If, on the margin, liquidity begins to decline in 2018 resulting from QT, fed rate hikes and
other central banks ending their QE programs, there is a reasonably high probability that risk assets will suffer.
Not exact matches
Other central banks are keen to follow suit and draw the post-crisis era of easy money to an
end too.
As for the British example at the
end of the 19th Century, in those days currency was part of reserve accumulation, but much if not most reserves were in the form of gold or silver, and while Britain had the most important reserve currency, the difference between
central bank holdings of sterling and
central bank holdings of
other gold - based currencies, like the franc, were pretty small relative to total trade.
Like every
other attempt throughout history to control the laws of economics and perpetuate Ponzi schemes, the current attempt by
Central Banks globally will
end with a spectacular collapse.
Danielle DiMartino Booth: I hate to inflammatory words like abolishing, but you could certainly see a sequence of events whereby if the Bitcoin bubble
ends up bleeding into
other overvalued asset classes that then bleed into an economic contraction leading to recession, and then causing the
central banks of the world, starting with the Fed, to go back to the zero - bounded interest rates.
Massa, a former minister under Kirchner, promised
central bank independence; Macri, the mayor of Buenos Aires, promised a return to investment grade; and Scioli, a Kirchner ally and occasional critic, agreed with the
other two on
ending agricultural export restrictions.
Therefore, we expect the Fed to raise key interest rates six more times (vs. the 3.2 times that markets currently price) from now until the
end of 2018, and expect the
other major developed - market
central banks to tilt toward a less dovish / more hawkish stance.
However, since 2014, QE has
ended and monetary stimulus by
other central banks, notably the Bank of Japan and European Central Bank, is proving less effective in stimulating asset prices, outside of European
central banks, notably the
Bank of Japan and European
Central Bank, is proving less effective in stimulating asset prices, outside of European
Central Bank, is proving less effective in stimulating asset prices, outside of European credit.
At the
other end, the European
Central Bank (ECB) recently cut its deposit rate to negative 0.3 %.
But at the
other end of the spectrum, in the floating world, investors are increasingly risk - agnostic about buying the biggest & best blue - chips — which are the primary beneficiaries of a world awash in a
central bank tsunami of liquidity & quantitative easing.