Not exact matches
For instance, when Ontario Premier Kathleen Wynne emerged from a January meeting with Alberta's Rachel Notley to say
warm, fuzzy things about Alberta's new climate strategy and the quest for
pipelines, the prime minister quickly praised their efforts from Switzerland, where he was attending the World Economic Forum: «I am very much
in the camp of both premiers, Wynne and Notley, who demonstrated that Canada can and should work together
on economic issues for all of us.»
On the overarching question of «solving» the climate problem, I'm sure Joe would agree that global
warming is inevitably going to be, at best, managed — not «fixed» — given the trajectories for emissions
in a world inexorably headed toward roughly nine billion people seeking energy - enabled lives and with substantial
warming already
in the
pipeline, according to a heap of research.
Curry seems confused
on «
warming in the
pipeline» since this comes about from stabilization of forcing which has not occurred.
To better understand why it is so important to stop the Keystone XL
pipeline and why tens of thousands rallied
in DC
on Sunday and why activists participated
in acts of civil disobedience, you must understand the math of global
warming.
Either way, their survival depends far more
on their adaptation than it does to US action, since no matter what policies we enact, there is
warming already
in the «
pipeline» and the
warming to come from the economic growth
in the developing world will dwarf any attempts to limit our own emissions.
This imbalance is really an important quantity — estimates of how much
warming is
in the «
pipeline», the size of the aerosol cooling effect etc. all depend
on knowing what this number is.
We can now argue about whether the GH
warming has reached «equilibrium» over the past 150 years or whether there is still some GH
warming «hidden
in the
pipeline», but IMO that is like arguing about how many angels can dance
on the head of a pin.
Then (2004) he saw that his model predictions
on warming were not happening (they were exaggerated by 2:1), so he used «circular logic» to come up with the «hidden
in the
pipeline» postulation.
But you are right — I don't actually believe that there is
warming in the
pipeline — which depends
on oceans slowly
warming.
However, given that the CAGW position doesn't rest
on specific numbers, but is instead an unorganized collection of anecdotal evidence, coupled with heavily - tweaked computer models, unfounded assumptions about positive feedbacks, and a healthy imagination about possible future disasters, a lower
warming number for the 20th century will simply be brushed over with claims about aerosols being stronger than previously thought, more
warming still waiting
in the «
pipeline» or similar ad hoc «explanations» that keep the overall story alive.
In hopes that a subsequent paper may remedy this shortfall, one further seminal shift would seem worth including, being a case for permafrost GHG contribution
on top of the
warming from the best case of emissions control, specifically: — present realized
warming, — plus
pipeline warming, — plus
warming from phase - out emissions reaching near - zero by 2050, — plus a multiplier for the consequent loss of the fossil sulphate parasol.
They included the following nifty graph, with the observed surface temperature but also the eventually expected temperature at the corresponding CO2 concentration (which they dub the» real global temperature»), based
on different approaches to account for
warming in the
pipeline:
Based
on this information and published atmospheric CO2 data I can now estimate the CO2 impact
on observed past
warming and the observed 2xCO2 impact (or climate sensitivity), leaving out (for now) any notions of energy «hidden
in the
pipeline»..
Whether or not global
warming is entirely or largely due to human use of carbon for fuel, the reduction of the dependence
on carbon makes sense for reducing asthma
in children; reducing black lung disease; reducing the production of coal ashes, residues, and effluents; reducing the impact of carbon greenhouse gasses; reducing
pipeline failures; reducing coal and oil surface transport accidents; reducing
pipeline - related warfare; and reducing air pollution.
In a news analysis published today, the New York Times concludes that while the tax bill provision
on Keystone XL will likely kill the project, the victory will do little to stop future
pipelines, stall tar sands development, or slow down global
warming.
Based
on no further acceleration of temperature rise and nothing
in the
pipeline, this would imply a
warming of +2.3 C.