDON, April 13 - Gold prices rose
on Friday, heading for a second consecutive weekly gain
on lingering
uncertainty over Western military action
in Syria.
Singapore downgraded its forecasts
on economic growth and exports for 2016 after confirming a contraction
in output
in the third quarter, raising the risk of a recession amid fresh
uncertainty around global trade under U.S. President - elect Donald Trump.
«We expect the stagnation trend to continue and potentially accelerate next year, exacerbated by lower oil prices, tighter monetary policy and continued
uncertainty on the geopolitical front,» noted Barclays economist Eldar Vakhitov
in a recent report.
We point to business and policy
uncertainty, people are still unsure as to who has their hands
on the steering wheel... People have got to start believing
in the real economy and I don't think we have that belief yet.»
Based
on his recent statements, Pai's likely line of attack will be to say that Title II has created too much «
uncertainty» for internet providers, thus harming their willingness to invest
in new networks.
In follow - up studies, they found that motivation boost from
uncertainty only occurred when participants were focused
on the process of pursuing a reward and not the outcome.
Fiat Chrysler Automobiles Chief Executive Sergio Marchionne said
on Monday that
uncertainty over Trump's trade and tax policies could lead automakers to delay investments
in Mexico, and he confirmed plans to create 2,000 jobs at Fiat Chrysler's U.S. factories.
Marchionne said he has not made a decision
on whether to move production of certain Ram heavy - duty pickups from Mexico to the United States,
in part because of
uncertainty about tariffs.
Further, PDC urges you to carefully review and consider the cautionary statements and disclosures, specifically those under the heading «Risk Factors,» made
in its Quarterly Report
on Form 10 - Q, its Annual Report
on Form 10 - K for the year ended December 31, 2016 (the «2016 Form 10 - K»), filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission («SEC»)
on February 28, 2017 and amended
on May 1, 2018, and other filings with the SEC for further information
on risks and
uncertainties that could affect the Company's business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects, which are incorporated by this reference as though fully set forth herein.
Since the only certainty
in life is
uncertainty, David says working
on emotional agility is key to building up resilience.
In their analysis of the new legislation, lawyers at McCarthy Tétrault warned its «broad concepts and elements of uncertainty» could «place a heavy burden» on foreign companies looking to invest in Canada; the risk of a meddlesome minister torpedoing a deal is just too hig
In their analysis of the new legislation, lawyers at McCarthy Tétrault warned its «broad concepts and elements of
uncertainty» could «place a heavy burden»
on foreign companies looking to invest
in Canada; the risk of a meddlesome minister torpedoing a deal is just too hig
in Canada; the risk of a meddlesome minister torpedoing a deal is just too high.