Sentences with phrase «on voter preferences»

Election surveys tend to focus on voter preferences and voter turnout and not on who voters expect will win.

Not exact matches

Democratic preference in both polls was slightly above data site 538's polling aggregator, which on Sunday showed that 48.5 % of voters who said they would support a generic Democratic candidate in 2018, compared to 37.6 % who preferred a generic Republican.

As voters indicated their preferential ranking, you can eliminate the weakest candidate and redistribute the votes on his ballots according to the indicated second preference.

Ultimately the government will have to choose between large numbers of voters choosing pre-determined preference orderings by voting above the line or large numbers of voters having their preferences ignored because they did not express them properly on the ballot paper.

Even a preference for Clinton over Trump was not a guarantee that a voter would turn out for Clinton on election day.

Yet there are plenty of other voting systems, like the Single Transferrable Vote method used to elect moderators on Stack Exchange sites, where voters can honestly indicate their top preference and have an incentive to do so, without the disincentive that this might help their least favored candidate win.

The full extent of the possible effects of agenda control was first noted by a colourful 18th Century French mathematician, the Marquis de Condorcet who in his famous paradox noted that in a situation with a tie between three options a voter can determine the outcome of an election by voting insincerely on one of their preferences.

A: No mystery; because the Conservative Party is traditionally the second choice of relatively few voters and they therefore wish to count weak second preferences as on a par with strong first preferences.

Its critics contend that some voters find the mechanisms behind STV difficult to understand, but this does not make it more difficult for voters to «rank the list of candidates in order of preference» on an STV ballot paper (see Voting).

This profoundly granular information about individual voters and their preferences helped the campaign focus persuasion work on the persuadable and GOTV on the voters likely to vote for their guy.

As noticed by Satterthwaite, the original theorem immediately implies that, on the subset of configurations where all voters have strict preferences, the system is dictatorial (given the usual assumptions, i.e. non-manipulability and at least 3 eligible candidates).

The rest would be elected on a corrective top - up basis designed to reflect voters» party preference more accurately.

Instant runoff voting, also known as ranked - choice voting, allows voters to rank primary candidates in order of preference so that if one candidate does not cross the required threshold for victory, the candidate with the least number of votes is eliminated and the votes are redistributed based on the second choice selected by voters who had selected the eliminated candidate first, and so on until a winner emerges.

The Burnham team's polling found that of 29,020 eligible Labour voters contacted between 15 July and 29 July, 37.3 % said they would support Burnham on their first preference, 27.6 % Corbyn, 9.6 % Cooper and 5.8 % Kendall.

Rural voters may or may not vote based on their economic interest, but economics in cities have generally deteriorated under Democrat policies, but it hasn't had a noticeable affect on voting preferences.

It is a preferential voting system so the voter ranks the candidates on the ballot paper in order of preference.

The problem with predicted outcomes of AV based on, for example, successive YouGov polls looking at voters preferences is that they really only tell us about short term effects on the relative position of the big established parties.

Results, they say, increasingly hinge on the preferences of a small number of voters in a handful of swing constituencies which is undemocratic.

«The first is something that is really in your lap, and that is dealing with the runoff primary election,» he said, calling on the Council to quickly implement instant runoff voting in which voters get to rank multiple candidates in order of preference.

In runoff voting voters do not rank candidates in order of preference on a single ballot.

Where preferential voting is used for the election of an assembly or council, parties and candidates often advise their supporters on their lower preferences, especially in Australia where a voter must rank all candidates to cast a valid ballot.

It is also possible that, under A.V., swings could start to vary between seats even more than was the case on 6 May, if voters start to set even more store by the merits of individual candidates when allocating their preferences.

It's worth taking a close look at the crosstabs, which include information on favorability, support for President Obama and voters» preferences in the gubernatorial horserace — all of which will undoubtedly play a role in the general elections.

Similarly, the Alternative Vote places an artificial construct on voter's intentions, forcing them to make second preference choices - before they actually know the result, which inevitably would disproportionately favour the Liberal Democrats as being the «centre» party.

Voters are able to express a first and second preference on their ballots.

This can lead to «preference deals», a form of pre-election bargaining, in which smaller parties agree to direct their voters in return for support from the winning party on issues critical to the small party.

Academics at Essex University have analysed the 2010 general election results together with survey data on voters» second and third preferences, and estimated that the Lib Dems would have gained an extra 32 seats under AV.

Voters rank all candidates, and «surplus votes» (the votes that a winning candidate could have been elected without) are redistributed on the basis of second preference, and so on.

There's no consensus on the preferences of Asian American voters.

Two caricatured extreme positions of political strategy, held by no - one, are these: a) that voter preferences are entirely fixed, and that the art of political campaigning is to choose where within the spectrum of fixed voter opinions to place oneself to provide the best chance of victory whilst achieving the maximum of one's desired programme; b) that voters can be persuaded of anything if one has truth on one's side and argues for it with sufficient conviction.

But the Tories had not offered a guarantee of a referendum on introducing the alternative vote electoral system, in which voters rank candidates on preference rather than place a cross against one candidate alone.

If no one gets fifty percent on the first vote, all but the top two are eliminated and their voters second preferences reallocated).

The ERS report on party funding looks at how to break down the stalemate by testing the latest recommendations against voter preferences.

[4] Voters were able to express a first and second preference on their ballots.

The proportional election to the House of Councillors allows the voters to cast a preference vote for a single candidate on a party list.

This system, already used in Northern Ireland, allows voters to rank all candidates, and surplus votes are redistributed on the basis of second preference.

The new Government has said it will hold a referendum on whether to replace our current voting system, first past the post, with the Alternative Vote, which allows voters to express more than one preference.

A more common concern about conjoint analysis is that it relies too heavily on the stated preferences of respondents, which would be problematic if voters were unwilling to provide candid answers about subjects such as ethnicity.

In the end, Narwhal's apps and databases generated and analyzed millions of precious nuggets on voter attitudes and preferences.

The debate over programs and policies that grant preferences based on factors such as race and sex will soon be in the hands of California voters.

A 2008 survey by Harvard University's Program on Education Policy and Governance found that voters greatly underestimate how much public schools cost and that their funding preferences vary depending on whether they are accurately informed or not:

When we draw a conclusions about what all voters in Quebec prefer based on premises describing the preferences of a sample of Quebec voters our conclusion goes beyond the information in our premises (here to voters that we didn't sample).

On average, voters believed New York currently enjoyed a roughly 25 % clean energy portfolio (the actual figure is lower), and they expressed a preference for moving to far greater clean energy sources.

However, there may be important policy or political reasons to prefer one or the other in a particular context, such as voter preferences or limits on regulatory or legislative authority.

But, politicians are also susceptible to public preferences, ergo better educated voters could help boost lawmakers» willingness to work on actual carbon tax legislation.

One is about public bus purchases and scrappage and the third is about learning about California voter's preferences for carbon mitigation based on voting on AB32 and High Speed Rail.

Facebook, Twitter, and Google possess intensely scalable tools for identifying voter preferences, thanks to the scads of data their hundreds of millions of users provide, and aiming messages based on that flood of data.

Nix claims that they possess between four and five thousand data points on every potential voter, after combining the personality test results with «attitudinal» data, such as credit card spending patterns, consumer preferences, Facebook likes, and civic and political engagement.

Building psychographic profiles of individual voters based on their lifestyles and preferences could be hugely powerful, thinks Chris Sumner, research director at the Online Privacy Foundation.