This seeks to ask the following question in relation to different
opinion poll results — what do these poll figures mean in terms of the likely number of Dail seats that could be won by the different parties and groupings on those national support levels?
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One party's economic agenda is dominated by business lobbies, but the policy proposals that come out of the Chamber of Commerce — GOP nexus are so unpopular that they are stillborn in Congress as soon as the hideous
opinion poll results are known.
The below infographic is a snapshot of the 2012 National
Opinion Poll results.
The center - right candidate Francois Fillon was until recently set to become the next president of France, based on
opinion poll results.
Not exact matches
Last - minute
opinion polls indicated a knife - edge
result, with voters narrowly favouring Mr Tsipras's call for a No vote to reject a last - ditch bailout offer by Greece's creditors, even though it has already expired.
The spot delivered lackluster
results in public
opinion polls and failed to impress professional ad reviewers.
Results from the Asia Pacific Foundation of Canada's 2015 National
Opinion Poll (NOP) indicate that women are less likely than men to support investment from major Asian trading partners such as China, Japan, India, and South Korea.
This is due, in large part, to public
opinion polls and the
resulting election strategies of the two political parties in particular — the Conservatives and the Liberals.
Results from APF Canada's 2012 National
Opinion Poll indicate that 31 per cent of Canadians have never heard about the TPP, while 11 per cent are uncertain about their stance on the agreement.
Recently there were reported in a Southern California newspaper the
results of a national
opinion survey, (6) Of the 3000 women
polled, 96 percent still viewed marriage as their first choice for the most satisfying and interesting way of life.
The fact that a public
opinion poll reveals a
result above 50 percent is not enough to justify a law or to decree that a debate must not take place.
As foretellers of our machine makers»
poll results, their
opinions were split — with some seeing promise and others seeing problems.
There have been various
opinion polls at different times recently about Wenger, with varying
results but it is a fact that a majority of my commenters (You lot!)
So the Tories are defending an unusually strong 2009
result and face a much greater challenge than can be accounted for by the
opinion polls statistical model.
It built up towards the debate on Thursday, then covered its aftermath on Friday, before assessing the
resulting opinion polls over the weekend.
The researchers asked a selected group of voters to state their
opinions on a variety of real public policy questions, and then presented them with fabricated
poll results on the same topics.
Just three per cent expected a Tory victory despite that being the most likely
result shown by
opinion polls.
Firstly, Israel relies on suboptimal
polling methodology: samples are too small (often only 500 people) to filter out the effect of outlier
results, and there are too few
polls to accurately measure
opinion at any given moment.
It's still very early days, but the
results we've seen so far suggest that the Conservatives have actually done significantly better than the earlier dramatic
opinion poll suggests.
It is interesting that Kedourie was responding to the
results of an
opinion poll which showed that the majority of Egyptians supported democracy, but also demanded the implementation of Shari'a (Islamic) law.
Labour supporters were devastated by the
result, which was far worse for the party than
opinion polls had been predicting.
The union also released the
results of a
poll conducted by National
Opinion Research that found 63 percent of New Yorkers would prefer to see a temporary income tax increase on the state's highest earners (1 percent for those who make more than $ 1 million and 2 percent for those who make over $ 5 million) over education funding cuts of between $ 800 million and $ 1.4 million.
The
results of the local and European elections look set to go to the wire, with the last batch of
opinion polls putting Labour and Ukip neck - and - neck
First, while public
opinion polling on the question of cannabis legalisation has been all over the place on the question, the most reliable
results suggests that a slim majority of Germans opposes cannabis legalisation.
The
result confirms
opinion polls finding Labour nationally as much as 18 % behind Theresa May's governing party can't be easily dismissed.
Consequently, the possibility to nowcast a campaign, that is, to track trends in real time and capture (eventual) sudden changes (so called «momentum») in public
opinion faster than is possible through traditional
polls (for example, the
results of a TV debate), becomes a reality.
Despite
opinion polls leading up to the general election predicting a tight
result, Labour decisively lost the 7 May general election to the Conservatives.
As
opinion polls and
results from local and European Parliament elections showed, promising to abolish tuition fees at the last election proved to be a colossal error.
We still don't know why all the
opinion polls were so out of alignment with the final
result.
As a
result of this failure to «predict» the
result, the Market Research Society held an inquiry into the reasons why the
polls had been so much at variance with actual public
opinion.
For a variety of reasons (including the impact of high levels of undecided voters in a specific
poll), the actual
result of an election contest may vary from the figures suggested by an
opinion poll, even if the
poll is carried out relatively close to election day, or on election day itself as in the case of exit
polls, but the likelihood of such variation is not something that can be factored into this model.
The End Child Poverty coalition has just released the
results of an
opinion poll that shows 82 per cent of British people think that tackling child poverty should be a government priority.
However, the by - election
result came at a time when Labour's
opinion poll ratings were very low and perhaps represented a protest vote at the government.
While the
opinion polls might have been volatile recently, the broadcasters» exit
poll - released when voting closes at 10 pm - has a very good record in predicting the overall
result since the BBC and ITV started pooling data in 2005.
As the
opinion polls and betting markets suggest the 2010 General Election will
result in a hung parliament, independent political analyst Greg Callus analyses for Channel 4 News the potential scenarios the parties face.
I don't put much store in
opinion polls, but if true it would only indicate roughly what you would expect to happen at this point in the parliament - 32 % isn't that much lower than Labour got in the 2005 General Election and all it would suggest is that the Liberal Democrats are having a reversal - tactical voting could see them holding onto many of their current seats, indeed it is even possible that if they got 17 % of the vote that if it focused in an area that they could actually end up with more seats, where the switches in support are occuring is crucial - if they are focused then if the Conservative Party were to get 39 % then it might still
result in them getting fewer seats than Labour or in extremis winning a 150 seat majority or so?
[124] Some of the
opinion polls had shown a 20 - point Conservative lead over Labour before the election was called, but this lead had narrowed by the day of the 2017 general election, which
resulted in a hung parliament.
May's election
results proved to be significantly different from the
opinion polls.
Both
opinion polls, and local by - election
results, suggest that the lead over Labour has widened since then.
A good set of local
results like this does not prove the Conservatives will win the next election, and it is a mistake to treat them as a glorified
opinion poll.
UKIP leader Nigel Farage points to the Barnsley by - election
result - where his party came second - and rising
opinion poll ratings.
Throughout the election the Labour Party had maintained a significant lead in the
opinion polls and the
result was deemed to be so certain that some bookmakers paid out for a Labour majority before the election day.
These are usually more accurate than normal
opinion polls because they are conducted at the count - so all those people with a preference who didn't bother voting are kept off the
results.
Further, there have been
Opinion Polls that have turned up to be so wrong they could never have been the
result of a survey conducted as is often the claim.
His comments come as Amnesty International publishes the
results of a YouGov
poll showing UK popular
opinion has turned against cluster bombs.
Ken Polkalsky from the Business Council speaks about the fracking ban, while Siena Pollster Steve Greenberg shares
poll results about public
opinion on the drilling process.
In 2007 Baston looked at 256
opinion polls, and at the election
results that would have been produced by three electoral systems: first past the post, and two AV scenarios — one in which the Liberal Democrat votes went to the Tories and Labour, and another in which the Lib Dem second preference votes went to Labour.
The exit
poll was markedly different from the pre-election
opinion polls, [160] which had been fairly consistent; this led many pundits and MPs to speculate that the exit
poll was inaccurate, and that the final
result would have the two main parties closer to each other.
These
results clearly show that UKIP is faring increasingly well in real elections and this a trend rather than a protest; so what say the
opinion polls?