(To learn more about
other breadth indicators, see: Market Breadth: A Directory of Internal Indicators.)
While it doesn't stand alone as a negative force, market pundits like John Hussman — a former economics professor who is president of the Hussman Investment Trust — have used it in tandem with
other breadth indicators to make bearish proclamations.
Not exact matches
QUESTION FROM READER: I've been noticing some anomalous behavior in the NYSE Advance - Decline data and
other indicators based on NYSE data that does not match up with
other measures of
breadth.
As usual, I don't place too much emphasis on this sort of forecast, but to the extent that I make any comments at all about the outlook for 2006, the bottom line is this: 1) we can't rule out modest potential for stock appreciation, which would require the maintenance or expansion of already high price / peak earnings multiples; 2) we also should recognize an uncomfortably large potential for market losses, particularly given that the current bull market has now outlived the median and average bull, yet at higher valuations than most bulls have achieved, a flat yield curve with rising interest rate pressures, an extended period of internal divergence as measured by
breadth and
other market action, and complacency at best and excessive bullishness at worst, as measured by various sentiment
indicators; 3) there is a moderate but still not compelling risk of an oncoming recession, which would become more of a factor if we observe a substantial widening of credit spreads and weakness in the ISM Purchasing Managers Index in the months ahead, and; 4) there remains substantial potential for U.S. dollar weakness coupled with «unexpectedly» persistent inflation pressures, particularly if we do observe economic weakness.
There are
other measures that are showing more strength - such as various
indicators of market
breadth.
Meanwhile, CNNMoney's fear and greed index, which, in addition to factoring in the VIX, also tallies a number of
other market
indicators such as market
breadth, stock price strength and the demand for safe havens, just hit its gloomiest «extreme fear» level.