Sentences with phrase «only election forecast»

Political analyst Nate Silvers» polls - only election forecast currently gives Hillary Clinton a 69.8 percent chance of becoming the next president versus 30.2 percent for Donald Trump.

Not exact matches

A surplus of only $ 200 million is now forecast for 2015 - 16, down $ 3.5 billion from the surplus of $ 3.7 billion forecast in its April 2013 Update, leaving the Government little flexibility to introduce new policy initiatives, or honour its 2011 election promises of introducing new tax expenditures, in advance of the 2015 election.

The European elections, however, provide the only opportunity before the general election to assess the ability of the pollsters to forecast the share of the vote in a Britain - wide election.

«We probably endow polls with rather more accuracy than they are capable of delivering... We still think that the polls are really the only show in town for forecasting election results despite some of the claims.

As expected, the current fiscal year budget deficit is forecast to come in at just shy of $ 30 billion ($ 29.4 billion, to be exact) and to fall only a bit next year (to $ 29.0 billion), nearly three times the size of deficit promised during the election campaign.

That forecast has led most analysts to predict a rate hike in September and then again in December because the only other FOMC meeting takes place a week before the presidential election.