Andrew Forrest's worst nightmare is that he will one day relive his painful experience with pioneering low - grade nickel ore processor Anaconda Nickel; so surely he must have suffered an «Anaconda moment» when the iron
ore price fell below $ US50 a tonne overnight.
Not exact matches
BHP Billiton also said Tuesday that its annual profit
fell nearly 30 per cent on lower
prices for copper, coal and iron
ore.
Iron
ore miner BC Iron has
fallen into the red with a net loss of $ 158.5 million for the financial year, on the back of impairments and
falling commodity
prices, and has declared no dividend payout.
The value of Australian iron
ore exports is expected to
fall next year as strong growth in production volumes is offset by a slump in
prices to a forecast $ US52.10 per tonne in 2016.
Mount Gibson Iron will look to its Extension Hill project for an answer to its $ 870 million first - half loss, which was the result of
price falls and interruptions to work at its Koolan Island iron
ore mine in the Pilbara.
Atlas Iron has launched an extensive review of its operations, finances and possible asset sale opportunities in response to steep
falls in the iron
ore price.
As smaller iron
ore miners scramble to cut costs to deal with
falling prices, another hurdle looms — customers» preference for quality.
As an aside, it seems generally to be the case that the longer an adjustment is constrained, the more likely that the adjustment takes place in the form of what traders call «gapping» — which is a big, discontinuous change instead of a smooth adjustment — so when the change finally took place, the
fall in demand (and iron
ore prices) would almost certainly occur very quickly, in a matter of two or three years, perhaps.
The major reason for this is the strong profitability of the industry — the
price of both the ingredients (iron
ore, coal, freight, fluxes etc.) and the finished steel has decreased, but the costs of producing a ton of steel
fell more, so the profit margins have actually improved.
In fact as I started writing more about the outlook for hard commodity
prices over the next year, I adjusted my outlook downwards and proposed that iron
ore prices would
fall below $ 50 a ton before the end of the decade.
Coking coal and iron
ore prices, which are mostly fixed in US dollars,
fell in SDR terms as the US dollar depreciated late last year.
Other things equal, subsequent declines in spot
prices for iron
ore and coking coal would, if sustained, see the terms of trade
fall further over the next few quarters.
To some extent, the
falling prices of commodities such as iron
ore and copper appeared related to attempts by Chinese authorities to rein in credit expansion, principally through stricter regulation of the financial sector and a tightening of liquidity in money markets used by banks and companies for funding.
The outlook is less clear for railroad companies exposed to commodities such as coal and iron
ore, as
falling prices raise questions over haulage volumes.
Iron
ore prices may be
falling but Australian producers managed to significantly increase their share of the world's biggest market last year, accounting for 59 per cent of China's overseas purchases.
Following the high of 2011, with gold
prices in excess of US$ 1900 / oz, copper
prices in excess of US$ 10,000 / tonne and iron
ore prices in excess of US$ 190 / tonne, metal
prices crashed and with those
prices fell some of the junior mining companies that depended on them.