It is the same issue
other asset bubbles will eventually have to face and it is looming ever larger.
When I think about the fundamental reasons to invest in gold today, I see a stock market that is in bubble territory, serious issues in the bond market, and many
other asset bubbles (bitcoins, artwork, cannabis, real estate in many places, supercars...).
Not exact matches
However, if the economy is near or above its potential, as some measures indicate, it may merely cause faster - than - desired price increases, or a jump in stock and
other asset values that raise concerns of a
bubble.
The chart below from Shane Oliver, chief economist and chief investment officer at AMP Capital, puts Bitcoin in historic perspective with
other major
asset bubbles.
Economists like Christopher Thornberg of Beacon Economics say
asset bubbles become dangerous when they lead to
other imbalances in the economy.
Alas, the viability of bitcoin and
other crypto
assets does not depend on whether they are in a
bubble state or not.
But, over time, the longer central banks create liquidity to suppress short - run volatility, the more they will feed price
bubbles in equity, bond, and
other asset markets.»
Compared with
Other Bubbles, Bitcoin Is almost off the Charts Five - year price momentum of bitcoin vs. historic asset bubbles; priced monthly; logarithmi
Bubbles, Bitcoin Is almost off the Charts Five - year price momentum of bitcoin vs. historic
asset bubbles; priced monthly; logarithmi
bubbles; priced monthly; logarithmic scale
Other than the recent housing
bubble, real estate is a relatively safe
asset class that appreciates along with inflation and the economy.
A civil war, two world wars and
other conflicts, political upheavals, corporate scandals, energy crises, and a plethora of
asset bubbles; despite all of this and more, American industry has prospered and the US equity market has delivered attractive long - term returns.
Others wonder why economists and policymakers can not prevent, or even spot, most
asset bubbles before they become dangerous.
Shiller is right that perfect equilibrium microeconomics can not explain
asset bubbles, but
bubbles might be explained by combining three
other classic postulates: the law of demand, opportunity costs and the subjective theory of value.
Thus,
asset bubbles in stocks and RE are also a reflection of inflation that has not penetrated
other assets, yet.
The critics charged that those policies would eventually produce destructive
bubbles in the prices of stocks and
other assets and, eventually, undesirably high inflation.
Danielle DiMartino Booth: I hate to inflammatory words like abolishing, but you could certainly see a sequence of events whereby if the Bitcoin
bubble ends up bleeding into
other overvalued
asset classes that then bleed into an economic contraction leading to recession, and then causing the central banks of the world, starting with the Fed, to go back to the zero - bounded interest rates.
Many investors are questioning whether Bitcoin and
other cryptocurrencies are the latest
asset bubble at risk of bursting.
An alternative view - I hope you and
other readers will call out any holes in my reasoning: -
Bubbles tend to be created when the price people are willing to pay become disconnected from the value of the underlying
assets.
Real estate is a great
asset to use for diversification because it doesn't always move with stocks or bonds (although you do have to watch out for
bubbles and down markets, just as you do with any
other investment
asset class).
First, these
assets are just as prone to market
bubbles as any
other asset.
In
other words, if the collapse of a financial
asset bubble does not create systematic financial and economic risk, the Federal Reserve need not intervene.
Yes, I agree it's not genuine growth, it is an
asset bubble etc etc, doesn't help much though when you look at poor returns at the end of a year and realise that the doom - and - gloom picture was being wilfully ignored by those who rode the indices (perhaps in blissful ignorance) to huge profits while
other saps spend time arguing about getting the economics dead right, and end up on the moral high ground but no returns to show for it.
That could mean we have a real interest rate
bubble, but it also could mean that lots of
other assets are undervalued, at least if the liquidity effect defeats the higher real interest rate effect of moving out of Treasuries.
Unfortunately, that's a distinction that some
other supporters of the carbon
asset bubble meme don't seem to make, particularly with regard to oil and natural gas.
Some have called the nascent digital
assets under various names such as
bubbles, Ponzi schemes, fraud, and many
other crazy names.
According to the update, while bitcoin was uncorrelated to
other asset prices at year - end 2017 during the rally, ever since the
bubble has begun to «deflate» in the new year it's more closely correlated with
other risk
assets such as stocks.
Alas, the viability of bitcoin and
other crypto
assets does not depend on whether they are in a
bubble state or not.
The opportunity is that it will spur a much - needed capital investment boom in the U.S. and
other slow - growing economies; the danger is that it will pump up
asset bubbles that eventually burst.