Sentences with phrase «on using climate models»

Now the marine heat wave group is working on using climate models to use their data to predict how this trend will develop during the rest of this century.

In the rekognition of the uncertainties, the IPCC Good - Practice - Guidance - Paper on using climate model results offers some wise advice (first bullet point under section 3.5 on p. 10): the local climate change scenarios should be based on (i) historical change, (ii) process change (e.g. changes in the driving circulation), (iii) global climate change projected by GCMs, and (iv) downscaled projected change.

The analysis also follows the advice in the IPCC Good - Practice - Guidance - Paper on using climate model results: the local climate change scenarios should be based on (i) historical change, (ii) process change (e.g. changes in the driving circulation), (iii) global climate change projected by GCMs, and (iv) downscaled projected change.

Not exact matches

It's going to be one of the major topics at a regional Climate Solutions Summit in Syracuse this weekend, as the city hopes to take the lead on an energy supply model that uses renewable energy.

Importantly, when modern climate models — the same as those used in the United Nations» recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports — were run under Eocene conditions, many could not replicate these ficlimate models — the same as those used in the United Nations» recent Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports — were run under Eocene conditions, many could not replicate these fiClimate Change reports — were run under Eocene conditions, many could not replicate these findings.

They used this data compilation to evaluate the quality of their regional atmospheric climate model, based on global climate projections that included several scenarios of anticipated climate change.

The new study builds on this earlier research, extending the projections globally using a variety of climate models and taking into account future population growth.

While large - scale climate research models offer a systems view of what the transport sector, for example, could contribute to climate protection in comparison to the energy sector, the study presented in Science, however, examines transport - related issues within the sector by using more recent and more specific data on how people commute and travel.

This critical question is addressed using simulations from climate models based on projections of future emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols.

When the weather - based model developed at Rothamsted Research was used to predict how climate change may affect the wheat crops, it was predicted that wheat flowering dates will generally be earlier and the incidence of the ear blight disease on the wheat crops will substantially increase.

The models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, called Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP - 5), are the best physical models of climate change avaClimate Change, called Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - 5 (CMIP - 5), are the best physical models of climate change avaclimate change available.

Smith and his former research assistant Andrew Mizrahi used a PNNL computer model, the Global Change Assessment Model, or GCAM, to evaluate the impact of reducing soot and methane emissions on Earth's climodel, the Global Change Assessment Model, or GCAM, to evaluate the impact of reducing soot and methane emissions on Earth's cliModel, or GCAM, to evaluate the impact of reducing soot and methane emissions on Earth's climate.

To see whether this increase in crops has influenced the region's unusual weather, researchers at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology in Cambridge used computers to model five different 30 - year climate simulations, based on data from 1982 to 2011.

Nadeau also studies the potential impacts of climate change on species around the globe, using modeling, field observation and experiments to predict where species are most vulnerable and determine how conservation groups can best mitigate the negative impacts of climate change on animal populations.

Many other studies on black carbon's climate influence have used models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate climate influence have used models that have been used in reports by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Climate Change.

In the study, the researchers used a 3D computer model of the atmosphere to determine the impact of VSLS on ozone and climate.

Models used to project conditions on an Earth warmed by climate change especially need to consider how the ocean will move excess heat around, Legg said.

Using data from several sources on 162 terrestrial animals and plants unique (endemic) to the Albertine Rift, the researchers used ecological niche modeling (computer models) to determine the extent of habitat already lost due to agriculture, and to estimate the future loss of habitat as a result of climate change.

«The result is not a surprise, but if you look at the global climate models that have been used to analyze what the planet looked like 20,000 years ago — the same models used to predict global warming in the future — they are doing, on average, a very good job reproducing how cold it was in Antarctica,» said first author Kurt Cuffey, a glaciologist at the University of California, Berkeley, and professor of geography and of earth and planetary sciences.

«Using data mining to make sense of climate change: New methodology puts emphasis on data to test climate models.»

In my class on climate change problem solving, I use a 2005 paper by M. H. Zhang et al. that compares modeled clouds with observed ones from 10 climate models.

About 80 percent of the 23 climate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, hclimate models used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, hClimate Change predict some degree of drought in the Amazon if greenhouse gas emissions keep climbing, he said.

Bolstered by the success of their retrospective analysis the scientists forecast caribou habitat to the year 2080 using a «business - as - usual» climate model — the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's A1Bclimate model — the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's A1BClimate Change's A1B model.

To predict which creatures are in danger of extinction, the teams used computer modeling and information from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to compare the way habitats look today with how they may be altered by climate Climate Change to compare the way habitats look today with how they may be altered by climate climate change.

Agent - based modeling is also used to explore the impact humans can have on their environment during periods of climate change.

Matthew Huber, who uses computer models to examine climate dynamics at Purdue University in West Lafayette, Indiana, has his new students work on test projects to prove their skills before they move on to more advanced problems.

The model used real - world measurements of metabolism and built on them to establish temperature comfort standards, a bottom - up approach that can be tweaked to accommodate different office cultures, workplace demographics and climate conditions.

Using an interdisciplinary approach that combined evidence from climate modelling of large 20th - century eruptions, annual measurements of Nile summer flood heights from the Islamic Nilometer — the longest - known human record of environmental variability — between 622 and 1902, as well as descriptions of Nile flood quality in ancient papyri and inscriptions from the Ptolemaic era, the authors show how large volcanic eruptions impacted on Nile river flow, reducing the height of the agriculturally - critical summer flood.

The results could have consequences not only for future climate models, but may also impact current policies on land use intended to promote fungi.

Cynthia Rosenzweig, a researcher based at Goddard, has been using crop - growth computer models to predict effects of carbon dioxide buildup and climate change on wheat, the most widely cultivated crop in the world.

«Being based on climate records, this approach avoids any biases that might affect the sophisticated computer models that are commonly used for understanding global warming.»

To model the projected impact of climate change on marine biodiversity, the researchers used climate - velocity trajectories, a measurement which combines the rate and direction of movement of ocean temperature bands over time, together with information about thermal tolerance and habitat preference.

So it is not surprising that while the inure than a dozen major global climate models in use around the world tend to agree on the broadest phenomena, they differ wildly when it comes to regional effects.

To model a world of ebbing and flowing burns, Krawchuk took historic fire data then mapped it forward using 16 models of changing climates from 2010 on, what the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change calls global climate modelsClimate Change calls global climate modelsclimate models (GCM).

The study establishes a method for estimating UHI intensities using PRISM — Parameter - elevation Relationships on Independent Slopes Model — climate data, an analytical model that creates gridded estimates by incorporating climatic variables (temperature and precipitation), expert knowledge of climatic events (rain shadows, temperature inversions and coastal regimes) and digital elevaModel — climate data, an analytical model that creates gridded estimates by incorporating climatic variables (temperature and precipitation), expert knowledge of climatic events (rain shadows, temperature inversions and coastal regimes) and digital elevamodel that creates gridded estimates by incorporating climatic variables (temperature and precipitation), expert knowledge of climatic events (rain shadows, temperature inversions and coastal regimes) and digital elevation.

The pair used data on winter rainfall collected during the 1980s and climate - predicting computer models to extrapolate future rain - on - snow patterns across the Northern Hemisphere.

«Most climate models that incorporate vegetation are built on short - term observations, for example of photosynthesis, but they are used to predict long - term events,» said Bond - Lamberty, who works at the Joint Global Change Research Institute, a collaboration between PNNL and the University of Maryland in College Park, Md. «We need to understand forests in the long term, but forests change slowly and researchers don't live that long.»

If only modest action is taken to reign in greenhouse gas emissions, the model predicts that pikas will disappear from about 75 percent of sites by 2070 (51 to 88 percent, depending on the global climate model used).

The global climate models assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which are used to project global and regional climate change, are coarse resolution models based on a roughly 100 - kilometer or 62 - mile grid, to simulate ocean and atmospheric dyclimate models assessed by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which are used to project global and regional climate change, are coarse resolution models based on a roughly 100 - kilometer or 62 - mile grid, to simulate ocean and atmospheric dyClimate Change (IPCC), which are used to project global and regional climate change, are coarse resolution models based on a roughly 100 - kilometer or 62 - mile grid, to simulate ocean and atmospheric dyclimate change, are coarse resolution models based on a roughly 100 - kilometer or 62 - mile grid, to simulate ocean and atmospheric dynamics.

While his new study makes no use of the huge computer models commonly used by scientists to estimate the magnitude of future climate change, Lovejoy's findings effectively complement those of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), hclimate change, Lovejoy's findings effectively complement those of the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), hClimate Change (IPCC), he says.

In the GRL study, researchers used a statistical model based on historical climate data to separate how much of the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey was due to natural influences and how much was due to human influences.

Dr Dudok de Wit's team at the International Space Science Institute in Bern, and the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project, have been using the datasets identified through the network to describe the Sun's influence on climate from 1850 up to the present day, as well as a forecast up to the year 2300.

The researchers» results were comparable to previous studies that have analysed air pollution and mortality; however, there was some variation depending on which climate model was used.

Noting that the timing of KD outbreaks in Japan coincides with certain wind patterns from Asia, climate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University inclimate scientist Xavier Rodó, PhD, and colleagues at the Catalan Institution for Research and Advanced Studies and the Catalan Institute of Climate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University inClimate Sciences, both in Barcelona, used computer models to simulate air currents and airborne particle transport for all days since 1977 with high numbers of KD cases in Japan, based on data compiled by Yoshikazu Nakamura, MD, and colleagues at Jichi Medical University in Japan.

Gary Geernaert, director of DOE's Climate and Environmental Sciences Division, states that «it is critical that federal investments to advance climate science for use by both public and private stakeholders must place significant priority on incorporating uncertainty quantification methodologies into modeling framClimate and Environmental Sciences Division, states that «it is critical that federal investments to advance climate science for use by both public and private stakeholders must place significant priority on incorporating uncertainty quantification methodologies into modeling framclimate science for use by both public and private stakeholders must place significant priority on incorporating uncertainty quantification methodologies into modeling frameworks.

The method is based on Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC), which is a machine learning method that has been developed to infer very complex models from observations, with uses in climate sciences and epidemiology among others.

«It's an evolution in our ability to use climate models to make predictions, particularly on timescales of a few decades,» says McKinley, also an affiliate of the Center for Climatic Research at UW - Madison's Nelson Institute for Environmental Studies.

The new findings of successful multi-year drought / fire predictions are based on a series of computer modeling experiments, using the state - of - the - art earth system model, the most detailed data on current ocean temperature and salinity conditions, and the climate responses to natural and human - linked radiative forcing.

«Factors affecting extinction and origination of species are surprisingly different, with past climate change having the highest impact on extinction but not on originations,» notes researcher Daniele Silvestro from the GGBC who developed the mathematical model used in the study.

In using the model to assess the ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to rise throughout the 21st century.