The North Atlantic Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation's influences
on warm ocean currents explain both Greenland's cyclical temperature behavior and current glacial retreat.
Not exact matches
In the
current context of global
warming it is important to assess the impacts that changes in
ocean and climate may have
on Antarctica, and reconstructing past climate fluctuations provides vital information
on the responses and possible feedback mechanisms within the climate system.
The causes of the
warming remain debated, but Liu and his team homed in
on the melting glacial water that poured into
oceans as the ice receded, paradoxically slowing the
ocean current in the North Atlantic that keeps Europe from freezing over.
Some glaciers
on the perimeter of West Antarctica are receiving increased heat from deep,
warm ocean currents, which melt ice from the grounding line, releasing the brake and causing the glaciers to flow and shed icebergs into the
ocean more quickly.
He warned
on Tuesday that
warming ocean currents east of Greenland were melting ice in the seabed.
But as the two shelves are
on opposite sides of the peninsula and subject to different
ocean currents, he says, «it was probably due to atmospheric
warming».
El Nino's mass of
warm water puts a lid
on the normal
currents of cold, deep water that typically rise to the surface along the equator and off the coast of Chile and Peru, said Stephanie Uz,
ocean scientist at Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland.
Unexpectedly, this more detailed approach suggests changes in Antarctic coastal winds due to climate change and their impact
on coastal
currents could be even more important
on melting of the ice shelves than the broader
warming of the
ocean.
The science team obtained vital information about the physical characteristics within one large
warm - water eddy, which likely originated from the North Brazil
Current, and analyzed its potential influence
on sub-surface
ocean conditions during the passage of tropical cyclones.
A March study shows that one large swath of the ice sheet sits
on beds as deep as 8,000 feet below sea level and is connected to
warming ocean currents.
East Antarctica, situated
on high ground that protects it from
warming ocean currents, was considered stable.
So the report notes that the
current «pause» in new global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino
on record and shattered
warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained by the
oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.
El Niño — a
warming of tropical Pacific
Ocean waters that changes weather patterns across the globe — causes forests to dry out as rainfall patterns shift, and the occasional unusually strong «super» El Niños, like the
current one, have a bigger effect
on CO2 levels in the atmosphere.
Given the strength of the Hurst coefficients — something we all agree
on — is it not possible that a large portion of the
current warming trend is a product of internal climate variability, as mediated by complex dynamics of
ocean circulation?
This could be do to changes in
ocean circulation, and
warming waters reaching the grounding lines for ice shelves in Arctic and Antarctica, leading to non-linear increase in melting and sea level rise, impossible to avoid
on our
current path.
As we sailed the remote atolls of the Southern Maldives, eating and sleeping
on - board a traditional dhoni, visiting isolated fishing communities and uninhabited islands, snorkelling in
oceans with strong
currents, and swimming in the
warm water with amazing marine life, I certainly learnt to respect the
ocean; feeling far less at home than the marlin, manta ray, leopard shark, turtles, dolphins and rainbow of fish that we encountered.
The Nursery at Stephward Estate, being situated
on the South Coast of KwaZulu Natal with the
warm Indian
Ocean Currents, has proven to be ideal for the
warmer growing Orchids, Bromeliads and Heliconias.
Though 2015 was a record year, the
warming of parts of the Pacific
Ocean and the resulting deleterious effects
on seals and sea lions began before the onset of the
current El Niño effect.
Located
on the eastern side of Mauritius, an island glimmering in the
warm currents of the Indian
Ocean, Blue Bay is protected by a vast coral reef that protects the beach from larger wave breaks, allowing for calm, safe swimming.
I'm a fish geneticist so I won't bother commenting
on «paleo -
ocean current - ology», but it seems to me that glaciation would result in a reduction of fresh water inputs to the North Atlantic (during the ice age) and would therefore be quite different from the mechanism in question (which is related to early phases of global
warming).
Other factors would include: — albedo shifts (both from ice > water, and from increased biological activity, and from edge melt revealing more land, and from more old dust coming to the surface...); — direct effect of CO2
on ice (the former weakens the latter); — increasing, and increasingly
warm, rain fall
on ice; — «stuck» weather systems bringing more and more
warm tropical air ever further toward the poles; — melting of sea ice shelf increasing mobility of glaciers; — sea water getting under parts of the ice sheets where the base is below sea level; — melt water lubricating the ice sheet base; — changes in
ocean currents -LRB-?)
2) Anthropogenic global
warming will not affect the Arctic (or any other region) solely by increasing local temperatures, but also by its complex effects
on climate as a whole, which includes affects
on patterns of wind and
ocean currents.
They relate the
current hiatus period at the surface and a deeper penetration of the
warming into the
ocean with changes in the trade winds
on the subtropical Pacific (intensification).
14
OCEAN CURRENTS Cold and
warm streams of water move through
oceans (based
on earth's rotation, differences in water temperature, and change in air pressure.
The wild exaggerations of both the direct CO2
warming and the supposedly more serious knock -
on warming are rooted in an untruth: the falsehood that scientists know enough about how clouds form, how thunderstorms work, how air and
ocean currents flow, how ice sheets behave, how soot in the air behaves.
SLR by 2100 is more likely to come from ice mass loss from West Antarctica (WAIS) where
warm ocean currents are already melting ice at glacier mouths and attacking areas of the WAIS resting
on the seabed.
Adapted for Australian
oceans, the model simulates the effect of climate in the 2060s
on temperature and
currents in the
warm pool, a tuna habitat defined by
warmer surface water.
Most interesting is that the about monthly variations correlate with the lunar phases (peak
on full moon) The Helsinki Background measurements 1935 The first background measurements in history; sampling data in vertical profile every 50 - 100m up to 1,5 km; 364 ppm underthe clouds and above Haldane measurements at the Scottish coast 370 ppmCO2 in winds from the sea; 355 ppm in air from the land Wattenberg measurements in the southern Atlantic
ocean 1925-1927 310 sampling stations along the latitudes of the southern Atlantic oceans and parts of the northern; measuring all oceanographic data and CO2 in air over the sea; high ocean outgassing crossing the warm water currents north (> ~ 360 ppm) Buchs measurements in the northern Atlantic ocean 1932 - 1936 sampling CO2 over sea surface in northern Atlantic Ocean up to the polar circle (Greenland, Iceland, Spitsbergen, Barents Sea); measuring also high CO2 near Spitsbergen (Spitsbergen current, North Cape current) 364 ppm and CO2 over sea crossing the Atlantic from Kopenhagen to Newyork and back (Brements on a swedish island Lundegards CO2 sampling on swedish island (Kattegatt) in summer from 1920 - 1926; rising CO2 concentration (+7 ppm) in the 20s; ~ 328 ppm yearly av
ocean 1925-1927 310 sampling stations along the latitudes of the southern Atlantic
oceans and parts of the northern; measuring all oceanographic data and CO2 in air over the sea; high
ocean outgassing crossing the warm water currents north (> ~ 360 ppm) Buchs measurements in the northern Atlantic ocean 1932 - 1936 sampling CO2 over sea surface in northern Atlantic Ocean up to the polar circle (Greenland, Iceland, Spitsbergen, Barents Sea); measuring also high CO2 near Spitsbergen (Spitsbergen current, North Cape current) 364 ppm and CO2 over sea crossing the Atlantic from Kopenhagen to Newyork and back (Brements on a swedish island Lundegards CO2 sampling on swedish island (Kattegatt) in summer from 1920 - 1926; rising CO2 concentration (+7 ppm) in the 20s; ~ 328 ppm yearly av
ocean outgassing crossing the
warm water
currents north (> ~ 360 ppm) Buchs measurements in the northern Atlantic
ocean 1932 - 1936 sampling CO2 over sea surface in northern Atlantic Ocean up to the polar circle (Greenland, Iceland, Spitsbergen, Barents Sea); measuring also high CO2 near Spitsbergen (Spitsbergen current, North Cape current) 364 ppm and CO2 over sea crossing the Atlantic from Kopenhagen to Newyork and back (Brements on a swedish island Lundegards CO2 sampling on swedish island (Kattegatt) in summer from 1920 - 1926; rising CO2 concentration (+7 ppm) in the 20s; ~ 328 ppm yearly av
ocean 1932 - 1936 sampling CO2 over sea surface in northern Atlantic
Ocean up to the polar circle (Greenland, Iceland, Spitsbergen, Barents Sea); measuring also high CO2 near Spitsbergen (Spitsbergen current, North Cape current) 364 ppm and CO2 over sea crossing the Atlantic from Kopenhagen to Newyork and back (Brements on a swedish island Lundegards CO2 sampling on swedish island (Kattegatt) in summer from 1920 - 1926; rising CO2 concentration (+7 ppm) in the 20s; ~ 328 ppm yearly av
Ocean up to the polar circle (Greenland, Iceland, Spitsbergen, Barents Sea); measuring also high CO2 near Spitsbergen (Spitsbergen
current, North Cape
current) 364 ppm and CO2 over sea crossing the Atlantic from Kopenhagen to Newyork and back (Brements
on a swedish island Lundegards CO2 sampling
on swedish island (Kattegatt) in summer from 1920 - 1926; rising CO2 concentration (+7 ppm) in the 20s; ~ 328 ppm yearly average
We work with global
ocean circulation models to understand issues like the thermal expansion of
ocean waters due to global
warming or the effect of changing
ocean currents on regional sea levels.
There is some discussion over what effect greenhouse
warming will have
on ocean currents, particularly the Gulf Stream, which
warms Europe with tropical water.
In order to properly understand, what is going
on in the Arctic
ocean, we first must understand the oceanic oscillation and the
currents in this vast
ocean, it is interesting to note, Sweden is recalling its ice breaker from the USA Antarctic survey, and there is concern in the sea of Okhotsk — where, for the last couple of years breaking the winter sea ice has been a major problem, colder here, relatively «
warmer» there etc..
El Ni o an irregular variation of
ocean current that, from January to February, flows off the west coast of South America, carrying warm, low - salinity, nutrient - poor water to the south; does not usually extend farther than a few degrees south of the Equator, but occasionally it does penetrate beyond 12 S, displacing the relatively cold Peruvian current; usually short - lived effects, but sometimes last more than a year, raising sea - surface temperatures along the coast of Peru and in the equatorial eastern Pacific Ocean, having disastrous effects on marine life and fi
ocean current that, from January to February, flows off the west coast of South America, carrying
warm, low - salinity, nutrient - poor water to the south; does not usually extend farther than a few degrees south of the Equator, but occasionally it does penetrate beyond 12 S, displacing the relatively cold Peruvian
current; usually short - lived effects, but sometimes last more than a year, raising sea - surface temperatures along the coast of Peru and in the equatorial eastern Pacific
Ocean, having disastrous effects on marine life and fi
Ocean, having disastrous effects
on marine life and fishing
Since ENSO is a coupled
ocean - atmosphere process, I have presented its impact
on and the inter-relationships between numerous variables, including sea surface temperature, sea level,
ocean currents,
ocean heat content, depth - averaged temperature,
warm water volume, sea level pressure, cloud amount, precipitation, the strength and direction of the trade winds, etc..
And that estimate was based
on the idea that
ocean warming and acidification will stay at
current rates.
A new study
on ice loss in Antarctica by the British Antarctic Survey confirms what we already know about the effects of global
warming but it differentiates between the effects of
ocean currents, their cause and the air temperature effects at the ice surface.
# 24 «If CO2 emissions continue
on their
current trends, earth is
on course to be 2.6 - 4.8 C (4.7 - 8.6 F) degrees
warmer and the
oceans could be up to a meter higher by the end of this century.
Deep
ocean currents occasionally push through the
warm surface layer in the south eastern Pacific in one of the major areas for upwelling
on the planet.
Warm currents transport heat from lower latitudes poleward and tend to occur
on the western sides of
oceans.
It's very clear (thanks to Steve M, Willis etc) that there are issues with both but given the
current hyped claim by the «
warmers» that the past effects of man - caused global
warming have largely been masked by the
warming of the
oceans and that unless we reduce CO2 emissions now that we won't be able to mitigate future global
warming when this «stored heat» eventually comes back out of the
oceans and leads to catastrophic effects, I'm very interested in getting to the punchline of this debate
on SSTs.
But if you accept that the greenhouse effect is real, and that CO2 is a GHG, and that CO2 has increased (along with other GHGs), you have to accept the merit of my point: that solar, volcanoes,
ocean currents and other natural variations do their thing, they vary, but GHGs exert a steady, constant upward forcing
on temperature, which upward forcing is only offset by increased heat losses to space from a
warmer planet.
So while admitting, there probably is a very modest amount of AGW in the
current warming cycle, it could just as easily have been caused by: i) the effects of the huge increase in global irrigation, ii) tiny changes in the sun's radiation, and / or iii) the knock
on effects of changes in the intensity and direction of
ocean currents.
For example, reductions in seasonal sea ice cover and higher surface temperatures may open up new habitat in polar regions for some important fish species, such as cod, herring, and pollock.128 However, continued presence of cold bottom - water temperatures
on the Alaskan continental shelf could limit northward migration into the northern Bering Sea and Chukchi Sea off northwestern Alaska.129, 130 In addition,
warming may cause reductions in the abundance of some species, such as pollock, in their
current ranges in the Bering Sea131and reduce the health of juvenile sockeye salmon, potentially resulting in decreased overwinter survival.132 If
ocean warming continues, it is unlikely that
current fishing pressure
on pollock can be sustained.133 Higher temperatures are also likely to increase the frequency of early Chinook salmon migrations, making management of the fishery by multiple user groups more challenging.134
A section
on current conditions shows the last two months are characterized by relatively normal atmospheric conditions over the Arctic
Ocean, but
warmer than normal conditions over the subpolar seas and land around the Arctic
Ocean.
Two items: the first, the layered
Ocean currents, fresh water
on top, then the
warmer but saltier layer and finally the deep bottom layer.
Over the past fifty million years, earth cooled because land moved,
ocean currents changed, more and more
warm water was circulated in higher Latitudes and Polar
Oceans to melt more and more sea ice to support more and more snowfall to promote more and more ice
on land.
Other feared effects — such as the sudden release of large volumes of methane from thawing Arctic tundra or the disruption of the Atlantic
Ocean currents that carry
warm water into the northern latitudes — were given a low chance of occurring
on a rapid scale.
Adding heat to the
ocean, in contrast, slows down the overturning circulation because
ocean currents depend
on temperature gradients — moving from
warmer locations to cooler locations — that weaken under global
warming as cooler waters heat up.
Compiled recent findings
on the interconnection of
warming trends, and possible implications for
ocean currents and what it could mean.
Continents drifted and changed
ocean currents and routed more and more
warm tropical water into Polar Regions and that thawed more and more of the Polar
Oceans to promote more and more snowfall and that did support more and more ice
on land.
Ocean currents cool or
warm nearby coasts, depending
on their temperature.