First -
order models predicted that solar wind compression regions would induce an increase in the angular velocity of the equatorial plasma and decrease the currents related to the lag from corotation, thus resulting in a dimmer aurora (e.g. Southwood & Kivelson 2001).
Not exact matches
In
order to value bitcoin and
predict future prices, analysts at Barclays came up with a
model that likens it to an infectious disease.
[5][6] The theory could potentially explain why a mysterious repulsive form of energy known as the «cosmological constant», and which is accelerating the expansion of the universe, is several
orders of magnitude smaller than
predicted by the standard Big Bang
model.»
These
models utilize machine - learning techniques — the same ones used by companies like Netflix or Amazon that «learn» a customer's preferences and make recommendations based upon that data — in
order to
predict which chemical structures are likely to have the best overall CO2 absorption properties.
The
model led them to hypothesize that a daily three - hour dose would enable the bacteria to
predict delivery of the drug, and go dormant for that period in
order to survive.
The researchers
predict that the approach described in their study will pave the way to further develop the
modelling of biomedical parameters and large - scale datasets in
order to improve biological knowledge and patient outcome.
Complex as they may be, the activities and effects of consumers should be incorporated into global vegetation
models in
order to accurately
predict the likely consequences of global change.
The expansive filling mechanism uses the elastic recovery properties of the groove walls to load nectar on the tongue in an
order of magnitude that allows the hummingbirds to extract nectar at higher rates than are
predicted by capillarity - based foraging
models.
His own project, FuturICT, envisioned a «planetary nervous system» to collect and analyze data on a large scale in
order to
model society and
predict epidemics or the next financial crisis.
In
order to
predict future changes in climate, scientists verify and refine their
models against paleoclimate data from the ice cores Taylor and others pull up.
He emphasized the need to better understand the deep ventilation of oceanic heat, in
order to improve
modeling to reliably
predict the future state of the Arctic climate system.
A reduced -
order model of the simulations helped Nichols more precisely
predict how to change the jet configuration to eliminate feedback tones.
«A metric is developed to
predict collisions and is used together with the reduced -
order model to design self - folding structures that lock themselves into stable desired configurations.»
«[NASA's
model]
predicts a dust concentration in the asteroid belt about an
order of magnitude higher than the dust density near earth.»
Then, we should also ask ourselves what the criteria would be in
order to define the success, as at the end of the process we only get the
model out of data, that only
predicts and not exactly gives us the answer.
Forgot to add: DDT has a 1/2 life of a year or so,
orders of magnitude different than the consensus
modeling predicted and everyone accepted as gospel.
Is your problem with the
models that the system is too complex to
predict or that climate scientists are biasing the
models in
order to obtain the outcome they desire?
I'm entertained by the 3rd
order polynomial fit... It'll be fun to see if it
predicts the future better than the «climate
models.»
I certainly agree that there are many variables impacting the climate and that all of these and the correct weighting of each must be taken into consideration in
order for a
model to effectively
predict future climate.
Going forward, if we stick with climatology and its 30 year averaging period then in
order to provide policy makers with information about the outcomes from their policy decisions we need to come up with independent variable and dependent variable time series that are of much greater duration than the HADCRUT3, for 150 observed events is about the bare minimum for a statistically validated
model that
predicts with statistical significance.
Subsequently, however, based on statistical
models that employ semi-empirical relationships between past and
predicted future increases in global temperature, Vermeer and Rahmsdorf (2009), Jevrejeva et al. (2010) and Grinsted et al. (2010) derived much greater increases on the
order of 60 to 190 cm over the same time interval.
The University of Western Australia's Ryan Lowe led a team of researchers who studied a reef system off the coast of northwestern Australia, as well as other reef systems across the globe, in
order to develop a new
model for
predicting how rapid sea level rise will impact daily water temperature extremes within these shallow reefs over the next century.
(80 is chosen because we have about 100 years of temperature record, and we have to at least test a prediction on 1966 - 1988 in
order to test a
model which will be used to
predict 1988 to 2010).
Forget the
models, they leave out so much science that they are nothing more than curve fitting routines tweaked to death in
order to
predict the past.
The scientists are now setting to work devising a website that would allow the public to enter personal data in
order to find out how long the
model predicts they'll live.
At one end of the spectrum, if we remain on the BAU path, and all available credible evidence implies that we will, the global climate
models predict we will experience global mean temperature increases on the
order of 5 C by the end of the century.
It means that, for every W m $ ^ -LCB--2 -RCB- $ of excess energy we put into our system, our
model predicts that the surface temperature must increase by $ -1 / \ lambda = 0.3 $ K in
order to re-establish planetary energy balance.
So in
order to
predict AGW accurately, the
models need to be validated, and so far, with the exception of climateprediction.net, most validation studies I have read have failed to take into account the sensistivity of the
models to parameter tuning.
The
model outputs are generally presented as an average of an ensemble of individual runs (and even ensembles of individual runs from multiple
models), in
order to remove this variability from the overall picture, because among grownups it is understood that 1) the long term trends are what we're interested and 2) the coarseness of our measurements of initial conditions combined with a finite
modeled grid size means that
models can not
predict precisely when and how temps will vary around a trend in the real world (they can, however, by being run many times, give us a good idea of the * magnitude * of that variance, including how many years of flat or declining temperatures we might expect to see pop up from time to time).
According to the informant, the company used it to build a
model predicting voter's behavior during US Presidential election in
order to influence it.